Disarmament Diplomacy
Issue No. 25, April 1998
The Practical Effect of the Iraqi Oil-for-Food Program
By Douglas Scott
Introduction
Despite the fact that it has been operating for many months,
there has been very little talk about what the Iraqi oil-for-food
program actually means in practical terms. Beyond quoting the bald
figures representing the value of oil that can be sold, $2 billion
- now increased to $5.256 billion - media reports have offered
little else. As a result there are many unanswered questions:
- What do these figures translate into?
- What volume of oil will Iraq be exporting for the $2 billion
and the $5.256 billion?
- Are these volumes a significant percentage of the oil that Iraq
exported prior to the sanctions, or are they just token
amounts?
- How much food can Iraq buy for $2 billion? And how much for
$5.256 billion?
- How do these amounts compare with the amount of food that Iraq
imported before the sanctions?
None of these questions has been dealt with in the media. Nor is
the information readily available from the UN. Bearing in mind the
fact that the very reason the UN adopted the program was that there
was a feeling among the general public that sanctions lacked
something in the way of humanitarian content, one might have
thought that the UN would have been anxious to provide answers to
questions such as those posed above and to publish some information
as to the meaning of the oil-for-food program in practical terms.
Not only has there been no explanatory material published, the UN
has been strangely reluctant to divulge information about the
oil-for-food program.
Recent developments have made it even more important for the
public to have some appreciation of whether the program is generous
or only token. Iraq has begun a vigorous campaign to persuade the
Security Council to lift the sanctions altogether. Among other
arguments, Iraq is making much of the suffering of the Iraqi people
(without mentioning the oil-for-food program). Its objective seems
to be to divide the Security Council and isolate the US. As a
start, Iraq is hoping to win the support of Russia, China and
France. Support for ending the sanctions is gaining momentum in the
non-governmental community, not least in the US. The Iraqi American
Committee in Los Angeles has launched a "Free Iraq Campaign" in an
effort to have Saddam Hussein indicted for war crimes and to get
the sanctions lifted (1). Other groups with objectives that include
the lifting of sanctions have formed in New York (Iraq Sanctions
Challenge) and Chicago (Voices in the Wilderness). (2)
Another development that is causing more attention to be given
to sanctions is the fact that the US appears to be de-emphasising
the military option for dealing with Iraqi problems. It would
appear that there are anxious debates taking place within the US
Administration on this matter (3). President Clinton recently
remarked at a press conference, when speaking of the US military
presence in the Gulf, "...at some point in the future, I would
anticipate some reallocation of our [military] resources." (4) It
would appear that the US is coming to the conclusion that its
critics were correct when they said that the contemplated bombing
operations would be useless towards achieving the objective of
removing Iraqi obstructions to the inspections (5). In addition,
the US may be reassessing the question of whether it would be
justified under existing UN Security Council resolutions to launch
a military strike against Iraq (6).
These developments indicate that there are two opposing forces
coming to the fore in relation to the sanctions. There is a
campaign to lift the sanctions altogether and, at the same time,
there is a toning down of the emphasis on military measures which
may point to sanctions becoming more important. As sanctions come
in for more attention in the coming weeks, it is essential that the
public have a more accurate understanding of the strengths and
weaknesses of the existing sanctions regime. Vital to this
understanding is some reliable information on the practical effect
of the oil-for-food program. It is this information that this paper
seeks to provide.
The Current Program
The oil-for-food program consists of an arrangement whereby Iraq
is allowed to sell a quantity of oil on condition that the proceeds
are paid to the UN which will use them partly to pay for food and
medicine for the benefit of the Iraqi people and partly for other
purposes. In its current form, the program provides that 30% of the
proceeds are used to pay compensation for the victims of Iraq's
invasion of Kuwait; about 5% for the inspection expenses of the UN
Special Commission on Iraq (UNSCOM) and for certain other UN
expenses; and the balance, about 65%, to pay for food, medicine and
other humanitarian commodities.
The history of the program goes back to a point shortly after
the Gulf War. On 15 August 1991, the Security Council adopted
Resolution 706 which provided for the sale of oil to the value of
$1.6 billion during a period of 180 days. The program was dependent
on Iraqi cooperation, since Iraq would have to produce the oil and
would have to be involved in the distribution of the food and
medicine. Iraq refused to accept Resolution 706 and
three-and-a-half years went by during which Iraq was pressed to
accept some alternative scheme.
Eventually, on 14 April 1995, the Security Council adopted
Resolution 986 which Iraq, after more months of hesitation,
accepted in the latter part of 1996. Under Resolution 986, which is
currently in effect, Iraq is permitted to sell oil to the value of
$2 billion over a period of 180 days. The first proceeds of the
sale of oil were deposited in the UN's Iraq escrow account on 15
January 1997 (7). The first shipment of humanitarian commodities
entered Iraq on 20 March 1997 (8).
Resolution 986 was intended to provide an exception to the
original sanctions resolution, which was adopted by the Security
Council immediately after Iraq's invasion of Kuwait (Resolution
661, 6 August 1990). Even before Iraq's acceptance of Resolution
986, it was permitted under the original sanctions resolution (661)
to import food and medicine without restriction, but since it was
prohibited from selling oil, it lacked the foreign exchange
necessary to buy these items. Prior to the sanctions, Iraq depended
on the sale of oil for 85% of its foreign exchange (9).
Under Resolution 986, Iraq is permitted to earn substantial
quantities of foreign exchange but with the proviso that the UN
collects all the proceeds. The UN deducts 35% for the purposes
noted above and uses the balance to buy food and medicine. The
decision as to what portion of the funds should be allocated to
which particular category of food and medicine is made jointly by
the UN and Iraq. The Resolution contemplates "arrangements or
agreements" whereby the Secretary-General and Iraq settle on a plan
setting out the manner in which the funds are to be spent (10);
this plan later became known as the Distribution Plan.
Resolution 986 stipulated that the program would expire 180 days
after its entry into effect unless renewed by further resolution of
the Security Council. The program has been renewed twice
(resolutions 1111 and 1143); Phase III of the program is now in
effect and is due to expire on 3 June 1998 (11).
The Revised Program
On 20 February 1998, the Security Council adopted Resolution
1153 which extended Resolution 986 for 180 days but altered the
maximum value of Iraqi oil permitted to be sold during that period
from $2 billion to $5.256 billion. Resolution 1153 provides that it
is to enter into effect when a new Distribution Plan has been
approved (12), which is expected to occur around the beginning of
June so as to coincide with the expiry of Phase III. In the
meantime, Phase III of the current program under Resolution 986
remains in effect.
Resolution 1153 recognized that additional information was
needed as to the question of whether Iraq had the physical
capability to produce and export the quantity of oil authorized in
the Resolution. The Security Council was therefore requested to
dispatch a team of experts to Iraq to survey the condition of its
machinery and equipment for producing and transporting oil (13). On
15 April 1998, the teams' report was submitted to the Security
Council with a letter from the Secretary-General (14).
The report concluded that Iraq's machinery and equipment for
producing and transporting oil was so dilapidated that it was in no
position to export more oil than its current level of exports. The
document goes on to advise that, with an expenditure of $300
million dollars for repairs and refurbishment, it might be possible
for Iraq to export at a level sufficient to yield $4 billion over a
period of 180 days. This particular point is not stated explicitly
in the Secretary-General's letter or in the accompanying executive
summary of the team's report, but the Secretary-General seems to
have adopted this conclusion in his recommendations to the Council.
His letter recommends that Council authorize the expenditure of
$300 million for repairs and improvement and that Council adopt the
figure of $4 billion as the maximum "authorization" for the 180-day
period following the expiry of Phase III (15), which occurs on 3
June 1998 (16).
A detailed analysis showing the practical effect of the revised
program is presented in the Appendix to this paper.
At the time of writing (6 May), the Security Council has not yet
considered the Secretary-General's recommendation referred to above
for an "authorization" of $4 billion. When it does, the Council
will decide on two matters. Since it will have received additional
information as to Iraq's needs for producing and transporting oil,
the Council will use that information to decide whether the
Secretary-General's $4 billion figure should be adjusted. More
significantly, the Council will decide what status this figure
should have; it would appear that Council has two options on the
matter. It could simply alter the $5.256 billion figure
representing the maximum value of oil to be sold to read $4
billion. Alternatively, it could leave untouched the $5.256 billion
figure, but approve a distribution plan that would show $4 billion
as the total amount to be spent during the phase covered by
Resolution 1153. (The Distribution Plan for Phase III, for
instance, is essentially a budget showing the amount to be spent
for each of the various categories of foodstuffs, medical supplies
and other humanitarian commodities; it is available on the Internet
as http://www.un.org/Depts/oip/dplan/dp-main.htm
If the Security Council were to select this second option, it would
thereby be affirming the maximum value of oil sales at a level that
takes no account of the information received by Council in the
report it had requested - a rather anomalous approach, but one that
seems to be under serious consideration. By the time this paper
appears in print, no doubt the Security Council will have chosen
its course.
Is There Anything Left Of The Sanctions?
Two salient facts emerge from the figures presented in the
Appendix:
- A few months hence, after Iraq's infrastructure for producing
and transporting oil has been rebuilt as currently planned, it will
be in a position to sell oil at a rate that exceeds that at which
it was selling oil in 1989; this was the last full year before the
sanctions were imposed, and it was a bumper year for Iraqi oil
sales.
- At the level of $4 billion (which might be slightly adjusted by
the Council), the revised program will allow Iraq to import the
same quantity of food annually as it imported before the
sanctions.
As noted, the impending decision of the Security Council will
either reduce the ceiling in Resolution 1153 to $4 billion (or
thereabouts), or it will leave the ceiling at $5.256 billion and
merely approve the spending budget at $4 billion (or thereabouts).
If the Council decides in favour of this second option, the result
will be that, when Iraq is eventually able to refurbish its
infrastructure so as to export oil at that level, the value of food
that will be available to Iraq would appear to be in excess of its
needs. As a result, there will be a substantial surplus to be spent
on the purchase of a variety of other items ($2.1 billion, which is
substantially more than the amount allocated for food (17).) If the
Council decides in this way, one result will be that, when the
times comes to renew Resolution 1153 in December 1998, it will be
difficult to reduce the $5.256 billion figure.
Obviously, the revised program, when it comes into full
operation, will represent a significant dilution of the sanctions
regime. Even with the program at the $4 billion level, the regime
would appear to have significantly less potency than when first
imposed in 1990. The reason is that the key element in the regime
is the blocking of oil exports. Some might say that that element
will be virtually eliminated once the $4 billion scheme becomes
operational. Indeed, some might question whether there will be any
real potency whatever left in the sanctions regime. Conceivably,
there may be some who argue that the sanctions have been weakened
to a point where they are no longer worth maintaining. There could
be calls to abandon the whole regime purely on the basis that its
benefits do not measure up to the trouble it entails.
Upon closer examination, however, it is apparent that the
sanctions regime in its new format has retained much of its former
potency. Evidence of its continuing strength is to be seen
primarily in the fact that Iraq is currently demanding a permanent
lifting of the sanctions. Iraq's Deputy Prime Minister, Tariq Aziz,
in a letter to the Security Council on 22 April 1998, demanded that
the sanctions be lifted "immediately and without any new
restrictions or conditions" (18). On 25 April 1998, one of Iraq's
leading journalists, Salah al-Mukhtar, in a front page editorial
quoted by Reuters, wrote "we are adamant on breaking the embargo
this year if it is not lifted by the Security Council. America and
others have to choose between lifting the embargo or storms that
are impossible to control, like past events have proven, which will
get rid of all the putrid symbols." (19)
One of the reasons that Iraq finds the sanctions regime so
objectionable, even in its diluted form, stems from the fact that,
under the oil-for-food program, the UN controls the manner in which
most of Iraq's foreign exchange earnings are spent. The UN insists
on approving every contract for the purchase of humanitarian
commodities. Iraq finds this extremely annoying and is making every
effort to persuade the UN to relax this requirement. The UN has
been engaged in countless meetings with Iraq on this issue. Iraq is
obviously annoyed, frustrated and humiliated by the fact that the
UN exercises so much control over its daily life.
It must be remembered too that Iraq is losing 35% of the
proceeds of its oil sales - the portion siphoned off by the UN
mostly to pay compensation to the victims of the invasion of
Kuwait.
The conclusion is clear: the sanctions, even with the allowance
under the oil-for-food program, are still a potent instrument.
The Nature of Iraqi Sanctions
The sanctions against Iraq possibly differ from other sanction
regimes in that the primary focus is on blocking exports rather
than imports. The only direct measure to block imports consists of
Security Council rulings that require member States to enact
regulations to prevent their citizens from selling or supplying
items to persons in Iraq or representing Iraq. But there are few
border controls to prevent items from crossing into Iraq.
Instead of measures operating directly, imports are targeted
indirectly - through blocking exports of oil which has the effect
of substantially reducing Iraq's sources of foreign exchange.
Without foreign exchange, a country is unable to pay for its
imports, which makes them impossible to obtain unless the country
can find friends abroad who are willing to sell on credit or
provide loans, both of which are prohibited under the
sanctions.
Iraq is still able to earn relatively small amounts of foreign
exchange by smuggling goods across its borders. Some of these
smuggled exports consist of oil, but always in small quantities
(except for shipments of diesel oil to Turkey - a problem that
should be investigated). Bulk shipments of oil have been blocked
altogether. The UN has found it relatively easy to accomplish this,
partly by commissioning a naval blockade in the Gulf (20) which
blocks shipments by tanker from Iraq's ports on the Gulf, and
partly by arranging with Turkey to close the pipelines between Iraq
and the Mediterranean. Under the oil-for-food scheme, bulk
shipments of oil have started again but under UN control.
Conclusion: A New Breed of Sanctions
With the oil-for-food program in place, the sanctions regime has
been transformed. It no longer involves an outright prohibition of
oil exports. Instead, the regime now depends on a system of
controlled exports, under which 85% of the country's export
earnings are administered by the UN and must be spent in accordance
with the requirements of the UN. Under this new version of
sanctions, the UN is able to achieve a measure of targeting so that
the suffering caused to the general populace is substantially
reduced while the political leadership is still saddled with
annoying and humiliating controls.
The next turning point in the saga of the oil-for-food program
will come in November. The date of expiry for Resolution 1153 is
likely to be about the first day of December (21). At some point
before December, the Security Council will have to decide what to
do about renewing Resolution 1153. A decision will have to be made
on the ceiling - the maximum value of oil that can be exported
during Phase V. In the period leading up to that decision, it does
not appear likely that Iraq will have the physical capacity to pump
more than $4 billion worth of oil, so that that figure will likely
be the effective limit until November. But if the Security Council
decides in May in accordance with the second option noted above,
the approved ceiling will be $5.256 billion. A judgement will then
have to be made whether to reduce the ceiling below $5.256 billion
or to allow Iraq to escalate to that figure as and when its pumping
capacity allows it to do so.
Much will depend on Iraq's behaviour over the next six
months.
Notes and references
- Iraqi American Committee, P.O. Box 41164, Los Angeles, CA
90041, USA.
- "Americans, Flouting UN Embargo [sic] Organize Relief for
Iraqis," New York Times, 23 April 1998, p. A11.
- "No Time to Tone Down," by Jim Hoagland, New York Times,
23 April 1998. "Pentagon Wants Troops Cut in Gulf," Associated
Press, 28 April 1998, quoted on the Internet at
http://search.washingtonpost.com/wo-srv/WAPO/19980428.
- Press Conference, 30 April 1998, reported in Iraq News,
1 May 1998. A newsletter published by Laurie Mylroie:
samll@eros.com.
- For a collection of these criticisms, see "Memorandum on the
Question Whether Existing Security Council Resolutions are
Sufficient to Authorize the US to take Military Action Against
Iraq", Appendix 7, by Douglas Scott; available on the Internet at
http://www.hwcn.org/link/mkg/index2.html.
- On this point see Douglas Scott, op.cit.
- UN Publication: "Implementation of Security Council Resolution
986 - Chronology", available on the Internet at http://www.un.org/Depts/oip/chron.htm.
- Idem.
- Cambridge Energy Research Associates. Cambridge
Massachusetts.
- Resolution 986, paras. 3 and 13.
- Resolution 1153, para. 1.
- Resolution 1153, paras. 1 and 5.
- Resolution 1153, paras. 12 and 13.
- UN Doc. S/1998/330.
- UN Doc. S/1998/330, Annex, paras. 27 and 28.
- Resolution 1143, para. 1.
- This figure is derived from adding the $1.33 billion allocated
for the purchase of food under Resolution 1153, the $1.57 billion
allocated for compensation payments under 1153, and the $256
million allocated for payment of UNSCOM and UN expenses under 1153,
and then deducting the total - $3.156 billion - from the $5.256
billion figure for total proceeds.
- "Iraqi Again Threatens to Halt Arm Inspections", New York
Times, 24 April 1998, p. A3.
- Quoted in Iraq News (see footnote 4).
- Resolution 665, 27 August 1990.
- Resolution 1153 specifies that it expires 180 days after entry
into force, which is likely to be 3 June.
APPENDIX: ANTICIPATED RESULTS OF THE OIL-FOR-FOOD
Notes: all figures show total for periods of 180 days;
all dollar figures are in US dollars; information valid as of 29
April 1998. It is important to note that of the two versions of the
"revised program" presented below, the version that will be put
into effect at the end of Phase III on 3 June, will be Version B,
i.e. the version proposed by the Secretary-General, amending
Version A as set out in Resolution 1153. Sometime before 3 June,
the Security Council will deal with the Secretary-General's
proposal and adopt his figure of $4 billion or a figure fairly
close to it.
1. DOLLAR VALUE OF OIL TO BE PERMITTED TO BE SOLD BY
IRAQ
Current Program (Resolution 986 - in place until 3 June
1998): $2 billion (1)
Revised Program (Resolution 986 as amended, due to commence 4
June 1998)
Version A (Approved under Resolution 1153): $5.256 billion
(2);
Version B (Proposed by Secretary-General (3)): $4 billion
(4)
2. PORTION OF PROCEEDS AVAILABLE TO BUY FOOD, MEDICINE
& OTHER HUMANITARIAN COMMODITIES
Current Program: $1.32 billion (5)
Revised Program, Version A: $3.43 billion (6)
Version B: $2.61 billion (7)
3. PORTION OF THE ABOVE ITEM ALLOCATED FOR THE PURCHASE OF
FOOD
Current Program: $805 million (8)
Revised Program, Version A: $1.33 billion (9)
Version B: $1.01 billion (10)
4. PORTION OF PROCEEDS RESERVED FOR PAYMENT OF COMPENSATION
TO THOSE WHO SUFFERED DAMAGE AS A RESULT OF IRAQ'S INVASION
OF
Current Program: $600 million (11)
Revised Program, Version A: $1.57 billion (12)
Version B: $1.2 billion (13)
5. PORTION OF PROCEEDS RESERVED FOR PAYMENT OF UNSCOM'S
INSPECTION EXPENSES AND FOR VARIOUS OTHER EXPENSES(14)
Current Program: $80 million (15)
Revised Program, Version A: $256 million (16)
Version B: $190 million (17)
6. VOLUME OF OIL PERMITTED TO BE EXPORTED BY IRAQ BASED ON
THE CURENT PRICE OF IRAQ CRUDE OIL ($10.50 PER BARREL) (18)
Current Program: 190 million barrels (19)
Revised Program, Version A: 501 million barrels (20)
Version B: 381 million barrels (21)
Figures for Comparison:
7. Average dollar value of food imported by Iraq over a
period of 180 days prior to the imposition of sanctions: $1
billion (22).
8. Volume of oil exported by Iraq prior to the imposition of
sanctions (180 days in 1989): 407 million barrels (23).
9. Volume of oil capable of being exported over a period of 180
days at the current level of exports: 275 million barrels,
having a value of $2.9 billion (24).
Notes and references to Appendix
- UN Security Council Resolution 986, para. 1.
- UN Security Council Resolution 1153, para. 2.
- Secretary-General's report to the Security Council dated 15
April 1998 (UN document S/1998/330) p. 2. The situation giving rise
to this document is explained in the text.
- Secretary-General's report to the Security Council dated 15
April 1998 (UN document S/1998/330) p. 2.
- The figure $1.32 billion is mentioned in a document prepared by
the Government of Iraq entitled "Distribution Plan for Phase III -
Amended as of 13 March 1998." (The document is available on the
Internet at http://www.un.org/Depts/oip/dplan/dp-main.htm
This plan has not been specifically approved or accepted by the UN
in any official document, but it has been accepted as a matter of
practice and is currently in effect. An earlier version of the plan
was approved by the Secretary-General on 5 January 1998; notice of
this approval was given in a letter of that date from the
Secretary-General to the Security Council. (Conversation with UN
official, 23 April 1998.) The figure $1.32 appears in paragraph 3
of the executive summary of this document. It will be noted that
this figure represents approximately 65% of the $2 billion figure
for total proceeds permitted under the current program.
- This figure was generated from the Secretary-General's report
to the Security Council dated 1 February 1998 (S/1998/90); this
report was submitted in relation to Council's consideration of
Resolution 1153; the following statement appears in paragraph 66:
"Should Council approve this recommendation, the level of
additional resources - over and above the $1.32 billion provided
under the current arrangements - required to meet the priority,
interlinked proposals listed in Annex 2 would amount to
$2,115,570,590..." The two figures in this statement were added
together, producing the figure $3.43 billion.
- This figure does not appear in the document referred to in
footnotes 3 and 4, the Secretary-General's report of 15 April 1998,
since the report contains no recommendations on this matter. The
figure represents an estimate based on the assumption that the
percentage of expenditures for humanitarian purposes as compared to
the total allowance ($4 billion) will be the same as the comparable
allowance under Resolution 1153. Thus, the factor 62.5% was applied
to $4 billion in order to produce the figure $2.61 billion. The
true figure will be known when Iraq and the UN have agreed on a
distribution plan for the next phase.
- "Distribution Plan for Phase III," para. 3 and table 1. For an
explanation of this document, see footnote 5.
- This figure was generated from the Secretary-General's report
to the Security Council dated 1 February 1998 (S/1998/90); this
report was submitted in relation to Council's consideration of
Resolution 1153; item 1 of Annex 2 contains the figure
$527,283,870. This figure was added to the comparable figure under
the current program, $805 million, so as to produce the total sum
of $1.33 billion.
- This figure does not appear in the document referred to in
footnotes 3 and 4, the Secretary-General's report of 15 April 1998,
since the report contains no recommendations on this matter. The
figure represents an estimate based on the assumption that the
percentage of expenditures for food as compared to the total
allowance ($4 billion) will be the same as the comparable allowance
under Resolution 1153. Thus, the factor 25.3% was applied to $4
billion in order to produce the figure $1.01 billion. The true
figure will be known when Iraq and the UN have agreed on a
distribution plan for the next phase.
- This figure was generated by taking 30% of the figure for total
proceeds permitted under the current program. This is the
percentage stipulated for this type of compensation in paragraph
8(c) of Resolution 986. Thus, the factor 30% was applied to $2
billion to produce the figure $600 million.
- This figure was generated by taking 30% of the figure for total
proceeds permitted under Resolution 1153, Version A. This is the
percentage stipulated for this type of compensation in paragraph
8(c) of Resolution 986. Thus, the factor 30% was applied to $5.256
billion to produce the figure $1.57 billion.
- This figure was generated by taking 30% of the figure for total
proceeds permitted under Resolution 1153, Version B. This is the
percentage stipulated for this type of compensation in paragraph
8(c) of Resolution 986. Thus, the factor 30% was applied to $4
billion to produce the figure $1.2 billion.
- The purposes involved in this category are described in
paragraphs 8(d), (e), (f) and (g) of Resolution 986.
- This figure was generated by totalling the figures applying to
the current program for the portion of proceeds available for food,
medicine and other humanitarian commodities ($1.32 billion) and the
portion of proceeds available for compensation payments ($600
million), and deducting this total from the figure for the total
amount of proceeds permitted under the program ($2 billion).
- This figure was generated by totalling the figures applying to
the revised program Version A for the portion of proceeds available
for food, medicine and other humanitarian commodities ($3.43
billion) and the portion of proceeds available for compensation
payments ($1.57 billion), and deducting this total from the figure
for the total amount of proceeds permitted under the program
($5.256 billion).
- This figure was generated by totalling the figures applying to
the revised program Version B for the portion of proceeds available
for food, medicine and other humanitarian commodities ($2.61
billion) and the portion of proceeds available for compensation
payments ($1.2 billion), and deducting this total from the figure
for the total amount of proceeds permitted under the program ($4
billion).
- This figure varies from day to day. The figure $10.50 is taken
from the Secretary-General's letter to the Security Council dated
15 April 1998 (UN Document, No. S/1998/330) and is valid as of that
date. There has been little movement in the price of oil since that
date. The price of Iraqi oil differs significantly from other
figures commonly quoted in financial circles for the price of oil,
such as the so-called WTI price which was $15.46 on 15 April 1998
(Bloomberg Commodities News). The difference is due to the fact
that the price of crude oil depends on its grade which varies
widely from country to country.
- The figure was generated by dividing the $2 billion figure for
total proceeds under the current program by $10.50. The figure
given here is variable since it is dependent on the price of Iraqi
oil; see footnote 18.
- The figure was generated by dividing the $5.256 billion figure
for total proceeds under the revised program, Version A, by $10.50.
The figure given here is variable since it is dependent on the
price of Iraqi oil; see footnote 18.
- The figure was generated by dividing the $4 billion figure for
total proceeds under the revised program, Version B, by $10.50. The
figure given here is variable since it is dependent on the price of
Iraqi oil; see footnote 18.
- These are estimated values supplied by the Food and
Agricultural Organization (FAO) and the World Food Program (WFP) as
quoted by the Secretary-General in his report to the Security
Council dated 1 February 1998 (S/1998/90) - paragraph 32. Paragraph
32 contains the following statement: "During this time, the
estimated cost of food imports averaged around $2 billion per year,
though in poor production years the import bill could rise to $3
billion."
- Bloomberg Commodities News: "OPEC Information - Crude Oil
Exports by OPEC Member Countries, 1985-90," Iraq 1989 - 2.26
million barrels per day (180 days = 407 million barrels).
- UN Document, No. S/1998/330, paragraph 28. These figures exceed
those allowable under the current program. The difference is due to
an additional allowance authorized as a result of a shortfall in
previous phases: Resolution 1158.
Douglas Scott is President of the Markland Group for the
Integrity of Disarmament Treaties, based in Ancaster, Ontario,
Canada. Information on the Markland Group can be seen on its
web-site at http://www.hwcn.org/link/mkg
© 1998 The Acronym Institute.
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