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Statements of current and former Secretaries of State and
Defense to the National Commission on Terrorist Attacks Upon the
United States, March 23
Full documentation from the Commission's work is available
at: http://www.9-11commission.gov/
Statement of Madeleine K. Albright National
Commission on Terrorist Attacks upon the United States March 23,
2004
(Prepared written statement)
Chairman Kean, Vice-Chairman Hamilton, members of the
commission, good morning. I am pleased to testify before you and to
reiterate my offer to be of help to you in whatever way I can.
It is vital that our nation know as much as possible about the
events leading up to the terror attacks of September 11 so that we
may consider carefully the lessons of that tragic date and act
wisely to ensure that nothing similar happens again. That is the
least we owe the families of those who were killed on that horrible
day; and it is the best way to safeguard our own future.
That is why everyone who has served in a position of
responsibility or who has information or knowledge related to this
commission's mandate should hout conditions. And why the commission
should be given all the time it needs to do a thorough, fair and
professional job.
There are many facets to this issue and whole books have been
written about each.
I cannot hope in the time I have this morning to be
comprehensive.
So I will do my best to be focused.
We all know that history is lived forward and examined
backward.
Much seems obvious now that was perceived less clearly prior to
September 11.
During the past thirty months, the facts about Al-Qaeda and
Osama bin Laden have been extracted from the clutter of other
information that once surrounded them and then assembled into a
monstrous tale of evil narrated in neon lights.
We did not see all of these facts as clearly during my years in
government as we do now. But we learned continually and did
everything we could think of-- based on the knowledge we did
have--to protect our people and disrupt and defeat this shadowy
network of terror.
I appreciate the opportunity to testify before you and before
the American people about the policies we developed and the actions
we took. I am pleased, as well, to have the chance to offer
recommendations for the future.
Mr. Chairman and Mr. Vice-Chairman, in your letter of
invitation, you suggested that I provide testimony on eight
specific topics. I have organized my statement to reflect that
request.
Counterterrorism and United States Foreign Policy During the
Clinton Administration
There can be no doubt that countering the terror threat was a
top priority for President Clinton and every member of our foreign
policy and national security team. The "transnational threats" of
terrorism, crime and the spread of weapons of mass destruction were
a dominant theme in our public statements and private deliberations
and played a role in bilateral relations with nearly every nation.
These concerns were evident in the president's frequent warnings
about the possibility of a bioterror attack on the United States.
They were reflected in the administration's decision to expand the
CIA's Counter Terrorism Center (CTC) and establish a special CIA
bin Laden unit during the mid-1990s. They prompted the
administration's effort to improve counterterrorism coordination by
placing a senior FBI official at the CTC and a top CIA official at
the FBI. They led to the activation of a high-level White House
interagency counterterrorism working group that met several times a
week to review threats and coordinate counterterrorism efforts. And
they caused the president to decide in May 1998 to restructure the
National Security Council and appoint a National Coordinator for
Counterterrorism and Infrastructure Protection with a mandate to
organize the government more effectively to safeguard our citizens
from unconventional dangers.
During the Clinton Administration's eight years in office, we
intensified intelligence and law enforcement cooperation with other
countries, resulting in the arrest and prosecution of scores of
terrorist suspects (including Ramzi Yousef--responsible for the
1993 World Trade Center bombing--and Mir Aimal Kansi--murderer of
two CIA employees that same year). We worked with foreign partners
to prevent planned terror strikes such as a conspiracy to bomb New
York City landmarks in 1993, a plot to assassinate the pope, plans
to sabotage 12 U.S. commercial aircraft over the Pacific in
1994-95, and a 1998 plot to attack the U.S. Embassy in Albania. We
expanded our overseas Counter-terrorism Training Assistance
Program, instructing more than 20,000 law enforcement officers from
more than 90 countries in subjects ranging from airport security
and bomb detection to maritime security and hostage rescue. In
response to intelligence warnings shortly before the start of the
new millennium, we undertook the largest counterterrorism operation
in U.S. history to that time, preventing multiple al-Qaeda attacks
in America and Jordan. Cabinet-level national security,
intelligence and law enforcement officials met in the White House
virtually every day for nearly a month during this period to ensure
the coordination of threat information and security responses.
President Clinton also pushed for and signed into law the
Anti-Terrorism and Effective Death Penalty Act of 1996, which
banned designated terrorist organizations from fund-raising in the
United States and made it easier to bar terrorists from entering
our country. The administration asked for, but Congress failed to
approve, anti-money-laundering legislation, authority to place
roving wiretaps on suspected terrorists, and proposals to attach
taggants to identify the origin of explosives that could be used by
terrorists. We took steps to freeze the financial assets of radical
outlaw groups (In 1998 and 1999 President Clinton blocked al Qaeda
financial transactions and froze approximately $255 million in
Taliban assets). We increased the size of rewards offered for
information leading to the apprehension of terrorists. We more than
doubled our nation's counterterrorism budget (from $5 billion in FY
1996 to $11 billion in FY 2000), increased sharply the number of
FBI agents working the issue, and accelerated technological
research to improve our ability to detect explosives, counter
weapons of mass destruction, protect against cyber sabotage and
provide physical security. We imposed economic sanctions against
state sponsors of terror, which included Cuba, Iran, Iraq, Libya,
North Korea, Sudan and Syria. We used a combination of diplomatic
pressure and economic sanctions to force Libya to hand over for
trial two persons indicted in the 1989 terrorist bombing of Pan Am
flight 103. We worked with officials in the former Soviet Union
through the Nunn-Lugar and other programs to secure materials and
expertise that might cause weapons of mass destruction to fall into
the wrong hands.
At the same time, the president issued a series of directives to
enhance our ability to disrupt terrorist operations abroad, and
prepare for the possibility of strikes in the United States
involving the use of chemical or biological weapons. He ordered the
training of firefighters and other first responders in more than
150 American cities. He initiated creation of a nationwide
stockpile of drugs and vaccines and a plan to protect critical
infrastructure such as power grids and computer networks from cyber
attacks.
The White House also used the bully pulpit of the presidency to
heighten awareness of the terrorist threat and rouse global support
for defeating it. For example in 1995 during ceremonies surrounding
the 50th anniversary of the UN, President Clinton said that "Our
generation's enemies are the terrorists…who kill children or
turn them into orphans, people who target innocent people in order
to prevent peace…Today, the threat to our security is not in
an enemy silo, but in the briefcase or the car bomb of a
terrorist." In 1996, the president helped organize the
international summit on counterterrorism at Sharm-al-Sheikh, in
which 29 world leaders participated, including 13 from Arab states.
Year after year, the president told the UN General Assembly that
combating terrorism was at the top of the American agenda, and
should be at the top of the world's agenda. He urged every nation
to deny support and sanctuary to terrorist groups; to cooperate in
extraditing and prosecuting terrorist suspects; to regulate more
rigorously the manufacture and export of explosives; to raise
international airport security standards; and to combat the
conditions internationally that fuel intolerance, spread violence
and multiply despair.
Though we did not achieve all we hoped, I am proud of the
Clinton Administration's record in fighting terror. We were the
first to make it a centerpiece of our national security strategy.
We laid the groundwork for a comprehensive global response to the
terrorist threat and launched homeland planning initiatives that
would be built upon in subsequent years. We recognized the need to
improve cooperation between the FBI and CIA and took steps in that
direction. We re-organized the National Security Council with the
terrorist threat in mind. And, as described below, we used a wide
variety of national security tools in an effort to apprehend and
stop the terrorists who were threatening the United States.
The Africa Embassy Bombings
My worst day as secretary of state was August 7, 1998, when
terrorist explosions struck our embassies in Kenya and Tanzania.
Hundreds of people were killed, including twelve Americans.
Within a matter of days, we had captured several suspects who
made it clear that Osama bin Laden was behind the attacks. The
question for us was whether to consider this a law enforcement
matter demanding a judicial response or a military matter in which
the use of armed force was justified. We decided it was both. We
proceeded to prosecute the conspirators we had captured. But we
also decided within a week to hit back militarily and within two
weeks launched cruise missiles at a target in Sudan and at several
al-Qaeda training camps in Afghanistan. The timing of the strikes
was determined by highly credible predictive intelligence (the
rarest kind) indicating that terrorist leaders-- possibly including
bin Laden--would be meeting at one of the camps.
The day after the cruise missile strikes, the White House
convened a meeting to study further military options. Our primary
target--bin Laden--had not been hit, so we were determined to try
again. In subsequent weeks, the president specifically authorized
the use of force to capture bin Laden with the expectation that he
likely would be killed in any such operation. Later presidential
directives were more explicit, making clear that lethal force could
be used against bin Laden and his lieutenants. There should have
been no confusion-and in my mind at the time there was none-that
our personnel were authorized to kill bin Laden. We did not, after
all, launch cruise missiles for the purpose of serving legal
papers. We wanted to put bin Laden out of business permanently.
To maintain the option of force, we placed submarines equipped
with cruise missiles permanently on call in the Arabian Sea. The
Pentagon eventually wearied of this deployment and said prolonging
it was not justified in the absence of more specific information
about bin Laden's whereabouts. However, President Clinton insisted
because it gave us the capability to hit bin Laden quickly if
credible "predictive intelligence" did materialize.
Anxious to explore every alternative, we studied the possibility
of sending a U.S. Special Forces team into Afghanistan to try and
snatch bin Laden. The Pentagon raised concerns that I believe were
understandable. The first was the lack of real time intelligence.
We couldn't snatch someone unless we knew where he was. The second
was that if we did obtain good intelligence, a missile would get
the job done more rapidly than a strike force. There was never any
doubt that, if we knew where bin Laden was or where he was going to
be, we would go after him. We all felt the loss of those murdered
in the embassy bombings, had met with the families of victims, and
were determined to prevent additional attacks.
The reason for the strikes we did make was that we had received
word of a scheduled meeting of terrorist leaders including--we
hoped--bin Laden. We did not get a similar break again. Instead, we
occasionally learned where bin Laden had been or where he might be
going or where someone who looked a little like him might be. We
heard of suspicious caravans or of someone tall with a beard moving
about with bodyguards. At times, the information seemed promising
enough to intensify military preparations until the leads proved
unverifiable or wrong. We also heard reports of skirmishes inside
Afghanistan between tribal militias and al-Qaeda, but the
skirmishes were inconclusive and the reports questionable.
It was maddening. I compared it to one of those arcade games
where you manipulate a lever hooked to a claw-like hand that you
think, once you put your quarter in, will easily scoop up a prize.
But every time you try to pull the basket out the prize falls
away.
At the president's direction, our military continued to pursue
ideas for improving real-time information on bin Laden's
whereabouts. In 2000, beginning in late summer, we tried using the
Predator, a slow-moving unmanned drone, to gather photographic data
in Afghanistan. The results were encouraging -- but then the
aircraft crashed. The NSC proposed arming a new drone with a
missile. Early in 2001, the Air Force tested a prototype, but by
then a new administration was in office.
One question that has since been raised is why we didn't simply
invade Afghanistan, depose the Taliban and disperse al-Qaeda. As
far as I know, this option was never seriously advocated by anyone
in or outside the administration. There would have been reason to
justify military action; but without the megashock of September 11,
we would have not had a local staging ground to support such an
attack, and diplomatic backing would have been virtually
non-existent.
The Africa embassy bombings intensified our efforts to
neutralize bin Laden, and also to protect our own people. Within
days of the explosions, I appointed two Accountability Review
Boards chaired by retired Admiral William Crowe to investigate and
make recommendations. In January 1999, the boards recommended a
dramatic increase in funds for U.S. embassy construction and repair
and also that a single high-ranking officer be accountable for all
protective security matters. To that end, I proposed the creation
of the post of under secretary of state for security, terrorism and
related affairs. Pending congressional action on that proposal, I
decided that I had to be the one to make the final decisions;
albeit with professional advice. So every morning I was in
Washington, I reviewed the latest information about threats and
potential threats to our diplomatic posts with Assistant Secretary
of State for Diplomatic Security David Carpenter-the first career
law enforcement professional ever appointed to that position. I was
struck by the number of danger signals we received and also by the
difficulty in many cases of making a clear judgment about whether a
threat was sufficiently credible to warrant closing an embassy or
embassies temporarily.
In this period, we received about 1000 threats a month against
U.S. facilities or officials overseas. If we had responded to each
by closing down the facility in question, we would have been
paralyzed. If we had simply refused to order shutdowns as a matter
of principle, we might have paid for our bravado with more lives.
The only way to make an informed decision was to analyze the
seriousness of each threat. To do this more efficiently, we
arranged to have a Diplomatic Security officer stationed at the
CIA, so we would know the moment a threat against one of our posts
was received. We also had a group in the State Department
operations center, working literally every hour of every day, to
coordinate our response.
We also sent security assessment teams to each of the more than
250 foreign missions America maintains abroad. The teams conferred
with the ambassador and with local representatives of such agencies
as the FBI, CIA and Defense Department, as well as the State
Department's administrative and security personnel. Together, they
reviewed security procedures and the need for enhancements such as
additional guards, concrete barriers and surveillance cameras. They
analyzed vulnerabilities and discussed ways to strengthen working
relationships with the local military and law enforcement
authorities. And they emphasized the primary role the embassy
itself would play in deciding when it was necessary to extract
dependents, curtail operations or temporarily close down.
Although the focus of our anti-terrorism efforts throughout 1999
and 2000 was squarely on al-Qaeda and other groups with connections
to Osama bin Laden, we did not always stress this publicly. We did
not want him to have that satisfaction. Our counter-terrorism
experts urged us in our public statements not to single him out,
build him up or refer to the vastness of his operations. As a
result, when I testified before Congress and made speeches about
terror, I tended to talk in general terms and minimized specific
mentions of bin Laden.
Afghanistan, the Taliban and bin Laden
Two days after we launched our cruise missile attacks in
response to the Kenya-Tanzania bombings, a Taliban representative
called the State department to complain. He even put his reclusive
leader, Mullah Muhammad Omar, on the line. This conversation led to
a dialogue spread over more than two years during which we
repeatedly pressed the Taliban to hand over Osama bin Laden.
Taliban officials replied not by saying no directly but rather
by offering a menu of excuses. They said that surrendering bin
Laden would violate the Pushtun cultural tradition of courtesy to
guests. They said that bin Laden was a hero to Afghans because of
his role in ousting the Soviets and that the Taliban would be
overthrown if they "betrayed" him in response to American pressure.
And they said that they did not believe bin Laden was responsible
for the embassy attacks because they had asked him and he had told
them he was innocent.
For a time, we thought the Taliban might be persuadable.
Notwithstanding their excuses, Taliban officials admitted that
their "guest" had become a big problem. They told us that perhaps
he would leave "voluntarily." At one point, they told us he had
already gone. There were rumors that he was ill and had slipped
away to find medical treatment. In any case, Taliban leaders
assured us that bin Laden was under house arrest and would be
prevented from contacting his followers or the press. We didn't buy
these pledges, since the terrorist continued to show up in the
media vowing to kill Americans.
Early in 1999, Lt. Col. (ret.) Michael Sheehan--the State
Department's director of Counter-terrorism--proposed a
comprehensive diplomatic approach entitled "A New Strategy to Get
Bin Laden." After inter-agency deliberations, the strategy was
approved in May. The plan basically was to go to each of the
countries that we thought had influence and urge them to tell
Taliban leaders that they must hand over bin Laden or else face the
loss of diplomatic contacts and a prohibition on international
flights by Afghan airlines. Meanwhile, we would make clear to
Taliban officials directly our intention to propose UN sanctions if
they didn't come around.
In succeeding weeks, we implemented this strategy according to
plan, but the plan did not work. Officials from Saudi Arabia and
the United Arab Emirates agreed to deliver the right message. The
Saudis sent one of their princes to confront the Taliban directly.
He came back and told us the Taliban were idiots and liars. Saudi
Crown Prince Abdullah visited the Pakistanis for the purpose of
putting pressure on them. When the Taliban failed to cooperate, the
Saudis did downgrade their diplomatic ties, cut off official
assistance and denied visas to Afghans traveling for nonreligious
reasons. The UAE took similar actions.
Assistant Secretary of State for South Asia Rick Inderfurth and
Mike Sheehan met directly with Taliban leaders. They hinted that
cooperation would result in the only thing the Taliban desperately
wanted: international recognition (although drug and human rights
issues remained obstacles). We told the Taliban that if they did
not come through they could expect nothing more than the barest
kind of humanitarian aid from the international community. They
could forget about economic assistance or loans. And we warned
Taliban leaders clearly and repeatedly that they would be held
responsible for any future attacks traceable to bin Laden, and that
we reserved the right to use military force.
Faced with Taliban intransigence, we made good on our threat to
impose sanctions. On July 5, 1999, the president issued an order
freezing the Taliban's U.S. assets and prohibiting trade. This was
followed by UN sanctions imposed in 1999 and toughened in 2000.
Those UN Security Council resolutions were approved under chapter 7
of the UN Charter signifying a threat to international peace and
security. They demanded that the Taliban turn over bin Laden and
close all terror training camps. The 2000 resolution imposed an
arms embargo, urged the closing of any overseas Taliban offices,
and barred the Afghan airline from most international flights.
During this period, we continued to meet with the Taliban
occasionally, although the dialogue-never productive-had become
completely sterile. In repeating our warnings, Mike Sheehan was
explicit, "If bin Laden or any of the organizations affiliated with
him attacks the United States or United States interests, we will
hold you personally accountable. Do you understand? This is from
the highest levels of our government." In May 2000, Under Secretary
of State for Political Affairs Tom Pickering reinforced this
message yet again in a meeting in Pakistan with Mullah Jalil,
"deputy foreign minister" and a close associate of Mullah Omar.
The Taliban was a national, not an international movement. It
did not exhibit the same malevolently grandiose ambitions that
al-Qaeda did in carrying out acts of terror abroad. Further, bin
Laden had already relocated to Afghanistan when the Taliban seized
power, so there was no pre-existing connection between them.
Nevertheless, a symbiotic relationship developed between the
Taliban and bin Laden. The Taliban needed money and muscle that bin
Laden provided. Bin Laden needed space for his operatives to live
and train. By mid-1998, bin Laden's influence was reflected in the
increasingly pan-Islamist statements of Taliban leaders. Mullah
Omar must have concluded that without bin Laden his power in
Afghanistan would be threatened. In retrospect, it is clear the
Taliban never had any intention of giving bin Laden up or of
forcing him to leave.
One obvious question is whether we placed a high enough priority
on trying to pressure the Taliban. After September 11, it is a fair
question, but it is also a question few asked before that date, so
the issue of hindsight is relevant here.
For example, the National Commission on Terrorism, chaired by
Ambassador L. Paul Bremer III, did not express any concern, or make
any recommendations, about U.S. policy toward the Taliban in its
congressionallymandated June 2000 report, other than to suggest
that the Taliban be placed on the U.S. Government's official list
of state sponsors of terror. We didn't do this because the Taliban
was already the target of sanctions and because listing it as a
state sponsor of terror would have been tantamount to international
recognition of the Taliban as the legitimate government of
Afghanistan. That was a bargaining chip we had no intention of
giving up in the absence of cooperation on terror.
Pakistan
In the fall of 1997, as secretary of state, I journeyed to South
Asia, arriving in Pakistan at a turbulent time. Earlier in the
year, I had personally requested the assistance of Prime Minister
Nawaz Sharif in arranging for the return to American jurisdiction
of Mir Aimal Kansi, a Pakistani wanted for shooting and killing two
CIA employees outside the agency's headquarters in January, 1993.
Sharif agreed, but asked that word of his government's cooperation
in the arrest and transfer not become public. Unfortunately, the
news leaked almost as soon as Kansi reached American soil,
embarrassing Sharif and triggering anti-American demonstrations. On
November 10, just days before my trip, a Fairfax County jury found
Kansi guilty. The very next morning, four American oil company
employees were gunned down in the Pakistani port city of Karachi.
Speculation was strong that the killings were in retaliation for
Kansi's trial, and had been carried out by members of a militant
extremist group that I had recently included on the State
Department's newly formal list of international terrorist
groups.
The killings highlighted the lawless frontier mentality that had
developed in areas along the border between Pakistan and
Afghanistan. The region had been used as a military staging ground
throughout the 1980's, funneling U.S. and Pakistani help to Afghan
mujahadeen forces resisting the invasion of their country by the
Soviet Union. When the hated Soviets were driven out, the area lost
its claim on the attention of the international community and most
particularly the United States. This left a vacuum in which lots of
very militant people had guns, but no jobs. For several years,
regional warlords battled each other and carved Afghanistan into
pieces, attracting terrorist groups, and creating waves of
instability that crossed the border. This undermined security in
Pakistan while also making it harder for Pakistanis to export goods
through Afghanistan to points further north. As a result, Islamabad
welcomed the restoration of relative order in Afghanistan that
followed the rise of the Taliban.
During my 1997 visit, Foreign Minister Gohar Ayub Khan told me
that Pakistan favored a negotiated settlement to the civil war in
Afghanistan, but blamed Iran for stirring up trouble by supplying
arms to the anti-Taliban Northern Alliance. I said, "the Taliban
may have imposed law and order, but their rules are excessive. The
Taliban can never control the whole country, so all groups must be
involved in a solution. It concerns the United States that Pakistan
is in danger of being isolated because of its support for the
Taliban, which is seen as authoritarian at best, and preposterous
at worst, by the rest of the world." At a press conference later, I
denounced the Taliban for "their despicable treatment of women and
children and their general lack of respect for human dignity."
In our diplomacy following the Africa embassy bombings, we
naturally focused on Pakistan as a source of pressure against the
Taliban. Unfortunately, we lacked leverage. Pakistan's 1998
decision to follow India's example and conduct nuclear tests had
triggered sanctions that barred us from offering economic or
military aid. It did not help that Prime Minister Sharif was on
shaky ground politically and worried about the opposition of
militantly political Islamists within his country. When the prime
minister visited Washington in December 1998, however, our message
to him was uncompromising and blunt. We told him that "Bin Laden is
a terrorist and a murderer and plans to kill again. We need your
help in bringing him to justice."
Before Sharif's second visit in July, 1999, President Clinton
wrote to the Pakistani President on two key issues - one was Bin
Laden (the other an ongoing military confrontation between Pakistan
and India). "I urge you in the strongest way," he wrote on June 19,
1999, "to get the Taliban to expel Bin Laden, a man who represents
a very serious and continuing threat to all of us. As we discussed,
there are a number of levers like oil supplies and liaison ties
that Pakistan could use to distance itself from the Taliban until
and unless they expel bin Laden. You also mentioned your control
over the Taliban's access to imports through Karachi. I would like
to see you use any or all of those levers."
Sharif replied that it was too hard to get the Taliban to give
up bin Laden voluntarily. It made more sense for the Pakistanis to
send in a team to snatch him, which is what Sharif now proposed to
do. We didn't trust the Pakistani Intelligence Service because it
was so close to the Taliban. Our experts did not believe an
operation could happen without bin Laden being tipped off in
advance. But we had nothing to lose by testing Islamabad's
intentions. At a minimum, Sharif's gesture was a sign that our
pressure was getting to him. He did not feel he could put off
President Clinton's demands any longer. The plan to snatch bin
Laden was soon aborted, however, after Sharif was ousted in a
military coup in October 1999. We pressed his successor in power,
General Pervez Musharraf, very hard but still lacked leverage
because anti-coup sanctions kicked in just as congress granted
permanent waiver authority for the sanctions previously
imposed.
As the millennium celebration approached, we were getting
threats by the bushel and had already arrested a number of Al-Qaeda
operatives. At a meeting of our foreign policy team on December 20,
1999, we decided to send emissaries to General Musharraf with the
message that we expected bin Laden to be turned over in short
order. In return, we promised support for international lending,
talks on enhanced military cooperation and a commitment by
President Clinton "to take a personal interest in encouraging
Indian-Pakistani dialogue on Kashmir."
Rick Inderfurth and Mike Sheehan went to Islamabad early in 2000
and had a three hour discussion with Musharraf on bin Laden and
other items. President Clinton underlined the same message during
his visit to Islamabad in March. The Pakistani leader said he
understood our views and expressed a desire to cooperate but did
not commit to decisive action. It was not until September 11, 2001
that Musharraf would have the motivation and justification in his
own mind to try to sever ties between al-Qaeda and Pakistani
militants. Even that has not yet resulted in the apprehension of
bin Laden, although it has apparently resulted in several attempts
on Musharraf's life.
The bottom line is that we did not have a strong hand to play
with the Pakistanis. Because of the sanctions required by U.S. law,
we had few carrots to offer. And the Pakistanis saw the Taliban as
a strategic asset in their confrontation with India over
Kashmir.
Counterterrorism Cooperation and Coordination with Saudi
Arabia
During my years as secretary of state, we were well aware of
contacts between the Government of Saudi Arabia and the Taliban.
Both ran highly conservative Sunni Muslim regimes. This is why we
went to the Saudis after the Africa embassy bombings to solicit
their help. We felt if anyone other than the Pakistanis would have
influence, they would. The Saudis claimed to us that they did their
best to persuade the Taliban to turn over bin Laden for trial
either to the United States or to a third country where he could be
tried in accordance with Islamic law. When the Taliban refused, the
Saudi government took some of the steps we requested, such as
downgrading diplomatic ties and halting most flights from the
Afghan airline.
Especially after the Africa embassy bombings, Saudi officials
were emphatic in expressing to me their disgust with bin Laden and
their embarrassment, quite frankly, at his Saudi origins. Like the
United States and Israel, the Saudi royal family was regularly
denounced by bin Laden in his periodic videotapes. On various
occasions, I asked the Saudis for information and assistance on
specific cases and it was my impression, based on the feedback I
received later from our intelligence and law enforcement personnel,
that they were often helpful. For example, FBI Director Louis Freeh
wrote to me to express appreciation for Saudi cooperation in the
investigation into the 1996 Khobar Towers bombing.
Officials from the Treasury Department met with the Saudis as
part of our worldwide effort to freeze the assets of the Taliban
and al-Qaeda and other terrorist groups. In my own meetings, I
urged the Saudis to cooperate and they said they would. I should
note, however, that my personal dealings were primarily with Crown
Prince Abdullah and Foreign Minister Saud, both of whom had rivals
within other factions of the Saudi government. I could not always
verify that the promises of the crown prince and foreign minister
to do their best produced concrete results. Nor did I have any
assurance that the Saudis had an effective system in place for
monitoring the flow of private funds to self-described "charities"
that were in reality front groups for terrorist organizations.
Many of my conversations with the Saudis on terrorism and
terrorist financing focused on anti-Israeli violence emanating from
radical Arab groups. We knew that the Saudis provided money, both
officially and unofficially, to the Palestinians. Some of this went
to the Palestinian Authority; some to umbrella organizations with a
terrorist component, such as Hamas. The Saudis insisted that the
funds for Hamas were for humanitarian purposes. I said there was no
way to control that.
Like many Arabs, Saudi leaders did not see groups like Hezbollah
and Hamas as terrorists. Although the Saudis did not specifically
condone attacks against civilians (at least not to me), they did
consider attacks against soldiers and armed settlers part of a
legitimate struggle to reclaim occupied Arab land. I had long
arguments with them about this. They thought our policies were
biased against Arabs. I said that what we were biased against was
terror and other actions that made it more difficult to make
progress toward peace.
Our relationship with the Saudis on the whole range of security
issues was highly pragmatic. Both sides recognized that there were
wide differences of values and world view. We hoped, however, that
the Saudi government grasped our shared interest in defeating
al-Qaeda, killing or jailing bin Laden, and halting acts of
violence throughout the region.
Counterterrorism and Sudan
During the eight years of the Clinton administration, we made
repeated efforts to secure cooperation from Sudan on terrorist
issues.
In 1994, while serving as U.S. permanent representative to the
United Nations, I traveled to Khartoum to meet with Sudanese
President Omar al- Bashir. We had particular concerns, which I
raised with the president, about Sudan's role in providing safe
haven, training bases and staging areas for numerous terrorist
organizations including Egyptian Islamic Jihad, Hezbollah, Hamas,
Palestinian Islamic Jihad, Abu Nidal and Gama'at al Islamiyya. We
were angered that government officials accredited to Sudan were
directly involved in the foiled plot to bomb UN headquarters in New
York. And we were disturbed by the plans of some Sudanese leaders,
particularly Hassan Turabi, head of the National Islamic Front
(NIF), to forge an international movement that would champion
radical causes using methods that included terrorism.
In 1996, following Sudanese involvement in harboring and
assisting the perpetrators of an attempt to assassinate Egyptian
President Hosni Mubarak, I succeeded in winning UN Security Council
approval of sanctions against the Khartoum regime. I was not,
however, aware of any information related to Osama bin Laden's
departure from Sudan and his return to Afghanistan that same
year.
During my tenure as secretary of state, I spent a great deal of
time in meetings related both to Sudan's record on terrorism and
its prosecution of a bloody and tragic civil war characterized by
repeated and massive violations of human rights. We did not at that
time have a regular diplomatic presence in Khartoum, due to
continuing threats made against our personnel. U.S. representatives
did, however, meet with Sudanese officials on multiple occasions in
various venues. These representatives included Undersecretary of
State for Political Affairs Thomas Pickering, Assistant Secretary
of State for African Affairs Susan Rice, and the State Department's
Counter-terrorism Coordinator Mike Sheehan. We made clear to the
Sudanese that if they desired better relations with the United
States, they would have to sever their ties to terrorist groups and
cooperate in providing detailed information on Osama bin Laden's
network and finances. Despite our specific and repeated requests,
the Government of Sudan did not to my knowledge make available any
information or files of significant intelligence or law enforcement
value. Meanwhile, we believe that Sudan remained complicit in
al-Qaeda and bin Laden's operations through the provision of
falsified passports and the transportation of operatives, weapons
and other equipment.
In 1999, the Sudanese government arrested NIF leader Turabi. We
probed to see if this welcome step might foretell a shift in
Sudan's willingness to cooperate on terrorism issues. We appointed
a special envoy for the Sudan peace process and in May 2000
dispatched a full-time counter-terrorism unit to Khartoum. This led
to increased dialogue with Sudanese officials, but no meaningful
improvements in cooperation prior to the end of my term in office.
To this day, Sudan remains on the State Department's list of state
sponsors of terror.
The U.S.S. COLE
On October 12, 2000 a small boat pulled alongside the U.S.S.
COLE, which was re-fueling in Aden Harbor off the coast of Yemen.
The boat exploded, and ripped a hole in the vessel's hull, killing
17 American sailors. The CIA and FBI investigated but were not able
to assign responsibility as rapidly as in the case of the Africa
embassy bombings. A definitive judgment assigning blame to al-Qaeda
did not take place until our administration had left office.
Notwithstanding the lack of a clear statement regarding
culpability from the CIA and FBI, Counterterrorism Coordinator
Richard Clarke urged our national security team to recommend to the
president that he order air strikes against suspected al-Qaeda
training camps in Afghanistan. Although we fully shared Mr.
Clarke's anger and frustration, his proposal was not supported by
the agencies represented on the foreign policy principals
committee. Given the scattered and low-tech nature of al-Qaeda
operations, it was not clear that air strikes directed at training
camps would cause any significant disruption to al-Qaeda. We did
not have operational intelligence at the time about the location of
bin Laden, so it was extremely unlikely the strikes would have
removed him from the scene. If we attacked, we would have to
explain why, and our explanations would not be accepted even by
allies without persuasive evidence. It seemed to me at the time
that the proposal to recommend strikes was certainly an option our
team should have been considering, but one that would likely have
produced a new spike in anti-American sentiment in the Arab and
Muslim worlds without any significant reduction in the threat posed
to our citizens by al-Qaeda.
After the Africa embassy bombings, we repeatedly warned the
Taliban that they would be held accountable if bin Laden were
responsible for any further terrorist strikes against U.S. targets.
We said after the COLE bombing that we would not rule out any
option if and when the attack was traced back to bin Laden. That
connection was reportedly established after the Clinton
administration left office. According to the Joint Inquiry by the
House and Senate Intelligence Committees into the U.S. Intelligence
Community and the September 11 attacks, the Bush administration
subsequently sent a demarche to Pakistan warning the Taliban that
it would be held responsible for any further attacks. This was
simply a repeat of the warning we had issued many times previously.
So instead of making good on our threat, the Bush Administration
chose simply to restate it. This was a reflection of the
complications involved in trying to oust the Taliban via military
force prior to September 11, 2001.
It is also worth remembering that from the time of the Africa
embassy bombings until the day the Clinton administration left
office, the president was prepared to order military action to
capture or kill bin Laden. If we had had the predictive
intelligence we needed, we would have done so - before or after the
attack on the COLE - and I would have strongly supported that
step.
Recommendations
Clarity of Goals. Mr. Chairman and members of the
Commission, I am pleased to have the chance to offer
recommendations for the future. I think this is the area where this
panel can make the most significant and lasting contribution to our
nation. The commission was created because of what happened on
September 11, but what happens next is something we still have time
to influence.
We must begin by thinking clearly about what it is we are trying
to accomplish. After September 11, President Bush said that our
nation's goal and responsibility to history was "to rid the world
of evil." That is a noble but impossibly ambitious quest. As long
as humans are human, evil will exist. Our nation's strategic
purpose can only sensibly be expressed in more mundane terms--to
confront and defeat the individuals and groups who attacked us.
We need to remember that we were not attacked by a
noun--terrorism. We were attacked by individuals affiliated with
al-Qaeda and Osama bin Laden. They are the declared enemies of
America; they are the ones who killed our fellow citizens; and they
are the ones who boast of their intention to do so again. Pursuing,
confronting and defeating them should be the focus of our
policy.
American power and resources are extensive, but not
inexhaustible. If we establish strategic goals that are
unnecessarily expansive, such as the elimination not only of
threats but of potential threats; not only of enemies but also
potential enemies; not only of our own adversaries but also the
adversaries of others; we will stretch ourselves to the breaking
point and beyond, and become more vulnerable, not less, to those
truly wishing to do us harm.
Certainly, there are other terrorist organizations that we
should continue to work with friends and allies to stop. But there
is a difference between opposing those whose values we do not share
and defeating those whose values we do not share who are also
trying to kill us. That distinction should not be lost.
It is a symptom of how different the current confrontation is
compared to others our nation has faced that there is not a
government on earth that openly embraces al-Qaeda or its
objectives. An obvious reason is bin Laden's desire to do away with
the very institution of the state in the Muslim world and replace
it with a revived and fundamentalist caliphate governing all
Muslims. It is a rare government that supports its own
dissolution.
This lack of explicit state support for al-Qaeda is welcome, but
it also complicates our task and makes it harder to gauge the
success of current strategies. As Secretary Rumsfeld wrote in a
memo last October: "Today, we lack metrics to know if we are
winning or losing the global war on terror. Are we capturing,
killing or deterring and dissuading more terrorists every day than
the madrassas and the radical clerics are recruiting, training and
deploying against us?"
Administration spokesmen have responded to this dilemma by
citing the number of "known" al-Qaeda leaders who have been killed
or captured. That is understandable but not necessarily helpful. It
is hard to assess, for example, what effect even the capture or
killing of bin Laden would have on the magnitude of the future
threat. We need to remember that there is an ideological component
to al-Qaeda's existence; this is not a criminal gang that can be
rounded up and put behind bars; it is the lethal center of a
spreading virus that has wholly perverted the minds of thousands,
while distorting the thinking of millions more. It is a virus that
will continue to spread until the right medicine is found.
So what then is the remedy?
I believe it begins with confidence. Bin Laden and his cohorts
have absolutely nothing to offer their followers except
destruction, death and the illusion of glory. Puncturing this
illusion is the key to winning the battle of ideas that fuels the
detonation of bombs. A part of that task is to expose the utter
emptiness and sterility of al-Qaeda's political agenda. This group
does not speak for the Palestinians, who have denounced them. It
does not speak for the Iraqis, many of whom it has killed. It does
not speak for the majority of Muslims the tenets of whose faith it
has repeatedly violated. Nor does it speak for the majority of
Arabs whose proud culture it has utterly betrayed.
The problem therefore is not combating al-Qaeda's inherent
appeal, for it has none.
The problem is changing the fact that major components of
America's foreign policy are either opposed or misunderstood by the
vast majority of Arabs and Muslims, and by unprecedented numbers of
Europeans, Asians, Latin Americans and Africans as well. According
to Ambassador Edward Djerejian, chair of the State Department's
Advisory Group on Public Diplomacy for the Arab and Muslim world,
"The bottom has indeed fallen out of support for the United
States."
This unpopularity has handed bin Laden a gift that he has
eagerly exploited. He sees himself, and is viewed by many, as a
leader of all those who harbor anti-American sentiments whether for
specific policy reasons or out of more general feelings of
resentment. This has given him visibility and a following that is
wholly undeserved. If we are to succeed, we must be sure that bin
Laden goes down in history not as a defender of the faith or
champion of the dispossessed, but rather as what he is-a murderer,
a traitor to Islam, and a loser.
Long-term plan. The unraveling of America's global
prestige over the past three years will require considerable time
and effort to mend. It was disturbing, therefore, to see Defense
Secretary Rumsfeld admit in that same October memo that "the US is
putting relatively little effort into a long-range plan." That
seems to me the wrong policy. I believe we need to put a lot of
effort into a long-range plan to prevent the current generation of
anti-American terrorists from being succeeded by a new, larger and
even more deadly one. We need a strategy that uses the full range
of national security tools, including military force, diplomacy,
help from allies and international institutions, and foreign
assistance.
Such a plan should include:
1) The comprehensive reform of all aspects of our intelligence
collection and analysis activities. I admire greatly the men and
women who work in the intelligence community, but it is clear that
the challenges they face have outstripped the capabilities they
have. The cold war intelligence infrastructure is ill-suited to the
new terrorist threat. There is an obvious need for improvements in
evaluating the credibility of informants, verifying leads provided
by foreign intelligence sources, penetrating terrorist groups,
developing appropriate language skills, conducting all-source
analysis, and ensuring that ominous patterns in data derived from
diverse sources are perceived and acted upon in time.
2) Steady pressure to improve coordination at all levels between
the intelligence community and the FBI.
3) Military reforms that include higher overall troop levels and
emphasis on special operations forces that can deploy rapidly in
response to targets of opportunity.
4) A vastly expanded commitment to public diplomacy and
outreach, especially toward Arab and Muslim-majority nations. This
must include innovative and effective long-term strategies for
correcting misapprehensions about American motives, policies and
intentions.
5) A long overdue NATO-led campaign to improve security
throughout Afghanistan, reverse the current rise in narcotics
production that is helping to finance the return of radical groups,
enhance the authority of the central government, and accelerate
economic reconstruction and human development projects.
6) A comprehensive review of U.S. policy toward Saudi Arabia
aimed at assisting the Saudi government in fulfilling its pledges
to halt financing of terrorist groups, remove incendiary passages
from school textbooks, and break-up al-Qaeda cells. The United
States should also accede to the Saudi request to declassify as
much as possible of the 28 pages dealing with Saudi Arabia that
were included in the September 11 congressional joint intelligence
committee report and have not yet been made public.
7) A comprehensive review of U.S. policy toward Pakistan aimed
at ensuring that the government and people of that country have the
strongest possible incentives to cooperate with the United States
in defeating al-Qaeda and in preventing the spread of nuclear
weapons and expertise. The U.S.-Pakistani relationship has become
among the most important-as well as the most complex--on earth.
President Musharraf has put his own life at risk to oppose
pro-al-Qaeda elements within Pakistan. If he does not succeed, it
may be a long time before another Muslim leader does the same.
Musharraf will not succeed in the long run, however, if he fails to
support a process for strengthening democratic institutions and
restoring democratic rule.
8) Expansion of the Nunn-Lugar program to secure materials and
expertise related to weapons of mass destruction on a global basis.
The United States can begin by recovering the estimated 15,000 tons
of weapons-grade uranium it has dispensed to more than 40 countries
during the last several decades. This is enough uranium to make
roughly 1000 nuclear bombs.
9) Recognition that the world has changed and old threats have
been replaced by new ones. Organizations such as NATO that were
created to counter the aggressive designs of a monolithic and
imperial superpower must be re-oriented to defeat the pernicious
schemes of terrorists. Antiterrorist strategies must be part of the
agenda of every major multilateral political and military
organization in which the United States participates.
10) Assistance to other countries to help build their capacity
to counter terrorism. Many nations that face a current or potential
terrorist presence lack the resources, skills and training to
police their own borders and territory effectively. The will of
such states to cooperate with us may be much higher than their
ability to do so. We need to help them help us through expanded
investments in training, equipment and technologysharing.
11) A change in the tone of American national security policy to
emphasize the value of diplomatic cooperation rather than boast
about U.S. capabilities. Secretary of State Powell has made a
concerted effort to begin this.
We also need to think through the consequences of our policies.
This statement is not the place to debate the wisdom of going to
war in Iraq at the time we did with the support we had. It is worth
noting, however, that before the war the president predicted that
"the terrorist threat to America and the world will be diminished
the moment that Saddam Hussein is disarmed." After the war, he
admitted that "Iraq has become the central front in the war against
terror." According to one terrorism specialist for the
Congressional Research Service, "Iraq is a rallying cause for
al-Qaeda - it's allowed them to attract new recruits. This was an
organization that was under enormous pressure. Iraq has put new
wind in its sails, definitely." A survey released by the Pew Global
Attitudes Project on March 16 showed a large majority or plurality
of people in each country surveyed believe the Iraq conflict hurt
the war on terror while also raising doubts about U.S. motives and
credibility. Roughly two-thirds of those surveyed from Jordan and
Morocco believe suicide bombings against Americans and other
westerners in Iraq are justifiable.
Adherence to democratic values. I have found widespread
dismay in many corners of the world at the Bush Administration's
decision to detain hundreds of people in Guantanamo for more than
two years without trial, access to legal assistance or any specific
charges being made against them. No other aspect of our policy has
done as much to squander support for the United States and to
create doubts about our commitment to our own ideals. It is
possible and perhaps probable that anger over these detentions has
helped bin Laden succeed in recruiting more new operatives than the
number of suspects now being held. I recommend that we either
charge the detainees or release them as soon as possible. In the
words of the 2000 National Commission on Terrorism, chaired by L.
Paul Bremer III, "Terrorist attacks against America threaten more
than the tragic loss of individual lives. Some terrorists hope to
provoke a response that undermines our Constitutional system of
government. So U.S. leaders must find the appropriate balance by
adopting counterterrorism policies which are effective but also
respect the democratic traditions which are the bedrock of
America's strength."
Terrorism, Democracy and the Middle East. President Bush
has suggested that the best way to fight terrorism in the long term
is to lay the groundwork for the democratic transformation of the
Middle East. According to National Security Adviser Condoleezza
Rice, "The transformation of the Middle East is the only guarantee
that it will no longer produce ideologies of hatred that lead men
to fly airplanes into buildings in New York or Washington.
I certainly support the democratization of the Middle East. But
in discussing it, we need to avoid two illusions. The first is that
because transformation is billed as the solution to terrorism,
supporting it makes other counter-terrorism efforts less necessary.
That is certainly not the case. The second is that supporting
democracy in the Middle East is a substitute for leadership in
pursuing Israeli-Palestinian peace.
President Bush has argued that the way to make progress in the
Middle East is to create a model democracy in Iraq. This, he says,
will inspire the Palestinians to elect new leaders who will then
crack down on violence and make peace on terms Israel can accept. I
only wish it were that simple.
A stable and democratic Iraq would provide many benefits, but it
will not by itself change Arab and Palestinian views about the
rights and wrongs of history or what constitutes an acceptable
outcome in the Middle East. And nothing would do more to doom a
democracy initiative at birth than a perception that we are trying
to change the subject from the Israeli-Palestinian crisis.
The good news is that many Arabs do want democracy. Recent
surveys show that--despite widespread opposition to American
policies--there is widespread enthusiasm among Arab populations for
democratic values such as freedom of expression, multi-party
systems and equal treatment under the law. The same surveys show
solid majorities in places such as Jordan, Morocco and Kuwait
believing that the principles of western-style democracy would work
well in their countries.
The first element in any strategy for encouraging democracy in
the Middle East must be to emphasize its reliance on local input
and ideas.
Second, it must be multilateral. The label "Made in America" is
not a selling point.
Third, the initiative must recognize the differences within the
Arab world and between Arab and other Muslim-majority states. A
cookie cutter approach that treats each of these societies the same
would be simplistic and sure to fail.
Fourth, the strategy should be aimed at building democratic
institutions gradually and from the ground up.
This means that it must include 1) education reform so students
are taught how to succeed in the modern world, rather than try to
destroy it; 2) economic reform and improved governance so outside
investment is encouraged, small businesses can prosper and more
young people can find good jobs; 3) training in the basics of
political organization and campaigning so a true and peaceful
competition of ideas is nurtured; 4) measures to discredit, expose
and curtail corruption so the rule of law is enhanced; 5) scholarly
discussions about how to find the right fit between the demands of
democracy and the requirements of Islam; 6) a process for ensuring
that women's voices are heard so the talents of all are enlisted in
creating and sustaining democracy; and 7) opportunities for
Arab-Americans to play a key role by sharing their own democratic
experiences and knowledge.
No Middle East democracy initiative will succeed if it is viewed
within the region as patronizing or imperial or as a way of
avoiding hard questions about the Palestinians and Israel. However,
there is a corollary to this. The world should not allow Arab
leaders to use the Israeli-Palestinian dispute as a way to avoid
hard questions about the nature of their own policies and
governments.
To paraphrase something Yitzhak Rabin once said about terrorism
and the pursuit of peace: We should seek peace regardless of how
well democratization is proceeding; and we should seek democracy
regardless of whether peace negotiations are going well.
Information. During the cold war, our government
developed an elaborate apparatus for gathering information and then
keeping it secret except from those with a very specific need to
know. As a result, much more data flowed up the chain of command
than spread across it, while very little trickled down. The
dissemination of information was controlled by the originating
agency. And clear separations were maintained between public and
private, domestic and international, law enforcement and
intelligence. Agencies such as the CIA and FBI developed their own
sets of priorities, procedures and cultures-and did not learn how
to cooperate or share information very well.
The old system was appropriate for the times, but the times have
obviously changed. Al-Qaeda does not pose the same kind of threat
as the Soviet Union. It is far less powerful, but it is also harder
to see, harder to predict and harder to deter. Its goal is to kill
people. Preventing that requires a military, intelligence and law
enforcement response system that is fast, flexible and
fullycoordinated.
As a former secretary of state, I am especially mindful of visa
officers who must handle huge caseloads and are required to make
judgments rapidly and without much information about the intentions
of those applying for admission to the United States. These
officers are highly dependent on the watchlists compiled by our
intelligence, law enforcement and border protection agencies. For
those watchlists to fulfill their protective purpose, the
information on them must be 1) derived from both international and
domestic sources, 2) carefullyvetted to meet agreed upon standards
of relevance and accuracy and 3) shared with those whose eyes, ears
and wits we rely upon to shield the public.
Those responsible for defending us must be able to "connect the
dots" of relevant data that are available, but the dots will not
all be available unless they are shared. It is vital, therefore,
that we improve our watchlisting systems to ensure that all
relevant agencies have access to a common data base that is
comprehensive, up-to-date, cross referenced, and readily accessible
to those who are on the front lines including visa and customs
officers, border guards and law enforcement personnel at all
levels.
Just as we need to share information between the federal and the
state and local governments, so we need to share information more
freely with other nations. Certainly, there are risks involved in
doing this. And certainly we must exercise a high degree of
prudence and care. Some governments merit our trust; others do not.
But if we want to create a truly extensive and effective web of
intelligence and law enforcement within which to ensnare our
enemies, we will need to share our information about terrorist
organizations with others to roughly the extent we demand that
others share their information with us.
Conclusion
Mr. Chairman and members of the commission, let me close by
saying that I sympathize greatly with President Bush, Secretary
Powell and others in positions of responsibility at this time. Each
day brings with it the possibility of a new terrorist strike. The
March 11 train bombings in Madrid remind us that, despite all that
has been done and is being done to protect our territory and
citizens, we have to live with the fact that the enemy-if in a
position to attack- will have a broad range of targets. We should
all expect-and prepare ourselves psychologically-for the likelihood
that further strikes will take place on our own soil.
We must be united in our determination that if and when that
happens, it will do absolutely nothing to advance the terrorists'
goals. It will not cause divisions within and among the American
people. On the contrary, it must bring us closer together. It will
not cause America to retreat from its global responsibilities. On
the contrary, it must make us even more determined to fulfill
them.
For more than two centuries, our countrymen have fought and died
so that liberty might live. Since September 11, we have been
summoned, each in our own way, to join in a new chapter of that
struggle. We cannot under-estimate the risks or anticipate that
final victories will come easily or soon. But we can draw strength
from the knowledge of what terror can and cannot do. Terror can
turn life to death, laughter to tears, and shared hopes to
sorrowful memories. It can crash a plane and bring down towers that
scraped the sky. But it cannot alter the essential goodness of the
American people; or diminish our loyalty to one another; or cause
our nation to turn its back on the world.
Obviously, it is beyond our power to turn the calendar back to
before the eleventh of September, 2001. But we do have the power
live in hope, not fear; to acknowledge the presence of evil in this
world, but never lose sight of the good; to endure terrible blows,
but never give in to those who would have us betray our principles
or surrender our faith. By so doing, we can ensure that our
adversaries will fail in their purpose; and that our nation, with
others, will continue toward its purpose of creating a freer, more
just and peaceful future for us and for all people.
Thank you very much and once again let me express my desire to
be as helpful to you as possible.
Source: National Commission on Terrorist Attacks Upon the
United States, http://www.9-11commission.gov/
Back to the top of the Page
Opening Remarks by Secretary of State Colin L.
Powell
Before the National Commission on Terrorist Attacks Upon the
United States, March 23, 2004
Washington, D.C.
SECRETARY POWELL: Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman. It's a
great pleasure to be before the Commission today, and I thank you
for the opportunity to appear before you regarding the events
leading up to and following the murderous terrorist attacks of
September 11, 2001.
It is my hope, as I know it is yours, that through the hard work
of this Commission, our country can improve the way we wage the war
on terror and, in particular, better protect our homeland and the
American people.
I am pleased to have, of course, with me today Deputy Secretary
Richard Armitage. Rich Armitage -- Secretary Armitage was sworn in
on March 26 of 2001, two months into the administration and he has
been intimately involved in the interagency deliberations on our
counterterrorism policies. And, of course, he also participated in
what are known as "principals [meetings]," as well as National
Security Council meetings whenever I was on travel or otherwise
unavailable.
Mr. Chairman and members of the Commission, I leave Washington
this evening to represent President Bush and the American people at
the memorial service in Madrid, Spain, honoring the over-200
victims of the terrorists attacks of 3/11, March 11th, 2004. With
deep sympathy and solidarity, our heart goes out to their loved
ones and to the people of Spain.
And just last Thursday, in the garden of our embassy in
Islamabad, Pakistan, I presided at a memorial service in honor of
two State Department family members, Barbara Green and her daughter
Kristen Wormsley, who were killed two years ago by terrorists while
they worshipped in church on a bright, beautiful spring
morning.
I know that the families and friends of the victims of 9/11,
some of whom are listening and watching today, grieve just as the
Spanish are grieving and just as we at the Department of State did
and still do for Barbara and Kristen.
Mr. Chairman, I am no newcomer to the horrors of terrorism. In
1983, Secretary Armitage and I were working for Secretary of
Defense Cap Weinberger, as was Secretary Lehman, at that time, when
243 wonderful, brave Marines and Navy Corpsmen were killed in
Beirut, Lebanon.
I was Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff in 1993 when the
first bombing of the World Trade Center took place.
In 1996, I may have been out of government, though I followed
closely the events surrounding the Khobar Towers bombing in Saudi
Arabia. Khobar and all the other terrorist attacks over the years
were very much part of my consciousness as I prepared to assume the
office of Secretary of State under President George Bush.
I was well aware of the fact that I was going to be sworn in to
office just three months after the USS COLE was struck in the
harbor at Aden, Yemen, taking the lives of 17 sailors and wounding
30 others.
I was well aware -- very well aware -- that our embassies in
Kenya and Tanzania had been blown up in 1998, injuring some 4,000
people and killing 220, 12 of them Americans -- the highest number
of casualties in a single incident in the State Department's
history.
As the new Chief Executive Officer of the Department of State, I
was acutely aware that I would be responsible to President Bush. He
made this clear that this was my responsibility, for the safety of
the men and women serving at our posts overseas, as well as for the
safety and welfare of private American citizens traveling and
living abroad.
The 1999 Crowe Commission Report on embassy security became our
blueprint for upgrading the security of all of our facilities.
Admiral Crowe had done an extensive review and made some scathing
criticisms on how lax our country was in protecting our personnel
who were serving abroad from terrorist attacks. And one of my first
actions was to ask retired Major General Chuck Williams of the Army
Corps of Engineers to come into the Department and head our
building operation. We wanted him to move aggressively to implement
the Crowe recommendations and to protect our people and our
installations, and he has done a tremendous job of that.
At the beginning of this administration, we were building one
new, secure embassy a year. Today we are building 10 new secure
embassies every single year.
As the president's principal foreign policy advisor, I was well
aware, as was the president and all the members of the new national
security team, that Communism and Fascism, our old foes of the past
century, had been replaced by a new kind of enemy -- terrorism. We
were all well aware that no nation is immune to terrorism. We were
well aware that this adversary is not necessarily a state and that
often has no clear "return address." We knew that this monster is
hydra-headed, and many-tentacled. We knew that its evil leaders and
followers espouse many false causes, but have one common purpose --
to murder innocent people.
Mr. Chairman, President Bush and all of us on his team knew that
terrorism would be a major concern for us, as it has been for the
past several administrations. During the transition from the
Clinton to the Bush administration, we were pleased to receive the
briefings and information that Secretary Albright and her staff
provided us on President Clinton's counterterrorism policies and
what they had done for the previous eight years before we came into
office.
Indeed, on December 20th, four days -- four days after President
Bush announced that I would be the next secretary of state, I asked
for and got a briefing on our worldwide terrorism actions and
policies from President Clinton's Counterterrorism Security Group,
headed by Mr. Dick Clarke. In addition to Mr. Clarke, at this
briefing, my very first briefing during the transition, also
present were the CIA's [Central Intelligence Agency's]
Counterterrorism Director Mr. Cofer Black, from the FBI [Federal
Bureau of Investigation], Dale Watson. Also present were
representatives from the Department of Defense [DOD], the Joint
Chiefs of Staff [JCS], and from within the State Department,
representatives of our own Bureau of Intelligence and Research
[INR] as well as our acting Coordinator for Counterterrorism.
A major component of this briefing was al-Qaida's growing threat
to the United States, our interests around the world, and
Afghanistan's role as a safe haven for al-Qaida. As a matter of
fact, that part of the briefing got my attention, so much so that
later I asked Mr. Armitage, when he got sworn in, to get directly
involved in all these issues, and he did.
In addition, in my transition book that was provided to me by
Secretary Albright, there was a paper from Mike Sheehan, Secretary
Albright's counterterrorism coordinator, and I read it very
carefully. That transition paper, under the rubric, "Ongoing Threat
Environment," stated that, "In close coordination with the
intelligence community, we must ensure that all precautions are
taken to strengthen our security posture, warn U.S. citizens
abroad, and maintain a high level of readiness to respond to
additional incidents" that might come along.
That paper informed me that: "The joint U.S.-Yemeni
investigation of the USS Cole bombing continues to develop new
information and leads," but that "It is still too early to
definitely link, definitively link, the attack to a sponsor, i.e.
Usama bin Laden." And under "Taliban," the paper records that "We
must continue to rally international support for a new round of
U.N. sanctions, including an arms embargo against the Taliban." The
paper further stated: "We should maintain the momentum of getting
others, such as the G-8, Russia, India, the Caucasus states,
Central Asia, to isolate and pressure the Taliban...." It
continued: "If the Cole investigation leads back to Afghanistan, we
should use it to mobilize the international support needed for
further pressures on the Taliban."
Let me emphasize that the paper covered a range of
terrorism-related concerns, and not just al-Qaida and the
Taliban.
So the outgoing administration provided me and others in the
incoming administration with transition papers as well as
briefings, based on their eight years of experience, that
reinforced our awareness of the worldwide threat from
terrorism.
All of us on the Bush national security team, beginning with
President Bush, knew we needed continuity in counterterrorism
policy. We did not want terrorists to see the early months of a new
administration as a time of opportunity. And for continuity,
President Bush retained Director Tenet at the CIA. Director Tenet's
Counterterrorism Center remained under the leadership of Cofer
Black. He was kept on there until he joined the State Department
last year to become my assistant secretary for counterterrorism.
Dick Clarke was retained at the National Security Council. I
retained Ambassador Edmund Hull as acting coordinator for
counterterrorism until I was able to bring a new team in a little
bit later in the year, under the leadership of former Brigadier
General Frank Taylor of the United States Air Force's Office of
Special Investigations. He was Cofer Black's immediate predecessor.
I also retained David Carpenter as assistant secretary for
diplomatic security and kept Tom Fingar on as acting assistant
secretary for intelligence and research. Christopher Kojm, now a
staff member of your Commission, was a political appointee from the
prior administration, and we kept him on as well in order to show
continuity during this period. And of course, FBI Director Louis
Freeh provided continuity on the domestic side.
Early on, we made clear to the Congress and to the American
people that we understood the scope and compelling nature of the
threat from terrorism. For example, on February 7, 2001, just a few
weeks into the administration, my acting assistant secretary for
intelligence, Tom Fingar, who had served in the same capacity in
the previous administration, testified before the Senate Select
Committee on Intelligence regarding "Threats to the United States."
In the first part of his testimony, he highlighted the threat from
unconventional forces, saying: "The magnitude of each individual
threat is small, but, in aggregate, unconventional threats probably
pose a more immediate danger to Americans than do foreign armies,
nuclear weapons, long-range missiles or the proliferation, even, of
weapons of mass destruction [WMD] and delivery systems."
Fingar then went on -- Mr. Fingar then went on to single out
Usama bin Laden, saying that: "Plausible, if not always credible,
threats linked to his organizations target Americans and America's
friends or interests on almost every continent." Mr. Chairman,
members of the Commission, the Department of State was well aware
of the terrorist threat.
The new Bush administration, as had the Clinton administration,
created counterterrorism and regional interagency committees to
study the counterterrorism issue in a comprehensive way. The
committees, in turn, reported to a Deputies Committee, chaired by
Deputy National Security Advisor Stephen Hadley, on which Mr.
Armitage was my representative. The Deputies, in turn, reported to
cabinet-level Principals Committees, which answered to the National
Security Council, chaired by the president. These committees,
however, were not by any means the sum and substance of our
interagency discussions on counterterrorism, nor did they represent
all that was happening within the administration on a day-to-day
basis.
In order to keep in constant touch on counterterrorism issues,
as well as all of the other items on our agenda, Secretary
Rumsfeld, Dr. Rice and I held a daily coordination phone call
meeting on every morning that we were in town at 7:15. In addition
to our regular and frequent meetings, at the State Department every
morning at 8:30 I met with my staff and immediately had available
at 8:30, information from my INR section, my intelligence people,
as well as my counterterrorism coordinator, as well as the
assistant secretary in charge of diplomatic security. We formalized
regular luncheons with Dr. Rice, myself, the vice president and
Secretary Rumsfeld, in order to make sure that we stayed in closest
touch with each other, not only on terrorism, but on all
issues.
Above all, from the start, the president, by word and deed, made
clear his interest and his intense desire to protect the nation
from terrorism. He frequently asked and prodded us to do more. He
decided early on that we needed to be more aggressive in going
after terrorists and especially al-Qaida. As he said in early
spring, as we were developing our new comprehensive strategy, "I'm
tired of swatting flies." He wanted a thorough, comprehensive,
diplomatic, military, intelligence, law enforcement and financial
strategy to go after al-Qaida.
It was a demanding order, but it was a necessary one. There were
many other compelling issues that were on our agenda that a new
administration has to take into account: A Middle East policy that
had just collapsed; the sanctions on Iraq had been unraveling
steadily since 1998; [and] relations with Russia and China were
complicated by the need to expel Russian spies in February, and the
plane collision with a Chinese fighter in April. There were many
foreign leaders who were coming to the United States, or wanted us
to visit them to get engaged with the new administration.
Yes, we had to deal with all of these pressing matters and more.
But we also were confident that we had an experienced
counterterrorism team in place. President Bush and his entire
national security team understood that terrorism had to be among
our highest priorities. And it was.
Now, what did we do to act on that priority?
Our counterterrorism planning developed very rapidly,
considering the challenges of transition and of a new
administration.
We were not given a counterterrorism action plan by the previous
administration. As I mentioned, we were given good briefings on
what they had been doing with respect to al-Qaida and with respect
to the Taliban. The briefers, as well as the principals, conveyed
to us the gravity of the threat posed by al-Qaida. But we noted
early on that the actions that the previous administration had
taken had not succeeded in eliminating the threat.
As a result, Dr. Rice directed a thorough policy review aimed at
developing a comprehensive strategy to eliminate the al-Qaida
threat. This was in her first week in her new position as national
security advisor. This decision did not await any Deputies or
Principals Committee review. She knew what we had to do and she put
us to the task of doing it.
We wanted the new policy to go well beyond tit-for-tat
retaliation. We felt that lethal strikes that largely miss the
terrorists, if you don't have adequate targeting information, such
as the cruise missile strikes in 1998, might lead al-Qaida to
believe that we lacked resolve. These strikes had obviously not
deterred al-Qaida from subsequently attacking the USS Cole.
We wanted to move beyond the roll-back policy of containment,
criminal prosecution, and limited retaliation for specific
terrorist attacks. We wanted to destroy al-Qaida.
We understood that Pakistan was critical to the success of our
long-term strategy. To get at al-Qaida, we had to end Pakistan's
support for the Taliban. So we had to recast our relations with
that country. But nuclear sanctions, caused by Pakistan's nuclear
weapons tests and the nature of the new regime -- the way President
Musharraf took office -- made it difficult for us to work with
Pakistan. We knew, however, that achieving sustainable new
relations with Pakistan meant moving more aggressively to
strengthen and shape our relations with India as well. So we began
this rather more complex diplomatic approach very quickly upon
assuming office, even as we were putting the strategy on paper and
deciding its other, more complicated, elements.
For example, in February of 2001, Presidents Bush and Musharraf
exchanged letters. Let me quote a few lines from President Bush's
February 16th letter to President Musharraf of Pakistan. This was
just a few weeks after coming into office. The president said to
President Musharraf:
"Pakistan is an important member of the community of nations and
one with which I hope to build better relations, particularly as
you move ahead to return to civilian, constitutional government. We
have concerns of which you are aware, but I am hopeful we can work
together on our differences in the years ahead...."
"We should work together," the president continued, "to address
Afghanistan's many problems. The most pressing of these is
terrorism, and it inhibits progress on all other issues. The
continued presence of Usama bin Laden and his al-Qaida organization
is a direct threat to the United States and its interests that must
be addressed. I believe al-Qaida also threatens Pakistan's
long-term interests. We joined the United Nations in passing
additional sanctions against the Taliban to bring bin Laden to
justice and to close the network of terrorist camps in their
territory." The president concluded, "I urge you to use your
influence with the Taliban to bring this about...."
President Bush was very concerned about al-Qaida and about the
safe haven given them by the Taliban. But he knew that implementing
the diplomatic roadmap we envisioned would be difficult.
The Deputies went to work reviewing all of these complex
regional issues. Early on we realized that a serious effort to
remove al-Qaida's safe haven in Afghanistan might well require
introducing military forces, especially ground forces. This,
without the cooperation of Pakistan, would be out of the question.
Pakistan had vital interests in Afghanistan, and was deeply
suspicious of India's intentions. Pakistan's and India's mutual
fears and suspicions threatened to boil over into nuclear conflict
as the administration got into the early months of its existence.
To put it mildly, the situation was delicate and dangerous. Any
effort to effect change had to be calibrated very carefully, to
avoid misperception and miscalculation.
Under the leadership of Steve Hadley, deputy national security
advisor, the Deputies met a number of times during the spring and
summer to craft this strategy for eliminating the al-Qaida threat
and dealing with the complex implications for Afghanistan,
Pakistan, and India.
So we began to develop this more aggressive and more
comprehensive strategy. And while we did so, we continued
activities that had been going on in the previous administration
aimed at al-Qaida and other terrorist groups, including
intelligence activities. For example, during the summer of 2001,
the CIA succeeded in a number of disruption activities against
terrorist groups. These are activities where our agents create
turmoil among those groups they know to be associated with
terrorists so that the terrorists cannot assemble, cannot
communicate, can't effectively plan, receive any support or money,
and are generally unable to act in a coordinated fashion. You will
hear more about these activities from Director Tenet tomorrow, but
I want to emphasize that, notwithstanding all these intelligence
activities that were underway, at no time during the early months
of our administration were we presented with a vetted, viable
operational proposal, which would have led to an opportunity to
kill, capture or otherwise neutralize Usama bin Laden -- [we] never
received any targetable information.
Let me return now to our diplomatic efforts. From early 2001
onward, we pressed the Taliban directly and sought the assistance
of the government of Pakistan and other neighboring states to put
additional pressure on the Taliban to expel bin Laden from
Afghanistan and to shut down al-Qaida.
On February 8, 2001, less than three weeks into the
administration, we closed the Taliban office in New York,
implementing the U.N. resolutions passed the previous month, I must
say, with the strong support and the dedicated efforts of Secretary
Albright and Under Secretary Pickering.
In March, we repeated the warning to the Taliban that they would
be held responsible for any al-Qaida attack against our
interests.
In April 2001, senior Departmental officials traveled to
Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyz Republic, Tajikistan to lay out our
key concerns, including about terrorism and Afghanistan. We asked
these Central Asian nations to coordinate their efforts with the
various Afghan players who were opposed to the Taliban. We also
used what we call the "Bonn Group" of concerned countries to bring
together Germany, Russia, Iran, Pakistan and the United States to
build a common approach to Afghanistan. At the same time, we
encouraged and supported the "Rome Group" of expatriate Afghans to
explore alternatives to the Taliban.
In May, Deputy Secretary Armitage met with First Deputy Foreign
Minister Trubnikov of the Russian Federation to renew the work of
the U.S.-Russia Working Group on Afghanistan. These discussions had
previously been conducted at a lower level. We focused specifically
on what we could do together about Afghanistan and about the
Taliban. This, incidentally, laid the groundwork for obtaining
Russian cooperation on liberating Afghanistan immediately after
9/11.
CHAIRMAN KEAN: Mr. Secretary --
SECRETARY POWELL: Mid-June --
CHAIRMAN KEAN: We are going to run out of time if --
SECRETARY POWELL: Yes. I will -- I will get -- shortly.
CHAIRMAN KEAN: Thank you, sir.
SECRETARY POWELL: I just wanted to make the point that in June
and July and August, we took every effort that was available to us
to put pressure on Pakistan to cut its losses with the Taliban and
to take every effort possible to make sure that Pakistan understood
the need to bring Afghanistan around to eliminating the threat
provided by al-Qaida and its presence in Afghanistan.
We also put into play a number of other options that were
available to us. As we know, during this period, we looked at some
of the ideas that Mr. Clarke's team had presented that had not been
tried in the previous administration. These activities fit the
long-term time frame of our new strategy and were presented to us
that way by Mr. Clarke. In other words, these were long-term
actions that he had in mind and not immediate actions that would
produce immediate results. If these ideas made sense, we explored
them. If they looked workable, we adopted them.
For example, we provided new counterterrorism aid to Uzbekistan
because we knew al-Qaida was sponsoring a terrorist effort in that
country led by the Islamic Movement. We looked at the Predator
[unmanned aerial vehicle -- UAV]. The Predator, at that time, in
early 2001, was not an armed weapon that we used to go after
anyone. And Mr. Rumsfeld and Mr. Tenet will talk more about this.
But by the end of that summer period, and as we entered September
and October, it was a weapon that was usable, and it was used
extensively and effectively after 9/11 when it was ready.
Other ideas, such as arming the Northern Alliance with
significant weaponry or giving them an added capability did not
seem to be a practical thing to do at that time, for the same sorts
of reasons that Secretary Albright discussed earlier.
The basic elements of our new strategy, which came together
during these early months of the administration, first and
foremost, [to] eliminate al-Qaida. It was no longer to roll it back
or reduce its effectiveness; our goal was to destroy it. The
strategy would call for ending all sanctuaries given to al-Qaida.
We would try to do this first through diplomacy, but if diplomacy
failed and there was a call for additional measures, including
military operations, we would be prepared to do it, and military
action would be more than just launching cruise missiles at
already-warned targets. In fact, the strategy called for attacking
al-Qaida and the Taliban's leadership, their command and control,
their ground forces, and other targets.
The strategy would recognize the need for significant aid, not
only to the Northern Alliance, but to other tribal groups that
might help us with this. It would also include greatly expanding
intelligence authorities, capabilities and funding. While all this
was taking place, Mr. Chairman, members of the committee, we did
everything we could to protect the lives of American citizens
around the world.
As you know, the threat information that we were receiving from
the CIA and other sources suggested that we were increasingly at
risk and the risk was -- looked to be mostly overseas. And while
that is my responsibility, others in our administration were
looking at the threat within the United States. But in response to
these overseas threats, we issued threat warnings constantly. Every
time the threat level went up, we would respond with appropriate
threat warnings to our embassies, to our citizens around the world
who were traveling or living in foreign countries, warning them of
the nature of the threat and encouraging them to take the necessary
cautions.
So it is not as if we weren't responding to the threat. We were
responding to the threat in the way that we could respond to the
threat: with warnings, with emergency action committee meetings in
our embassies to make sure that we were "buttoning down" and
"buttoning up."
Mr. Chairman, this all continued throughout the summer. It
reached a conclusion in early September, when all the pieces of our
strategy came together -- the intelligence part, the diplomatic
part, the military components of it, law enforcement, the nature of
the challenge we had before us, which was to eliminate al-Qaida --
it all came together on the 4th of September at a Principals
meeting where we concluded our work on the National Security
Directive that would be telling everybody in the administration
what we were going to do as we move forward.
It took us roughly eight months to get to that point, but it was
a solid eight months of dedicated work to bring us to that point.
And then, as we all know, 9/11 hit and we had to accelerate all of
our efforts and go onto a different kind of footing altogether.
I just might point out that with respect to Pakistan, consistent
with the decisions that we had made in early September, after 9/11,
within two days, Mr. Armitage had contacted the Pakistani
intelligence chiefs who were -- happened to be in the United
States, and laid out what we now needed from Pakistan. The time for
diplomacy and discussions were over; we needed immediate action.
And Mr. Armitage laid out seven specific steps for Pakistan to take
to join us in this effort. We gave them 24-to-48 hours to consider
it, and then I called President Musharraf and said, "We need your
answer now. We need you as part of this campaign, this crusade."
And President Musharraf made a historic and strategic decision that
evening when I spoke to him, changed his policy and became a
partner in this effort as opposed to a hindrance to the effort.
Mr. Chairman, I have to also say that we were successful during
this period in rounding up international support. The OAS
[Organization of American States], Organization of the Islamic
Conference, the United Nations, NATO, the entire international
community rallied to our effort.
To summarize all of this, Mr. Chairman, I might say that this
administration came in fully recognizing the threat presented to
the United States and its interests and allies around the world by
terrorism. We went to work on it immediately. The president made it
clear it was a high priority. The interagency group is working. We
had continuity in our counterterrorism institutions and
organizations. We kept démarching as was done in the
previous administration, but while we were démarching,
and while we were doing intelligence activities to disrupt, we were
putting in place a comprehensive strategy that pulled all of these
things together in a more aggressive way and in a way that would go
after this threat in order to destroy it and not just keep
démarching it.
We had eight or so months to do that, and in early September,
that strategy came together. And when 9/11 hit us, and brought us
to that terrible day that none of us will ever forget, that
strategy was ready, and it was the basis upon which we went forward
and we could accelerate all of our efforts. While I was warning
embassies -- and taking cover in our embassies -- in response to
the threats, Secretary Rumsfeld was doing the same thing with
military forces. Director Tenet was doing the same thing with his
assets around the world. And our domestic agencies, the FBI, the
FAA [Federal Aviation Administration], were also looking at what
they needed to protect the nation.
Most of us still thought that the principal threat was outside
the country. We didn't know, while we were going through this
procedure and through these policies, and putting together this
comprehensive strategy, that those who were going to perpetrate
9/11 were already in the country, had been in the country for some
time and were hard at work. Anything we might have done against
al-Qaida during this period or against Usama bin Laden may or may
not have any influence on these people who were already in the
country, already had their instructions, already burrowed in, and
were getting ready to commit the crimes that we saw on 9/11.
Nevertheless, we knew that al-Qaida was ultimately the source of
this kind of terror and were determined to go after it.
As Secretary Albright said earlier, we have many other things we
have to do in the months and years ahead. We have to get our
message out. We have to do more with public diplomacy. We have to
do more with our allies and with our partners around the world. We
are working on all these issues. But al-Qaida no longer has a safe
haven in Afghanistan. The people of Afghanistan are on their way to
democracy. I was there last week. There are going to be no more
weapons of mass destruction or safe havens in Iraq. The people of
Iraq have been liberated, and they're on their way to a democracy.
And so I think we're trying to create conditions where we will
bring the whole civilized world together against the threat of
terrorism.
Mr. Chairman, I will end at this point, and my entire statement
is available for your record.
Source: US State Department Washington File, http://usinfo.state.gov.
Back to the Top of the Page
Statement of William S. Cohen to The National
Commission On Terrorist Attacks Upon the United States March 23,
2004
Mr. Chairman, Mr. Vice Chairman, and Members of the
Commission,
I appreciate the opportunity to appear before the Commission to
discuss counterterrorism efforts of the Defense Department and the
Interagency during my tenure as Secretary of Defense.
You have posed several questions, which I will address to the
best of my ability, although I should note that in preparing this
statement I have not had access to any non-public records with
regard to events that took place during this period three to eight
years ago and not all public records are easily accessible despite
the internet. I have also organized your questions and my responses
in a manner that seems to be most responsive to your objective and
that reduces redundancies. You asked that my written testimony be
"comprehensive." A truly comprehensive account would be book
length, at least, and require access to materials that are not
available to me. This written testimony is already longer than I
anticipated, and while a few matters are discussed in detail, in
most instances, I find it possible only to summarize matters
addressed by your questions.
U.S. Counter-Terrorism Strategy
Your first question asked about the U.S. counter-terrorism
strategy and the role of the Defense Department in that strategy
during the second Clinton Administration.
While the second Clinton Administration's approach built on the
first Administration's efforts, just as my approach derived from my
work on the Senate Intelligence and Armed Services committees, I
would point to President Clinton's December 5, 1996, announcement
of the formation of his national security team for his second term.
During that Oval Office event, President Clinton listed the
challenges on which we were to focus. The very first item on the
President's list was terrorism, followed by the spread of weapons
of mass destruction.
A week into the new Administration, President Clinton came to
the Pentagon to meet with me, and Chairman of the Joint Chiefs and
the ten unified combatant commands, our top military commanders.
Terrorism and the Quadrennial Defense Review of the defense
strategy and program were the top two topics on the agenda, which I
highlighted at our subsequent press conference by announcing that
"We should plan on terrorism being not the wave of the future, but
the wave of the present."
In May 1997, I released the Quadrennial Defense Review, DOD's
first effort to define a long-term (15-year) strategy and
accompanying defense program to meet post-Cold War challenges and
opportunities. In the QDR, I stated:
Increasingly capable and violent terrorists will continue to
directly threaten the lives of American citizens and try to
undermine U.S. policies and alliances. (W)hile we are dramatically
safer than during the Cold War, the U.S. homeland is not free from
external threats…. unconventional means of attack, such as
terrorism, are no longer just threats to our diplomats, military
forces, and private Americans overseas, but will threaten Americans
at home in the years to come.
The QDR formed the basis for all DOD strategy, programs and
operations, including the Defense Strategy that I submitted to the
President and Congress in my first annual report in January 1998,
which identified four trends threatening US security. One of these
four trends was the increased threat from violent,
religiously-motivated terrorist groups:
Violent, religiously-motivated terrorist organizations have
eclipsed more traditional, politically-motivated movements. The
latter often refrained from mass casualty operations for fear of
alienating their constituencies and actors who could advance their
agendas or for lack of material and technical skill. Religious
zealots rarely exhibit such restraint and actively seek to maximize
carnage. Also of concern are entrenched ethnic- and nationalist
motivated terrorist organizations, as well as the relatively new
phenomenon of ad hoc terrorist groups domestically and abroad. Over
the next 15 years (the QDR's mandated horizon), terrorists will
become even more sophisticated in their targeting, propaganda, and
political action operations. Terrorist state sponsors like Iran
will continue to provide vital support to a disparate mix of
terrorist groups and movements.
Two of the other four trends also bear on terrorism, "failed
states" and the "flow of potentially dangerous technologies," about
which the Defense Strategy stated:
In particular, the nexus of such lethal knowledge with the
emergence of terrorist movements dedicated to massive casualties
represent a new paradigm for national security. Zealotry creates
the will to carry out mass casualty terrorist attacks;
proliferation provides the means.
The new Defense Strategy led to significant efforts across DOD
and its component Military Departments and Defense Agencies, and
between DOD and other agencies, to address what we believed to be a
growing terrorist threat against U.S. personnel and interests
abroad and U.S. citizens at home.
This increased focus within DOD was part of a broader effort in
the interagency. Building on Presidential Decision Directive 39 of
1995, the President announced major new counter-terrorism
initiatives and signed Presidential Decision Directives 62 and 63
in May 1998, which addressed combating terrorism and critical
infrastructure protection. These presidential decisions create new
structures within the government; generated a very significant
interagency effort, much expanded in scope and participation beyond
prior interagency efforts; and provided significant increases in
funding for these efforts, many of which had already had their
funding substantially increased. Other Presidential actions
included a series of memoranda of notification (MONs) specifically
authorizing the killing or capturing an ever widening circle of al
Qaeda leadership and overt, covert and clandestine programs to keep
nuclear and other dangerous materials and weapons out of the hands
of terrorists and to address the large numbers of shoulder-fired
anti-aircraft missiles circulating in the world, including the many
Stinger missiles the Reagan Administration provided to Islamic
fighters in Afghanistan during the 1980s.
We were especially concerned with terrorists gaining access to
and using weapons of mass destruction: nuclear, radiological,
biological, or chemical weapons, possibly combined with attacks on
information networks that could disrupt our ability to prevent or
respond to an attack, as well as attacks against aircraft and
vehicle bombs. While, historically, the vast majority of deaths
caused by terrorists resulted from car/truck bombs, intelligence
indicated that various terrorist elements were seeking WMD to be
able to inflict even larger casualties. We needed to protect
against both "traditional" terrorist methods and what the
intelligence indicated could be their new methods. Aum Shinrikyo
had demonstrated that a small but committed group could make
chemical weapons and use them against a civilian population (more
Japanese died in Aum's two chemical attacks than did Americans in
the two East Africa embassy bombings), and Aum had also made
significant efforts to acquire biological and nuclear capability.
But other groups, particularly those motivated by an anti-American
Islamic extremism, also were reported by the intelligence community
to be seeking such capabilities and were of particular concern.
Beyond making counter-terrorism a top priority for the U.S., we
actively worked to make it a priority for other governments.
Beginning with my first meetings with foreign officials, I
emphasized the need for cooperation in addressing terrorist threats
and new forms of terrorism. Given the global nature of the threat,
this effort to gain international cooperation was done not just
with senior officials from the Middle East and Europe, but with
most foreign officials, including those from Northeast Asia,
Southeast Asia, Latin America, Africa, and Canada, throughout my
tenure.
A counter-terrorism strategy had to deal with the threat
comprehensively, including:
- improving protection for our forces, diplomats and other
Americans abroad;
- improving protection for Americans at home;
- securing nuclear, biological, chemical and other dangerous
materials and technical knowledge about them in the former Soviet
Union and elsewhere;
- enhancing cooperation with countries where terrorists might be
operating, transiting or conducting financial activities so that
their security and intelligence services can help us counter the
threat; enhancing our intelligence on the threat so as to be better
able to defeat it; and
- preparing to take military actions against terrorists when it
was feasible to do so.
The Clinton Administration undertook substantial effort on all
of these fronts, sometimes with congressional support and sometimes
over congressional resistance. DOD was an active participant in
these efforts, in some cases taking the lead role and in other
cases providing support to other elements of the government when
they were the Lead Federal Agency.
Role of DOD in Countering Terrorism at Home
There are many complex issues involved in enabling DOD
effectively and legally to participate in prevention of,
preparation for, and response to terrorist acts in the U.S. These
issues range from doctrinal, organizational, training, equipping,
personnel and other technical issues to sensitive legal, policy,
and public communications issues, since DOD is not the Lead Federal
Agency for these matters within the U.S. and Congress has long
imposed legal limitations on what the Defense Department and the
military can do within the U.S.
While there are legal limitations on what the Department of
Defense and the military can do within U.S. borders to address the
threat of terrorism against Americans at home, there are measures
that DOD can and did undertake. These include:
- raising awareness among the public and government officials of
the threat;
- organizing and conducting exercises for the Interagency;
- providing training to other agencies at the Federal, State and
local level; and
- assisting those agencies that are the Lead Federal Authorities
for countering terrorism and consequence management within the U.S.
by helping them do planning, seconding personnel to them, and
providing logistical and materiel support.
A limited list of examples of such efforts undertaken by DOD
from 1997 to 2000 to enhance protection of Americans at home
terrorist attacks include:
In March 1997, I announced that the National Guard, with its
unique federal and State dual function, would be given new
responsibilities and capabilities for assisting State and local
authorities in preparing for and responding to terrorist attacks in
the U.S. This was implemented through a series of actions from 1997
through 2000.
- In April 1997, DOD began training local first responders (e.g.,
police, fire, and emergency medical personnel) in how to prepare
for and respond to terrorist attacks. DOD provided initial training
and equipment, and in some cases followon training, to first
responders in approximately 100 cities before turning the program
over to the Justice Department in 2000.
- During the course of 1997 and 1998, DOD trained FEMA and FBI
officials in the use of US Transportation Command assets so that
these Lead Federal Agencies for crisis response would be capable of
rapid deployment of personnel and materiel in responding to
terrorist incidents or other disasters.
- During 1999, DOD undertook actions to improve its ability to
respond immediately to certain high consequence terrorist threats
in the National Capital Region.During 1999 and 2000, DOD and the
Department of Energy undertook efforts to assist the FBI to acquire
certain specialized skills to be able to respond to certain high
consequence terrorist threats.
- From 1997 to 2000, DOD organized and conducted numerous
interagency exercises to improve the effectiveness of the Federal
Government, from field operatives to mid-level officials to the
Principals, in responding to a wide variety of threatened terrorist
attacks and the effects of such terrorist attacks. Some exercises
also included State and local government officials to improve the
effectiveness of Federal-State-local coordination in a crisis.
- From 1998 through 2000, DOD worked closely with the Department
of Health and Human Services and others in addressing the threat of
terrorists using biological agents against the American people.
This included research and development of improved preventative and
treatment measures, production and stockpiling of vaccines, and
other measures.
- From 1997 to 2000, DOD provided significant assistance to
Federal agencies leading efforts to protect critical infrastructure
and defend against attacks on U.S. public and private sector
computer networks, including seconding much of the personnel at the
National Information Protection Center and the Critical
Infrastructure Assurance Office.
- During 1999, DOD requested but Congress rejected legislative
authority to expand the types of logistical and other support DOD
can provide to US domestic agencies when the Attorney General
declares a National Security Special Event (i.e., an event or
situation the AG determines at risk from terrorist attack).
- In October 1999, the President signed the Unified Command Plan
(UCP-99), which formalized the creation of subordinate commands to
provide capabilities to prepare for and respond to various types of
terrorist attacks in the US, including attacks that might involve
high-explosive, chemical, biological, radiological or nuclear
weapons and information network attacks. This included the creation
of Joint Task Force-Civil Support (JTF-CS), responsible for
preparing for and responding to attacks in the US and assisting
Lead Federal Agencies (FEMA and FBI) and States in their
preparations and response. It also included expansion of the Joint
Task Force- Computer Network Defense & Attack. UCP-99 also
created a roadmap to build these subordinate commands into a
Homeland Security Command by the time of the UCP-2001.
- In January 2001, I held my last press conference as Secretary
for the purpose of releasing an updated version of my report,
Proliferation: Threat & Response, which was intended to
educate and energize Congress, other officials and the public to
this very real threat and which began with my message that:
At the dawn of the 21st Century, the United States now faces what
could be called a Superpower Paradox. Our unrivaled supremacy in
the conventional military arena is prompting adversaries to seek
unconventional, asymmetric means to strike what they perceive as
our Achilles heel.
(L)ooming on the horizon is the prospect that these terror weapons
will increasingly find their way into the hands of individuals and
groups of fanatical terrorists or self-proclaimed apocalyptic
prophets. The followers of Usama bin Laden have, in fact, already
trained with toxic chemicals.
Fears for the future are not hyperbole. Indeed, past may be
prologue. Iraq has used chemical weapons against Iran and its own
people. Those behind the 1993 World Trade Center bombing also were
gathering the ingredients for a chemical weapon that could have
killed thousands here in the United States.
The race is on between our preparations and those of our
adversaries. There is not a moment to lose.
Force Protection
You asked about the role of force protection in DOD's
counter-terrorism efforts. Force protection clearly was an
imperative as we addressed the threat posed by terrorists. DOD has
an obligation to protect our men and women in uniform to the extent
possible. Our military personnel expect to go into harm's way, and
we send them into harm's way on a regular basis. But to the extent
that threats can be anticipated and countered, DOD is obligated to
do so. I reject any viewpoint that force protection is a diversion
from genuine counter-terrorism efforts.
As you know, in 1995 and 1996, attacks had been conducted
against a Saudi National Guard facility where U.S. military
personnel were located and against U.S. Air Force barracks at
Khobar Towers. In addition to our obligation to protect our people,
U.S. national interests required us to deny these terrorists their
objective of driving the U.S. out of Arabia, which they believed
was possible based on the 1983 Beirut barracks bombing that killed
241 Marines and led President Reagan to abandon the Lebanon mission
and withdraw U.S. forces.
The Iraq war has allowed a reconfiguration of U.S. forces in
Southwest and Central Asia, including relocation of U.S. forces
from Saudi Arabia, but U.S. forces remain at risk. This is partly
due to the symbolic significance of attacks on U.S. forces, and
partly due to the belief of terrorists that such attacks can cause
the U.S. to alter its policy and abandon its interests.
Following Khobar, numerous measures to enhance force protection
were undertaken. A few examples include:
- DOD created a focal point within the Joint Staff for
counter-terrorism, the deputy director of operations for combating
terrorism (J-34). This office's responsibilities included force
protection, development of anti-terrorism tactics, techniques and
procedures, oversight of anti-terrorism plans for every military
base, and conduct of integrated vulnerability assessments of
military facilities. (The J-33, deputy director for current
operations, retained responsibility within the Joint Staff for
military operations, including against terrorists.)
- DOD implemented some six dozen recommendations for changes that
were made by a post-Khobar assessment team headed by a retired
four-star general.
- Measures to standardize force protection measures across DOD
and with other departments were implemented, this having been
identified as a problem that contributed to Khobar. Related to
this, DOD and the State Department drafted and signed a global MOU
in December 1997, clarifying roles and responsibilities for each
department in protecting US personnel overseas and addressing
deficiencies identified following Khobar.
- DOD measures taken to protect deployed forces against chemical
and biological attacks by enemy nations also provided protection
against terrorist wielding such weapons.
These and other force protection measures are primarily
defensive in nature.
Military Options, Plans, and Operations
With regard to offensive efforts, you asked a series of
overlapping questions regarding military options, plans and
operations to target Bin Laden and al Qaeda; factors affecting
decisions on using force against Bin Laden and al Qaeda; planning
for the use of special operations forces; and military actions
considered or taken following the East Africa and USS Cole attacks
and the Millennium plots.
Afghanistan as a focal point for both policy and military
thinking had become a back burner matter beginning in the 1980s. I
cannot address what occurred before my arrival at DOD, but early in
1998 DOD did undertake military planning activities related to
Afghanistan and to al Qaeda-related targets outside of Afghanistan.
Over the course of the next three years, this planning continued,
developing more refined plans against a better defined target set.
These plans were developed against the task given us that related
to countering al Qaeda and capturing or killing Bin Laden and his
senior leadership.
Following the August 1998 East Africa bombings, the ongoing
flurry of non-specific threat warnings was supplemented by more
specific information, partly due to unilateral U.S. collection of
an increased level of communications among al Qaeda-affiliated
elements and partly due to increased cooperation from foreign
intelligence services.
During this time, U.S. intelligence community obtained
actionable intelligence on a leadership conference that al Qaeda
and other terrorist groups planned to hold on a specific date at a
specific location near Khost, Afghanistan. We believed one purpose
of the conference was to advance plans to conduct additional
attacks against U.S. interests. While we did not have a roster of
who would attend this conference, the intelligence reports
indicated it would include senior leaders, quite possibly including
Bin Laden.
Concurrently, the U.S. intelligence community obtained physical
evidence from outside the al-Shifa facility in Sudan that supported
long-standing concerns regarding its potential role in Sudanese
chemical weapon efforts that could be exploited by al Qaeda. The
al-Shifa facility had been under surveillance for some time because
of a variety of intelligence reports, including HUMINT reports
identifying it as a WMD-related facility, indirect links between
the facility and Bin Laden and the Iraqi chemical weapons program,
and extraordinary security - including surface-to-air missiles -
used to protect it during its construction. The direct physical
evidence from the scene obtained at that time convinced the U.S.
intelligence community that their suspicions were correct about the
facility's chemical weapons role and that there was a risk of
chemical agents getting into the hands of al Qaeda, whose interest
in obtaining such weapons was clear.
With actionable intelligence in hand, President Clinton made the
decision to attack the al Qaeda leadership conference with the
intent to kill as many participants as possible. Simultaneously
with the attack on the al Qaeda leadership conference, we would
attack and destroy the al-Shifa facility. Because of the need for
tactical surprise and because of the geographical realities of
Afghanistan and Sudan being remote from U.S. operating bases,
professional military advice was to use sea-launched cruise
missiles to attack the al Qaeda leadership conference and the
al-Shifa facility in Operation Infinite Reach.
The attacks killed dozens of terrorists at the destroyed
training facilities, destroyed the al- Shifa facility, and
demonstrated that the terrorists were not immune to surprise attack
regardless of their location. Intelligence and public reports
following Operation Infinite Reach showed considerable confusion
among the terrorists as to how they had been struck and from what
direction. Some, for example, were convinced that we had launched
B-1 bombers out of Central Asia. While Western media reports did
develop a generally accurate picture of the operation (although I
have never seen a fully accurate report in the media), we never
publicly released operational details of the attack, preferring to
leave the terrorists to their confusion and the need to look over
both shoulders at all times.
The intelligence community reported afterward that Bin Laden had
been at the conference, but departed several hours before our
weapons struck their target. This did not come as a complete
surprise given Bin Laden's strict operational security practices,
including by some accounts, that he remained in any given location
only for a few hours at a time. The fact that he slipped away
before the missiles arrived did not diminish my belief that the
mission was well worth having undertaken.
From that point onward, the U.S. actively sought to capture or
kill Bin Laden and other al Qaeda leaders. The President signed a
series of six memoranda of notification (MONs), which are the
legally required authorizations for covert actions. This series of
MONs steadily expanded the circle of al Qaeda leaders authorized to
be killed or captured, starting initially with Bin Laden and his
inner circle and growing to include many others as we increased our
understanding of al Qaeda's organization and hierarchy.
For its part al Qaeda and affiliated groups were actively
working to attack Americans and American interests. In the weeks
after the East Africa bombings, Egyptian Islamic Jihad - Ayman
al-Zawahiri's group that cooperated with al Qaeda in the late 1990s
and, according to the State Department, merged with al Qaeda in
June 2001 - conducted an operation to blow up the U.S. Embassy in
Tirana, but was thwarted by U.S. at the embassy gate.
Other planned attacks were very likely stymied as operatives
were rolled up and other actions by U.S. and foreign authorities
disrupted terrorist plans. In the autumn of 1999, the intelligence
community reported that anywhere from five to fifteen attacks
against U.S. interests were planned to occur during the Millennium
celebrations, leading to the most extensive U.S. counter-terrorism
initiative ever conducted prior to September 11 to disrupt these
planned terrorist attacks.
We know that major attacks in both the U.S. and the Middle East
were prevented. This includes capturing terrorists in December 1999
who planned to attack the Los Angeles International Airport and
planned to destroy the Raddison Hotel in Amman, Jordan, largely
occupied by American and Israeli tourists for the Millennium, using
a bomb nearly seven times larger than the one that destroyed the
Alfred P. Murrah Federal Building in Oklahoma City. In addition,
the terrorists captured in Jordan confessed to a plan to use
chemical weapons in a crowded movie theater.
And in October 2000, the USS Cole was attacked while it was
being serviced in port at Aden, Yemen, by explosives loaded onto a
service boat.
The U.S. was already pursuing Bin Laden and al Qaeda operatives
in Afghanistan and around the world. The President had authorized
lethal force to be used if we ever had the opportunity to get Bin
Laden or other al Qaeda leaders. This was equally before and after
the Millennium, before and after the USS Cole. We already had far
more than sufficient justification to eliminate Bin Laden and his
leadership structure. We did not need the Millennium plots or the
attack on the USS Cole to undertake military action - we needed
actionable intelligence that would give us a reasonable chance of
getting al Qaeda leaders. The President and the Principals
determined that attacking al Qaeda's primitive facilities rather
than attacking al Qaeda leaders would have little value in setting
back al Qaeda and would be counter-productive, both by enhancing
Bin Laden's position among anti-American Islamic elements and by
undermining foreign intelligence and other international support
for our counter-terrorism effort - all of which had proved to be so
crucial in averting hundreds of American and other deaths from the
Millennium and other terrorist plots.
It is my understanding that General Hugh Shelton, former
Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, has already discussed with
the Commission the existence of more than a dozen military plans
that were prepared for putting U.S. troops on the ground to go
after Bin Laden and other senior al Qaeda conspirators.
All military options for putting troops into Afghanistan had to
address the serious challenges posed by what military planners
often refer to as the tyranny of distance. Having to operate from
staging facilities nearly a thousand miles away from their targets
posed serious operational and logistical challenges, requiring a
larger footprint of forces to execute any ground mission in
Afghanistan. More support assets would be required, as would aerial
refueling. Even if actionable intelligence ever became available,
the quality and reliability of the intelligence would affect the
size of the force required, because less reliable information, as
had been characteristic of reporting out of Afghanistan, would
dictate a larger force to help ensure mission success. There would
also be a significant probability of detection when conducting such
an operation, further complicating planning and execution. DOD was
fully prepared to conduct a ground operation in Afghanistan if
actionable intelligence ever became available, and we had assets
forward deployed that could support such a mission. But the
operation had to be planned so that it had a realistic chance of
successfully accomplishing the mission, not merely to "do
something."
Some have suggested that with actionable intelligence, a small
special forces unit could have been dropped into Afghanistan and
have successfully carried out their mission with only a small
military footprint. Merely "dropping" them into Afghanistan would
require substantial assets, as would getting them out - especially
if they were detected before reaching the target or encountered
trouble while engaging the target.
Others have suggested that a small special forces unit could
have been inserted without actionable intelligence into
Taliban-controlled Afghanstan in order to search for, find and
capture or kill Bin Laden. The futility of this proposal has been
amply demonstrated by the fact that for well over two years the
U.S. has had many thousands of troops (13,500 at present) backed by
significant intelligence assets in Afghanistan (where hostile
forces are marginalized, not in control of the country) and yet we
have been unable to locate much less capture Bin Laden.
We also had real experience with such matters. To a far greater
extent than has ever been discussed publicly, from 1997 to 2000, we
had special forces operating in the Serb section of Bosnia, Serbia
proper and elsewhere actively hunting for war criminals. We had
some successes. But a number of high profile PIFWCs (persons
indicted for war crimes) eluded us. The simple fact is that someone
who exercises good tradecraft is very difficult to locate and
capture in enemy territory. And this is particularly true when, as
in Afghanistan, U.S. forces would be required to operate from
nearly a thousand miles away rather than, as in the Balkans, they
operated mere tens of miles away and had the support of an enormous
intelligence apparatus in country. Bin Laden exercised very good
operational security on par with or better than senior Serb war
criminals.
General Hugh Shelton, the senior military adviser to the
President, me and other Principals, was serving as Commander in
Chief of the US Special Operations Command when I recommended that
the President name him Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff. He
had enormous experience in planning and carrying out special
operations missions during a special forces career that started in
Vietnam. During the efforts to seize war criminals in the Balkans,
on many occasions I witnessed him quickly analyze the strengths and
weaknesses of "snatch" plans presented to him by the relevant
commander, who was not a special operations officer, and give
guidance for fixing weaknesses, developing alternative approaches
or simply dropping ill-conceived plans destined to fail. I found
General Shelton's military advice to be focused on military
success, not risk aversion.
Let me also note for the record that few public officials have
been more supportive of special forces than have I. I wrote and
pushed through to enactment the legislation creating the US Special
Operations Command (USSOCOM) and giving it extraordinary authority,
including special budget and procurement authority possessed by no
other military command and that in many respects made it a fifth
service beside the Army, Navy, Marine Corps and the Air Force. Rep.
Dan Daniels and Senator Sam Nunn participated in that effort, along
with later efforts to increase resources devoted to USSOCOM. My
legislation also created the Assistant Secretary of Defense for
Special Operations & Low Intensity Conflict (ASD SOLIC) and his
organization to ensure that USSOCOM had an advocate in the
Pentagon. All of this was done in 1986 over the strenuous
objections of the civilian and military DOD leadership of the day.
When the DOD leadership of the day balked at filling the ASD SOLIC
position, not unlike 2001- 2003, I and some colleagues stopped
confirmation of other Pentagon positions until a nominee was named.
When it became clear that the Secretary of Defense's first
candidate to be ASD SOLIC viewed his mandate from his superiors to
be to strangle rather than support the new organizations, I and
others blocked his confirmation. DOD's response was to leave the
position vacant, again not unlike 2001-2003, and so we passed
legislation mandating that the Secretary of the Army, John Marsh,
who supported my efforts, would also serve as Acting ASD SOLIC
until the position was filled. After becoming Secretary of Defense,
I selected the Commander of the USSOCOM to be the Chairman of the
Joint Chiefs and the principal military adviser to the President
and to me, ensuring that a deep knowledge and appreciation of
special forces, their capabilities and how best to use them were in
place at the very top of the Defense Department and informing all
decisions on military planning and operations.
At the other end of the spectrum, it has also been suggested
that we should have waged war in Afghanistan and militarily toppled
the Taliban. Prior to September 11, it is my judgment that no
President could have won U.S. public or congressional support for
invading Afghanistan, much less support from Afghanistan's
neighbors whose active cooperation would have been required for us
to conduct such a war. After September 11, Pakistan, Uzbekistan and
other neighboring countries allowed us to stage large military
forces on their soil and provided other support that enabled us to
wage war on Afghanistan and drive the Taliban from power. But
before September 11, they clearly were not willing to provide such
support, as evidenced by the refusal of some of them to cooperate
against al Qaeda despite repeated and presidential-level pressure,
or in other cases with their insistence that such cooperation
remain covert.
Congressional action made securing Pakistan's cooperation even
more difficult when sanctions were imposed, following its nuclear
test and military coup. These sanctions served to restrain the
Administration's hands and reduce our leverage with Pakistani
authorities. Similarly, our military cooperative efforts with
Uzbekistan and other countries were congressionally
constrained.
As I have mentioned, President Clinton and his entire national
security team devoted an extraordinary amount of time and effort to
coping with the threat. We were able to achieve significant, albeit
unheralded, successes in preventing the loss of lives here and
abroad. In addition, I would note that the Hart-Rudman Commission,
on which Congressman Hamilton served, issued a clarion call to
action. Congress also created a number of subcommittees with
jurisdiction to focus upon the threat of domestic and international
terrorism. Yet, it is my judgment that at no time was there any
realistic prospect that Congress or the American people would have
supported a decision to invade Afghanistan or that our allies or
countries in the region would have supported such a decision.
The Lack of Actionable Intelligence.
The lack of actionable intelligence was the missing element in
our comprehensive effort to capture or kill Bin Laden and al Qaeda
leadership.
The war against Iraq has highlighted the challenge of obtaining
reliable intelligence against a so-called "hard target." While some
charge that the Bush Administration exaggerated or manipulated the
available intelligence, the fact is that all responsible officials
from the Clinton and Bush administrations and, I believe, most
Members of Congress genuinely believed that Saddam Hussein had
active WMD programs. While it is too early to declare that belief
to be entirely wrong, I think we all have been surprised by the
inability to find meaningful evidence of such active WMD
programs.
As difficult an intelligence target as Saddam's Iraq was,
Islamic terrorist groups present a much harder target. No U.N.
inspectors were walking into terrorist offices, interrogating
terrorist officials or collecting hundreds of thousands of pages of
terrorist documents, as they did with in Iraq. In ways that we
cannot discuss here, the fact that Iraq was far less isolated
internationally than the Taliban allowed us to exploit
opportunities in Iraq that did not exist in Afghanistan to collect
information.
To give you a sense of the difficulty of developing intelligence
against terrorist targets, consider the al-Shifa facility in Sudan
that we destroyed in 1998 because of the intelligence community's
assessment that it was associated with terrorist efforts to obtain
chemical weapons. At the time, the intelligence community at the
highest level repeatedly assured us that "it never gets better than
this" in terms of confidence in an intelligence conclusion
regarding a hard target. There was a good reason for this
confidence, including multiple, reinforcing elements of information
ranging from links that the organization that built the facility
had both with Bin Laden and with the leadership of the Iraqi
chemical weapons program; extraordinary security when the facility
was constructed; physical evidence from the site; and other
information from HUMINT and technical sources. Given what we knew
regarding terrorists' interest in acquiring and using chemical
weapons against Americans, and given the intelligence assessment
provided us regarding the al-Shifa facility, I continue to believe
that destroying it was the right decision. But perfection is not to
be attained in this world, and nowhere is this more true than in
the field of intelligence collection and analysis.
Now consider that information about the whereabouts of Bin Laden
and other al Qaeda leaders never came close to the reliability and
confidence of the information we had on al-Shifa. The information
on Bin Laden and other al Qaeda leaders was often from sources of
questionable credibility, frequently fragmentary and packaged in
inference, and ultimately of dubious reliability. It is unlikely
that anyone who questioned the decision to destroy the al-Shifa
facility would ever have supported military action based on the
intelligence that was available regarding Bin Laden and other al
Qaeda leaders.
In assessing intelligence on Bin Laden and other al Qaeda
leaders, Principals also had to factor in their experience with the
quality of intelligence on similar matters. To cite just one
example, in April 1999, the intelligence community reported that
Imad Mugniyah (wanted for numerous terrorist attacks dating back to
the Beirut bombings, killing more Americans than any other
terrorist prior to September 11) would transit through a certain
foreign airport on a specific flight. When the individual
de-planed, however, U.S. personnel on the scene determined that he
was not Mugniyah nor any other person of interest. This is one of
several instances in which action, sometimes lethal action with
significant collateral damage, was considered based on dubious
intelligence regarding the identity of the targeted individuals.
The military gun was cocked for an extended period, but only once
was the intelligence adequate to pull the trigger and launch
strikes in an attempt to kill Bin Laden or any other al Qaeda
leader.
In the summer of 2000, field activities brought forward a
demonstration project for landbased wide-area surveillance in
Afghanistan and a concept for combining this with UAV surveillance.
These offered the possibility of obtaining actionable intelligence,
which continued to be the missing element in efforts to capture or
kill Bin Laden and other al Qaeda leadership. DOD and interagency
addressed and resolved technical and other issues for the UAV
program, and the program moved forward with trial operations over
Afghanistan conducted over several weeks in the fall of 2000 to
determine if the modified Predator UAV could be successfully flown
from an austere operating base over mountains into hostile Afghan
airspace while it was remotely controlled via satellite by
operators thousands of miles away on another continent and provide
useful information. Some of these test flights produced
unexpectedly good results before seasonal weather forced suspension
of flights. This success led in late 2000 to plans to begin
operational deployments in spring 2001 when weather permitted and
to use the intervening months to integrate lethal missile
capability onto the UAV. Despite the technical and other challenges
involved, Hellfire-C missiles were integrated onto the Predator UAV
and a successful series of in-flight missile firings from the
Predator against a static target were conducted near Nellis Air
Force Base on February 16 and 21, 2001, a few weeks after the
change in Administration. It was my expectation that the
reconnaissance UAV would be airborne again over Afghanistan as soon
as weather conditions permitted in the spring of 2001, followed by
the armed UAV as soon as it was mission ready. This turned out not
to be the case, reportedly for a combination of operational and
policy reasons, but I am not in a position to address the reasons
for this.
Capture versus Kill; "Law Enforcement versus War"
Some seek to portray counter-terrorism as a choice between law
enforcement and the exercise of military power. Likewise, some
argue that a preference to capture terrorists alive reflects a law
enforcement preference rather than a military approach to
counterterrorism. Both of these views are fallacious.
Effective counter-terrorism requires effective use of all
national capabilities - law enforcement, diplomatic, intelligence,
militaryand other capabilities - which are not alternatives, one to
be chosen to the exclusion of the others. This was the basis for
President Clinton's counter-terrorism campaign in both the first
and second administrations. It is the basis of President Bush's
counter-terrorism campaign, as he articulated it on September 11.
No counter-terrorism effort will be 100% effective, but an effort
premised on a false dichotomy of law enforcement versus war will be
far less effective than an integrated effort. Yet for reasons that
are inexplicable, this false choice continues to be expressed by
certain critics on both left and right.
Fundamental to all aspects of counter-terrorism is acquiring
adequate and timely intelligence; therefore, it is generally more
advantageous to capture than kill. Intelligence, sometimes
critically important intelligence, can be obtained from a living
detainee while, as the saying goes, dead men tell no tales. There
is a reason we have over 600 detainees at Guantanamo and
elsewhere.
According to the Bush Administration, intelligence is a
substantial part of the mission at Guantanmo, and important
information is being obtained from detainees that gives us a better
understanding of the al Qaeda network and helps us to counter them.
According to a New York Times article this past weekend
interviewing the chief U.S. interrogator, information acquired from
detainees has resulted in terrorist cells being broken, a better
understanding of al Qaeda's efforts to obtain chemical and
biological weapons, and al Qaeda fundraising and recruitment
methods. Surely, no one would advocate that Khalid Sheik Mohammed
and others should have been killed rather than captured, given the
information that has been obtained from them. The reason reports
last week about the possible impending capture of Aymad al-Zawahiri
generated excitement was not only because he would be removed from
involvement in any further terrorist actions but equally, if not
more importantly, because of the information he might yield if
captured.
Why would terrorists provide us with intelligence about their
operations? Experience demonstrates that such individuals often do
so unintentionally, whether through bravado, threats, or simple
ignorance of what information might be important to us. Repeatedly,
detained terrorists have given us critical information that has
enabled us to disrupt terrorist plans, capture other terrorists,
and better combat terrorist networks.
Accordingly, when there is a choice between capturing and
interrogating or killing and interring, the former is clearly more
advantageous to us. But if circumstances arise where we are able to
kill known terrorists but are unable to capture them, then we
should not hesitate to use lethal force out of self defense.
President Clinton's series of MONs to kill al Qaeda and other
terrorist leaders made this clear. It was clear in our military
strikes to kill as many as possible at what the intelligence
community reported was a conference of senior leaders of al Qaeda
and other terrorist groups occurring at a specific place and time
in August 1998. And it was precisely what we were prepared to do on
the few other occasions when the intelligence community had
preliminary indications that it might be able to provide actionable
intelligence to support a military strike. US military forces were
"spun up" to be ready to strike, but in each of those instances,
the intelligence community concluded that it lacked actionable
intelligence, much to the disappointment of Administration leaders
and to our forces in the field, who often did not know what
information had caused them to be "spun up" nor that the
information proved to be inadequate on those occasions.
The decision to use force against a site at which Bin Laden
might be located required weighing the probability of successfully
getting Bin Laden because he was at the site against the
probability that we would undermine our Bin Laden effort because he
was not at the site.
Had we destroyed a compound and its inhabitants based on flawed
or inadequate intelligence, international cooperation in tracking
and seizing al Qaeda operatives would have very likely diminished
significantly. Such cooperation proved essential in rolling up al
Qaeda cells and preventing planned terrorist attacks following the
August 1998 East Africa bombings. Such cooperation also provided
the potential for acquiring information that would facilitate the
capturing or killing of Bin Laden and al Qaeda leadership.
DOD Priorities in Addressing Multiple Threats to
America
You asked about the priority of counter-terrorism efforts
against Usama Bin Laden and al Qaeda in Defense Department military
planning, relative to other threats confronting the U.S.
DOD is responsible for military preparations and operations to
address the full range of threats to and pursuit of American
national interests. By law, Congress has added other
responsibilities to these, such as drug interdiction.
During my tenure at DOD, no matter had a higher priority than
countering the threat posed to America, our people and our
interests by international terrorists. No issue consumed more
personal attention by me, many other senior colleagues in DOD, and
I believe other Principals. I personally made sure that it also was
front and center for defence ministers, foreign ministers, prime
ministers and presidents of the nearly 100 countries with which I
dealt and whose cooperation could help in countering this
threat.
As your question implies, it is important to understand that the
U.S. faced then and faces today numerous threats to our national
interests and to our national territory that DOD and other agencies
must also address. Some of these other threats put at risk the
lives of thousands to millions of Americans and millions of persons
in allied countries. It would not have been responsible to have
given less attention than we did to these other critical security
issues. Likewise, DOD must ensure the capabilities and readiness of
our Armed Forces are effective to meet both current and future
threats. During my time in office, DOD:
- conducted numerous military operations;
- reversed a decade of decline in the defense budget that started
in the first Bush Administration;
- ended the procurement holiday by restructuring the defense
program to produce a 47% increase in the defense procurement
budget, which had steadily declined from the middle of the Reagan
Administration to 1996;
- accelerated the transformation of our Armed Forces, providing
for dramatically enhanced military capabilities as demonstrated in
the wars against Serbia and Afghanistan;
- developed a national missile defense system, elements of which
will be deployed later this year, capable of defending the U.S.
homeland against the kind of nuclear missile threat that North
Korea can pose.
- undertook military activities to gain military support from
more countries, reduce threats, and improve our ability to respond
to threats, including enlarging NATO, building cooperative military
programs with countries in Eastern Europe, Central Asia and South
America;
- eliminated vast stockpiles of Russian nuclear, chemical and
biological weapons that risked diversion to terrorists or enemy
states;
- wrote and revised numerous deliberative war plans;
- transformed the business operations of the Department of
Defense, to the extent permitted by Congress.
Significant Military Operations.
In January 1997, U.S. and allied forces had just entered their
second year in Bosnia in an environment that remained extremely
challenging and dangerous, both to U.S. political objectives and to
our troops. The Bosnian Serb regime headquartered in Pale, closely
aligned with the Serb authorities in Belgrade and Serb paramilitary
groups, aggressively committed and incited violence against Bosniak
Muslims, Croats and NATO forces; displaced Bosniak Muslims; and
pursued a strategic plan to undermine the Dayton Accords and
effectively to gain control of Bosnia.
A number of factors led Belgrade and Pale Serbs to conclude that
they had a realistic chance to succeed in their objectives based
on: the geography of the situation, in which Bosnia Serb territory
wrapped itself around much of Bosniak Muslim territory; the close
links between the Pale Serbs and organized crime, which provided
both economic and violent influence; and the lethargy of
European-led civil reconstruction efforts, which some Europeans
seemed to view as lifetime appointments rather than urgent
requirements. During the course of the succeeding few years,
through considerable effort and attention, an alternative Bosnian
Serb regime, independent of Belgrade, was established in Banja Luka
and largely displaced the influence of the Pale Serbs. This enabled
political progress under the Dayton Accords, which -
notwithstanding the sclerotic reconstruction efforts, the
leadership deficiencies of the Bosniak Muslims, the continued
tensions between the three Bosnian parties, and other issues -
enabled Bosnia to become a muddling but stable success. Because
U.S. forces and policy were in the line of fire when the second
Administration started, Bosnia did command the attention of
Principals and Deputies, as well as interagency groups specifically
focused on the Balkans.
As Bosnia attained stability, Belgrade turned its attention to
Kosovo, unleashing Serb paramilitaries and Serb forces on an ethnic
cleansing campaign that displaced a million Albanian Kosovars and
created refugee crisis for neighboring countries. One of
Milosevic's objectives was to destabilize the fragile government in
multi-ethnic Macedonia and possibly cause Greece to enter the fray,
which in turn would have created pressure on Turkey and Bulgaria to
do the same. It was for these reasons that President George H.W.
Bush first warned Milosevic that a military move against Kosovo
would result in war with the U.S. At the same time, violent Islamic
terrorists sought to use the chaotic situation to establish a
foothold in the region and, having been thwarted in Bosnia, found
opportunity with the collapse of order in Albania. Egyptian Islamic
Jihad and possibly others operated in Albania, and the U.S.
successfully thwarted an attempted truck bombing of our embassy in
Tirana.
Adhering to an allied approach to the war against Serbia did
compel Principals to devote significant attention maintaining
alliance cohesion, but it was necessary for two practical reasons.
First, allied territory was needed to fight the largest air
campaign since World War II. And secondly, looking to the long
term, full allied support was necessary if we were to adhere to our
plan of the U.S. carrying the vast majority of the war effort (over
80% by most measures) and the allies carrying the vast majority of
the post-war effort.
During the war, we determined that the U.S. would contribute no
more than 15% of the post-war stabilization force, while coalition
partners would be required to contribute at least 85%; the U.S.
would exercise strategic and ultimate control over the occupation,
but coalition partners would bear the burden at subordinate levels
for most of Kosovo; and coalition partners would bear the bulk of
reconstruction costs. After the war, we successfully adhered to
this plan, but only because we had maintained allied cohesion
during the war. The wisdom of this is apparent in hindsight,
looking both at the recent flare-up in violence in Kosovo and at
the events in Iraq. But during the war it did require focused
attention from Principals who continually worked foreign
counterparts , although the Deputies and interagency Balkan
specialists carried most of the weight for post-war occupation
issues once the Helsinki negotiations with Russia were
completed.
Following the war against Serbia over Kosovo, Milosevic prepared
for a possible blitzgrieg military action against Montenegro, which
while federated with Serbia in a rump Yugoslavia was exercising
increasing independence from Belgrade. The US European Command
developed plans to defeat a Serb military move against Montenegro,
which Milosevic would have used to reignite conflict in Bosnia.
Concurrent with this, Milosevic sought to stage manage an election
process to bolster his political position after his failure in
Kosovo. But the process became a real contest, and effective
support to the democratic opposition led to Milosevic's ouster and
then to his imprisonment in The Hague. This action prevented the
fifth Balkan war of the decade, bringing to an end a series of wars
that had killed hundreds of thousands, flooded Europe with millions
of refugees, and threatened European stability and security at the
very time that the collapse of the Soviet Union had created the
opportunity to build (to quote President Bush Sr.) "a Europe whole
and free" - an opportunity that we seized by supporting the
enlargement of NATO and the European Union. Principals and Deputies
actively guided this closing phase of the Balkan wars.
At the same time as the war against Serbia was being conducted,
skirmishes broke out at sea between North Korea and South Korea,
with dozens killed and ships destroyed. Tensions and the risk of
war that could produce millions of Korean and tens of thousands of
American casualties spiked above their normal hair-trigger
levels.
I would note that there were very few instances in which I met
with NATO counterparts, including during the many meetings held
during the operations in Bosnia and Kosovo, that I did not focus
their attention on the threat posed by terrorists and the spread of
weapons of mass destruction. Likewise with Russia. While I was in
Moscow, an apartment block was bombed reportedly by terrorists. I
directed that a bilateral military intelligence dialogue be
initiated, with a primary focus on extremist Islamic terrorists who
posed a threat to both countries. Our policy dialogue with Russia
sought to turn their attention from their false security concern of
NATO enlargement to the real security concern of how best to
address the terrorist threat, as well as the long-term threat they
were creating for themselves and for us by allowing nuclear and
missile technology to go to Iran and others.
The U.S. war in Afghanistan could not have been fought as it has
been without the cooperation of formerly Soviet Central Asian
states, which was based partly on U.S. military engagement,
training and support conducted during the late 1990s, despite
congressional limitations. Moreover, Central Asian support for the
war in Afghanistan was dependent on Russian acquiescence, which
also was based in part on the close cooperation with the Russian
military during the 1990s, including American and Russian troops
and commanders working side by side in military operations in
Bosnia and Kosovo.
The U.S. also conducted ongoing military operations in Iraq
throughout my tenure. Iraq was effectively contained during this
period through the combination of:
- enforcement of the Northern and Southern No-Fly Zones and the
Southern No-Drive Zone,
- use of the no-fly/no-drive enforcement operations to
continually attrit Iraqi air defenses and related command and
control and other military capabilities through regular air
strikes, ranging in size from one to over 80 targets per
strike;
- maritime interdiction operations;
- international sanctions;
- Operation Desert Fox in December 1998, which destroyed missile
production and WMD facilities, killed key leadership of Iraq's
missile program, killed 1400 Special Republican Guard and
Republican Guard forces, destroyed Special Republican Guard and
Republican Guard headquarters and other assets, and destroyed
command and control and intelligence facilities;
- establishment of a near continuous deployments of U.S. ground
forces in Kuwait, which continually improved and demonstrated U.S.
ability to rapidly deploy ground forces from the U.S. to Iraq's
border;
- significant enhancement of U.S. military facilities and
capabilities in Kuwait, Qatar and other GCC countries, increasing
U.S. capabilities against Iraq;
- re-write of war plans.
The effort to enhance U.S. military capabilities in the Gulf
region and to develop and maintain support within GCC countries for
ongoing U.S. operations against Iraq and for capabilities
enhancement did require my regular personal attention. Other
Principals, too, devoted considerable attention to Iraq-related
issues to ensure that Iraq remained contained and to manage issues
related to our military operations against Iraq.
Other Priority International Matters
Several other dangerous situations arose during these years that
also warranted Principals' attention. Among others, these included
the Kargil crisis that threatened to escalate into a general war
between Pakistan and India, with the very real possibility of a
nuclear war that could kill hundreds of thousands or more; the
escalation of cross-Straits tensions that also threatened to erupt
into warfare between China and Taiwan; hostilities between North
and South Korea that had the potential to escalate, as discussed
below; and North Korea development and testing of long-range
missiles, capable of delivering nuclear weapons not only to allied
territory but also to U.S. territory. All of these put at risk
vital U.S. security interests and most of them directly threatened
U.S. lives, necessitating attention by the President and the
Principals.
Numerous other non-operational matters, but having operational
consequences, also merited my and other Principals' attention
during this period, among them:
- Negotiations to remake NATO to meet the new security
challenges, including the Alliance's new strategic concept and
command structures, led not only to NATO allies bearing the vast
majority of post-war responsibilities in Kosovo but laid the basis
for them to undertake significant responsibilities in post-war
Afghanistan and Iraq.
- Engaging Russia over its place in the new security
architecture.
- Adoption of essentially a new defense treaty with Japan through
the new Defense Guidelines, dropping the Cold War orientation of
the alliance and remaking it to meet security requirements of the
new century;
- Bringing China into the WTO and other international
institutions that will mutually benefit both our countries and help
to constrain unconstructive or dangerous Chinese behavior.
Deliberative Military Planning
Numerous deliberative war plans were also written or re-written.
This included major plans regarding the nuclear SIOP and associated
plans, China, Iraq, Iran, and Korea and other plans regarding such
matters as Cuba. Some of these plans were revised multiple times.
In addition, significant planning was done for withdrawal of U.S.
forces from the Balkans and their dispatch to other theaters should
that ever be required.
Also, presidential decision directives and presidentially
approved contingency planning guidance were written requiring
non-DOD agencies develop capabilities and deliberative plans for
their roles in post-conflict situations, such as we see in Iraq,
although my understanding is that these directives did not survive
the Clinton Administration.
To discuss one in more detail, we re-wrote the war plan for the
Korean Peninsula and instituted many changes to be able to execute
it, as well as developed additional military plans for
contingencies such as the collapse of the North Korean government.
Previous operational plans had failed to properly address the
likelihood of North Korean use of chemical weapons and possibly
other WMD. Properly addressing this aspect of the threat required
intensive and wide-ranging efforts by DOD. The operational plan
revision also needed to take advantage of the transformation of
U.S. military capabilities during the 1990s, as well as the need to
ensure decisive action at the opening of a conflict and conflict
termination on decisive terms rather than restoration of the status
quo ante.
This effort was made more urgent by Kim Jong Il's
reconfiguration of the North Korean military, moving forces forward
to the area adjacent the DMZ, from which North Korean artillery
could rain up to 500,000 shells per hour on half of South Korea's
population and economy, including Seoul, and on tens of thousands
of US forces and dependents; deploying hundreds of missiles capable
of delivery conventional, chemical or other weapons to southernmost
South Korea or to Japan; exercising more coordinated air and ground
operations; and enhancing North Korea's large special operations
forces for insertion in rear areas in South Korea and Japan.
North Korea's military realignment appeared designed to support
a strategy for launching war with little to no warning; rapidly
seize northern areas of South Korea; disrupt the US ability to
fight from rear areas and to flow forces into the peninsula; and,
when its advance on the peninsula slowed, to sue for peace under
the threat of nuclear attack on South Korea or Japan.
In 1999-2000, North Korean training exercises were at record
high levels and, learning from U.S. combat operations in the
Balkans and Iraq, North Korean military modified facilities,
dispersed forces and expanded camouflage, concealment and deception
efforts. In June 1999, following several known North Korean
submarine raids into South Korean waters, the first hostilities
since the Korean War broke out, with North Korean and South Korean
naval vessels firing on each other, resulting in two North Korean
vessels destroyed and several dozen North Korean forces killed.
In short, the threat of war in Northeast Asia was very real
during this period and remains so today. Such a war would put at
risk vital American interests, tens of thousands of American lives,
and millions of Korean lives, among others, assuming North Korea
did not use nuclear weapons; the death toll would be much higher if
it did. This risk of war justifiably warranted significant
attention of myself and other Principals, just as it does Secretary
Rumsfeld and his colleagues.
Conclusion
I have attempted to set forth some of the major initiatives
under taken by the Department of Defense to counter the threat of
terrorism during the time I was privileged to serve at the
Pentagon.
As I noted, many of those initiatives proved successful in
saving the lives of many of our citizens both here and abroad.
On many occasions the Administration was able to secure the
cooperation of Congress and others in the pursuit of its goals. In
a number of cases, it did not.
For example, some in Congress, the media and "policy community"
accused those of us focused on the terrorist threat of being
alarmist and of exaggerating the threat in order to boost our
budgets. Countering the threat of terrorism was "the latest gravy
train," according to one expert quoted by US News & World
Report. The belief that we were indulging in cynical hyperbole
resulted in several legislative actions.
- We found tens to hundreds of millions of dollars cut from the
Cooperative Threat Reduction program, forcing Administration
officials to spend significant time and energy to restore funds to
secure and eliminate dangerous materials that terrorists were
seeking in order to inflict attack Americans.
- Congress blocked cooperation with countries whose support was
critical in counter-terrorism efforts, such as banning military
cooperation with Indonesia, the world's largest Muslim country that
is a key battleground in the campaign against Islamic extremists,
and banning any meaningful cooperation with Pakistan, the
front-line state in the global war on terrorism.
- Congressional committees rejected requests for legislative
authority for DOD to provide certain support to domestic agencies
to prevent or respond to a terrorist attack in the U.S.
In an effort to help remove doubt and complacency about the
growing threat, working with congressional leadership, I appointed
a panel in 1998 led by former Senators Rudman and Hart and
including Vice Chairman Hamilton, former Speaker Gingrich, retired
senior military commanders and others. The Commission on National
Security in the 21st Century, on its own and without direction from
the Administration, validated the reality of the threat to the
American homeland from terrorism, including terrorists armed with
WMD. In releasing the Commission's first report, long before
September 11, Vice Chairman Hamilton stated well the fundamental
issue:
What comes across to me in this report more than any other
single fact is that the commission believes that Americans are
going to be less secure than they believe themselves to be. So I
think what we're trying to say in this report is that we've lived
in a very secure time. We're very fortunate for that, but we are
going to be confronted with a lot of challenges to our national
security that Americans do not believe we're going to be subjected
to, and that's really what comes out of this report for me more
than any other single thing. (Emphasis added.)
Vice Chairman Hamilton's remarks resonated with me because I
recalled that at my very first press conference as Secretary of
Defense, I was asked "what is your greatest concern as you look
toward to the future?" and my response was essentially the same as
Lee Hamilton's:
My greatest concern is that we be able to persuade the American
people that having a viable, sustainable national security policy
is important, even when there is no clearly identifiable enemy on
the horizon. We still live in a very dangerous, disorderly world.
And in many cases, we face dangers that are comparable to those we
faced in the past; namely, the proliferation of missile technology,
the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction, and the spread of
terrorism.
I believe that we have been complacent as a society. We have
failed to fully comprehend the gathering storm. Even now after
September 11, it is far from clear that our society truly
appreciates the gravity of the threat we face or is yet willing to
do what is necessary to counter it. Even after September 11, and
after anthrax and ricin attacks in the U.S., I remain concerned
that the controversy over not finding Iraq's weapons of mass
destruction will lead to the erroneous assumption that all the talk
about the dangers of WMD is just another exercise in the cynical
exploitation of fear. After all, it is commonly noted, there have
been no attacks since 9/11. This is a dangerous delusion. The enemy
is not only coming, he has been here. He is already amongst us. He
will continue to try to examine our weaknesses, exploit the
crevices in our security, and destroy our way of living as well as
our lives.
As you can deduce from my statement, I believe that the Clinton
Administration far more than any Administration prior to September
11 understood the threat that terrorists pose to our country and
took far greater and more comprehensive action to counter it than
any previous administration. But notwithstanding all this, the U.S.
was hit in a devastating way. Clearly neither the first Bush
Administration, nor the two Clinton Administrations, nor the
current Bush Administration did all that we and they needed to do
to prevent the rise and spread of violent Islamic extremists and to
prevent them from reaching our shores with instruments of mass
death.
Nor do I believe that even today, with a global war on terrorism
being waged, are we doing all we need to do to prevent the further
spread of violent Islamic extremists and to prevent them from
reaching our shores with mass death.
I don't pretend to hold the keys to the kingdom of wisdom on
what needs to be done in the future. All of us who have held high
office must remain accountable for our actions while holding the
public trust. It is my hope that the Commission through its work
will focus as well on the fault lines that run through our
democratic system as we struggle to cope with a challenge of
unprecedented proportions.
At a minimum, I think it important to:
- Develop a meaningful, in-depth public discussion - among our
citizens not just our elected officials - regarding what
compromises on privacy are we willing to accept in order to remain
safe and free. The current debate over access to personal data for
aviation security purposes is not encouraging. We must elevate
public discussion on these matters, and do our best to remove them
from electoral manipulation at least until we truly understand the
issues and choices. We need to reconcile the role technology will
play in our lives for good and ill and try to insure that we remain
its master and not its slave. This balance will not be easily
struck or eagerly embraced, but it must be done;
- Consider establishing a domestic intelligence organization,
distinct from law enforcement and subject to appropriate control,
regulation and oversight;
- Secure and eliminate on an accelerated basis fissile nuclear
material and chemical and biological weapon agents that pose a risk
of diversion. This will require a more cooperative approach with
Russia than the U.S. currently has achieved;
- Re-energize America's engagement in Middle East. I believe that
if the road to peace in the Middle East runs through Baghdad, then
success in Baghdad may very well run through Jerusalem. The
unabated violence there can only serve to remain a breeding ground
for even more savagery and nihilism in the future. This effort
should not await the counting of ballots in November;
- Finally, we need to persuade free people the world over that
the war on terror cannot be waged by America alone. As recent
events demonstrate, religious extremists and fanatics do not
recognize geographical boundaries. There are no rear lines, no
pockets of tranquility, no safe harbors for innocent civilians. We
are all on the front lines today. A virus or a bomb born in a
distant laboratory or factory is but a plane ride away from any
place on the planet.
It's a time for sober reflection and the charting of a
responsible course of action. There's very little time to lose.
Source: US State Department Washington File, http://usinfo.state.gov.
Back to the Top of the Page
TESTIMONY OF U.S. SECRETARY OF DEFENSE
DONALD H. RUMSFELD
PREPARED FOR DELIVERY TO
THE NATIONAL COMMISSION ON TERRORIST ATTACKS
UPON THE UNITED STATES
MARCH 23, 2004
Chairman, Commissioners -- Thank you for undertaking this
important work.
The Commission requested that we comment on preparations during
the period from January 20th through September 11, 2001 , the
events of September 11 th , steps taken since September 11th, and
any recommendations for the future.
I request that the text of my testimony be made a part of the
record, along with several attachments.
Let me first express my condolences to the people of Spain . The
bombings in Madrid have been called Europe 's 9/11. For the Spanish
people, March 11, 2004 will leave their nation changed. I have no
doubt that, like September 11th, the fruits of those attacks will
not, over the long run, be hatred, fear or self-doubt, as the
terrorists intended.
I am persuaded the attacks there will backfire on the terrorists
as they have elsewhere -- for example, as the Istanbul bombings
united Turks instead of dividing them; and as terrorist bombings in
Riyadh spurred the Saudis to crack down on terrorist networks in
their country.
Families that lost loved ones on 9/11 - some of whom I am sure
are listening today - must feel a special bond with families in
other countries who lost fathers and mothers, brothers and sisters,
sons and daughters to terrorism. They understand the pain, and the
heartbreak.
Nothing can shorten the suffering of the bereaved families whose
loved ones perished, or fill the empty space in their hearts.
The attacks by terrorists around the world are deadly reminders
that our nation - and, indeed, the world's free nations - are at
war. It is a war in which we face dangerous enemies, that kill
innocent men, women and children - enemies who are working to
acquire weapons that would one day allow them to kill not hundreds,
as on March 11 th in Spain , but tens of thousands.
So this Commission has an important opportunity. Those in
government are, of necessity, focused on dozens of issues.
Commissions, however, can step back and focus on one thing, get it
right, and provide insights that can be of great value.
ou have been asked to connect the dots - after the fact -- to
examine events leading up to September 11 th , and consider whether
events of that day might have been prevented - and, what lessons,
if any, might be taken from that experience to prevent future
dangers. It isn't easy, even after the fact. And that's with the
benefit of hindsight. You have the opportunity to hold hearings,
conduct interviews, to pore over tens of thousands of pages of
documents, to focus exclusively on that one topic.
I am told the Department of Defense alone has thus far:
• Had up to 150 DoD personnel work on the collection,
review, and processing of information requested by the
Commission;
• Made available approximately 4,000 documents, totaling
more than 136,000 pages;
• Provided 48 briefings; and
• Participated in 162 interviews with the Commission.
Since May 2003, DoD has spent some 10,000 man-hours to assist
the Commission.
Going through those documents and briefings, and conducting all
those interviews and hearings, and trying to piece it all together
and connect the dots, is difficult. Yet the challenge facing our
country before September 11 th and still today is vastly more
difficult: our task was then and is today to connect the dots --
not after the fact, but before the fact - to try to stop
an attack before it happens. And that task must be done
without the benefit of hindsight, hearings, briefings, interviews,
or testimony.
Another attack against our people will be attempted. We do not
know where, or when, or by what technique. It could be in weeks,
months, or years - but it will happen.
That reality drives those of us in positions of responsibility
in government to ask the tough question: when that attack is
attempted, what will we wish we had done -- today and everyday -
before an attack -- to prepare for, to mitigate, or if humanly
possible, to prevent it?
The Commission might ask a similar question: when that next
attack is attempted, what will you wish you had advised? What will
you wish you had recommended our nation do to prepare for, and, if
possible, to prevent an attack?
What have you learned that can inform our efforts, and help us
to better understand surprise, to anticipate threats, and get
better arranged to deal with them?
The unfamiliar challenges of the global war on terror are
particularly tough for several reasons:
• First, it is tough because Western armed forces have been
organized, trained and equipped to fight competing armies, navies
and air forces - not to conduct man-hunts for terrorists.
• It is tough because safeguarding the privacy of
individuals makes it hard to satisfy the requirement to know who or
what is coming across our borders or moving money through financial
networks.
• It is tough because globalization has created easy access
to dual-use technology, fiber optics, and the knowledge and
materials to build increasingly lethal weapons.
Your Commission can help by offering your considered opinions on
a number of critical questions:
• How to strike the right balance between privacy and
security?
• How to adjust thinking about dealing with terrorism as a
problem of national security vs. law enforcement?
• How to address peacetime constraints in a way to reflect
that we are a nation at war -- albeit a new and different war.
Not easy questions. But this much is certain: on September 11 th
, our world changed - and while it may be tempting to think that
once this crisis has passed and our nation has healed, things can
go back to the way they were -- we cannot go back. The world of
September 10 th is past. We have entered a new security
environment, arguably the most dangerous the world has known. And
if we are to continue to live as free people, we cannot go back to
thinking as we did on September 10 th . For if we do -- if we look
at the problems of the 21 st century through a 20 th century prism
-- we will come to wrong conclusions and fail the American
people.
You can help our country adjust. I used to think one of the most
powerful individuals in America was the person who could select the
annual high school debate topic. Think of the power -- to set the
agenda, and determine what millions of high school students will
study, read about, think about, talk about with friends, discuss
with their teachers, and debate with their parents and siblings
over dinner.
Your Commission has similar power. You have the opportunity to
focus the attention of the nation on critical questions - the
issues we need to think about, debate, and discuss. You have an
opportunity to elevate the debate above partisan interests, to lift
people's eyes up and out to the horizon, to help point a way
ahead.
The September 11 th attacks cost the American people hundreds of
billions of dollars in lost income, lost jobs, and lost GDP. But
the most terrible cost of the attack was the price paid in human
lives, and the suffering of the families and loved ones of the
3,000 people killed on that day - the horrible memories and the
constant sense of loss that the wives and husbands and children and
parents and friends of those who were murdered on September 11th
live with everyday.
I saw with my eyes the destruction terrorists wreaked on
September 11 th . At the impact site, moments after American
Airlines Flight #77 hit the Pentagon, one could feel the heat of
the flames, smell the burning jet fuel, and see the smoldering
rubble, twisted steel, and the agony of the victims. Those images
will forever be seared into our memories.
I spent time, once the crisis passed, asking the questions posed
to this Commission: What, if anything, could have been done to
prevent it? And, if something like this were to happen again, have
we -- today -- done everything possible to prevent it?
First, I must say, I know of no intelligence during the roughly
six plus months leading up to September 11 th that indicated
terrorists intended to hijack commercial airliners and fly them
into the Pentagon or the World Trade Towers. If we had had such
information, we could have acted on it -- as we did during the
spike in intelligence chatter during the summer of 2001, when we
had information that led us to move ships out of harbors in the
Gulf region. Further, I believe that the actions taken since
September 11 th in the global war on terror, and the international
coalition assembled to fight that war, would have been impossible
to achieve before the September 11 th attacks.
Think about it: after September 11 th , the President made the
decision not simply to launch cruise missile strikes as the U.S.
had previously tried. Rather, he decided to deal decisively with
the terrorist network responsible for the attack -- and to hold not
only the perpetrators to account, but also the regime that had
harbored, aided, and supported them as they trained, planned, and
executed their attacks.
The President rallied the world, and formed what is today a
90-nation coalition to wage the global war on terrorist networks.
He sent U.S. and Coalition forces - air, sea, and ground - to
attack Afghanistan , overthrow the Taliban regime, and destroy that
al-Qaeda stronghold.
• Within 26 days of the attack -- on October 7 th , the air
campaign against Taliban and al-Qaeda targets in Afghanistan had
been launched.
• Within 38 days -- on October 19th, the U.S. military had
forces on the ground in Afghanistan .
• Within 59 days -- on November 9 th , Mazar-e-Sharif fell
to a coordinated assault by Afghan and U.S. forces, aided by
precision strikes from Coalition ships and aircraft.
• Within 63 days -- on November 13, 2001 , Kabul was taken
- and Afghanistan was liberated.
In short order:
• The Taliban regime was driven from power;
• Al-Qaeda's sanctuary in Afghanistan was removed;
• Nearly two-thirds of their known leaders have now been
captured or killed ;
• Today a transitional government is in power in
Afghanistan , which is transforming the country from a safe haven
for terrorists to a coalition ally in the war against
terrorism.
• And a clear message was sent: henceforth there will be a
price to pay for harboring terrorists.
These were bold steps - and today, in light of September 11 th ,
no one questions those actions. T oday, I suspect most would
support a pre-emptive action to deal with such a threat, if it had
been possible to see it coming. Today, our remarkable military
success in Afghanistan is largely taken for granted, as is the
achievement in bringing together countries like Pakistan , India ,
Uzbekistan , and Oman into a 90-nation coalition.
But imagine for a moment that we were back before September 11,
2001 . Imagine that a U.S. President had looked at the information
then available, and gone before the Congress and the world, and
said: "We need to invade Afghanistan, overthrow the Taliban, and
destroy the al-Qaeda terrorist network," based on what little was
known before September 11th.
How many countries would have joined in a coalition? Many? Any?
Not likely.
We likely would have heard objections to "pre-emption" similar
to those voiced before the Coalition launched Operation Iraqi
Freedom. We would have been asked:
• Where is the "smoking gun?"
• How can we attack Afghanistan when it was al-Qaeda that
attacked us?
• Aren't North Korea , Iran , Iraq , or Libya more
immediate threats than Afghanistan ?
• Shouldn't overthrowing the Taliban regime be the last
step, not the first?
• Why can't we just take out terrorist training camps?
• If we go to war in Afghanistan , does it mean the U.S.
will now go to war with every state that harbors
terrorists before they have threatened us?
• Should we go to war when there is no international
consensus behind ousting the Taliban regime by force?
• Wouldn't U.S. intervention enrage the Muslim world and
increase support for the terrorists?
• How can we go to war when not one country in the region
publicly supports us, and many seem to be opposed?
• Wouldn't the U.S. get bogged down in an expensive,
dangerous long-term military occupation?
• Wouldn't we open ourselves to the risk that other rogue
regimes might take advantage of the fact that the U.S. is tied up
in Afghanistan to invade neighbors or cause other mischief?
• Won't launching a pre-emptive strike simply provoke more
terrorist attacks against the U.S. ?
• If the Taliban and al-Qaeda knew we intended to overthrow
their regime and destroy their network, what would they have to
lose by launching a catastrophic attack in the U.S. ?
Those are essentially objections that were raised against
military action in Iraq . And they were voiced after
September 11 th , in a nation that already had experienced the loss
of 3,000 innocent men, women and children to a surprise attack.
Imagine the outcry any U.S. President would have faced had he
proposed what would have been labeled a pre-emptive war in
Afghanistan before the experience of September 11 th .
Unfortunately, history shows that it can take a tragedy like
September 11 th to awaken the world to new threats - and to the
need for action -- and even then there are different views.
A few weeks after September 11 th , I was in the Middle East ,
and I met in a tent in the desert with the Sultan of Oman. He
expressed his sympathy for the loss of life in America . But he
said that perhaps that tragedy will wake up the world, so that
nations will come together to take the steps necessary to see that
there is not a September 11 th that involves a biological, chemical
or nuclear weapon. Perhaps, he said, the loss of those 3,000
precious lives, in the end, will help to save tens of thousands of
lives.
We cannot go back in time to stop the September 11 th attack.
But we owe it to the families and loved ones of those who died on
September 11 th to ensure that their loss will, in fact, be the
call that helps to ensure that tens of thousands of other families
do not go through the pain and suffering they have endured.
It is my hope that this Commission's work will help our nation
meet its obligations to those families - and to future generations,
whose freedom and security are in our hands today.
II. Preparing For An Era Of Surprise: January 20, 2001 --
September 10, 2001
President Bush came to office with instructions to his
Administration to prepare for the new threats of the 21 st
century.
The bombing of the U.S.S. Cole on October 12, 2000 was seen both
as evidence of the al-Qaeda threat and the need to adjust U.S.
policy. There had been no response to the Cole bombing.
I've have had an interest in terrorism since my experience in
Lebanon in the 1980s, during my service as Middle East Envoy for
President Reagan.
The more one studies terrorism, the more one becomes convinced
that the approach to fighting it that had evolved over several
decades wasn't working. That strategy was essentially to treat
terrorism as a matter of domestic security; to combat it through
national and international law enforcement techniques; and to try
to take defensive measures against terrorist attacks. From the
attack on the Marine barracks in Beirut , to the first World Trade
Center attack, to the Embassy bombings in East Africa , and the
attack on the U.S.S. Cole -- that was the pattern. Reasonable
people have to conclude that the value of that approach had
diminished over the years.
It had become increasingly clear that we could no longer afford
to treat terrorism as a manageable evil - that we needed an
approach that treated terrorism more like fascism -- as an evil
that needed to be not contained, but fought and eliminated.
When this Administration came into office, the President asked
the NSC to begin preparing a new counter-terrorism strategy. His
instructions were to develop a strategy not simply to contain
terrorism, but to deal with it more aggressively - not to reduce
the threat posed by al-Qaeda, but to eliminate the al-Qaeda
terrorist network.
A more comprehensive approach required a review not only of U.S.
counter-terrorism policy, but also U.S. policies with regard to
other countries, some of which had not previously been at the
center of U.S. policy. It was a big task. Dr. Rice has stated she
asked the National Security Council staff in her first week in
office for a new Presidential initiative on al-Qaeda. The staff
conducted an overall review of al-Qaeda policy. In early March, the
staff was directed to craft a more aggressive strategy aimed at
eliminating the al-Qaeda threat. The first draft of that new
strategy, in the form of a Presidential directive, was circulated
by the NSC staff on June 7, 2001 and I am told some five more
meetings were held that summer at the Deputy Secretary level to
address the policy questions involved, such as relating an
aggressive strategy against the Taliban to U.S.-Pakistan relations.
By the first week of September, this process had arrived at a
strategy that was presented to Principals and later became National
Security Presidential Directive (NSPD)-9.
The objectives of the new strategy were:
• To eliminate the al-Qaeda network;
• To use all elements of national power to do so --
diplomatic, military, economic, intelligence, information and law
enforcement;
• To eliminate sanctuaries for al-Qaeda and related
terrorist networks - and if diplomatic efforts to do so failed, to
consider additional measures.
The essence of this strategy was contained in NSPD-9. It was the
first major substantive national security decision directive issued
by this Administration. It was presented for decision by principals
on September 4, 2001 - 7 days before September 11 th . The
directive was signed by the President, with minor changes, and a
preamble to reflect the events of 9/11, on October 25, 2001 .
While this review of counter-terrorism policy was taking place,
the Department of Defense was developing a review of U.S. defense
strategy. When President Bush took office, he asked us to transform
the Defense Department, and arrange the U.S. Armed Forces for the
new threats of the 21 st century, which he knew would be notably
different from 20 th century threats that were familiar, but
unlikely.
On February 2, 2001 , less than two weeks after taking office, I
traveled to Germany for the annual Munich Conference on Security
Policy - my first overseas trip since returning to the Pentagon.
Already, at that early date, we were focused on the problem of
unconventional or "asymmetric" threats. On the flight, I was asked
by reporters about the principles that would drive our defense
review. I answered that the 1991 Persian Gulf War had taught the
world that taking on Western armies, navies and air forces directly
is not a good idea. It was expensive and attackers were almost
certain to lose a conventional conflict. It was therefore likely
that potential adversaries would:
"look for so-called asymmetrical responses … [everything]
from terrorism through cyber attacks, to information warfare, to
cruise missiles, to short-range ballistic missiles, to longer range
ballistic missiles, and weapons of mass destruction." (See
Attachment #1)
The problem we faced was that, for most of the 20 th century,
the U.S. Armed Forces had been organized, trained and equipped to
fight opposing armies, navies and air forces. While we need to
maintain the capability to fight traditional wars, we also knew
that the likely threats in the 21 st century would require us to
conduct much different kinds of military operations.
Even traditional adversaries would be likely to threaten us in
unconventional or asymmetric ways. Moreover, we knew we would
increasingly face threats from non-traditional adversaries, such as
terrorist networks, and that we needed to re-arrange ourselves to
be able to deter and dissuade such attacks - and to defeat such
adversaries if they did attack.
The danger posed by proliferation is twofold:
• First, that hostile states will develop these weapons,
and a variety of ways to deliver them against our people, and our
friends and coalition partners, and thus have the power to hold our
populations hostage to blackmail; and
• Second, that they might share those capabilities with
terrorist networks, that could use them to attack us without
fingerprints.
At the same time, the challenges facing the intelligence
community were growing more complex. During my confirmation
hearings, I was asked what one thing would keep me awake at night?
I answered, without hesitation: "intelligence." (See Attachment
#2)
I understand CIA Director Tenet will testify tomorrow and he
will provide a detailed description of the challenges facing the
intelligence community. Let me simply say this: during the Cold
War, we faced a principal adversary - the Soviet Union - an enemy
we grew to know and understand reasonably well over many decades.
Today, we face multiple potential adversaries - both state and
non-state actors - operating around the globe. We are living in an
age where the nature of the international economy, the volume and
rate of global interactions and communication, and the spread of
technologies, mean the volume of information that must be monitored
and assessed has grown and is growing.
The ability of the intelligence community to monitor the rapidly
growing volume of data, sort it, analyze it, and then alert
policymakers to threats to the U.S. and its interests, is growing
more difficult by the year.
Their challenge is compounded by the fact that the ability of
the intelligence community to learn the secrets of those who wish
us harm, and to convey those secrets to policy-makers in
confidence, continues to be compromised by frequent leaks and
unauthorized disclosures. Hardly a day goes by when the media
doesn't carry a story that reveals classified information. This
aids our enemies in significant ways.
The harm done to the U.S. by spies and traitors the likes of
Ames , Hansen, and Pollard is substantial. The result has been that
important features of our intelligence capabilities have been
compromised.
As part of our complicated world, adversaries of the U.S. have
chosen terrorism as the preferred instrument to force free nations
to submit to their agendas by inflicting death on their innocent
citizens.
We were also concerned about the risk of surprise, and the
danger that new threats could emerge with little or no warning. In
June 2001, I attended the first meeting of NATO defense ministers
in the 21 st century, and my first NATO meeting since returning to
government. I told my colleagues about Vice President Cheney's
appearance before the Senate for his confirmation hearings as
Secretary of Defense in March of 1989. During those hearings, a
wide range of security issues were discussed - but not one person
uttered the word " Iraq ." Yet within a year, Iraq had invaded
Kuwait and that word was in every headline and on everyone's lips.
I wondered what word might come to dominate my term in office that
wasn't raised by members of the Senate Committee during my
confirmation hearings.
Three months later, we learned the answer -- Afghanistan and
al-Qaeda.
At that June 2001 meeting, months before September 11 th -- I
cautioned our NATO colleagues as follows:
"We know this much for certain: it is unlikely that any of us
here knows what is likely…. None of us…has a crystal
ball through which we can clearly see the future. [But] while it is
difficult to know precisely who will threaten us or where or when
in the coming decades, it is less difficult to anticipate how we
will be threatened. We know, for example, that as an Alliance of
democracies, our open borders and open societies make it easy and
inviting for terrorists to strike at our people where they live
[and] work…. Our dependence on computer-based information
networks make those networks attractive targets for new forms of
cyber-attack. The ease with which potential adversaries can acquire
advanced conventional weapons… will present us with new
challenges in conventional war and force projection. Our lack of
defenses against ballistic missiles creates incentives for missile
proliferation which, combined with the development of nuclear,
chemical and biological weapons of mass destruction, give future
adversaries the ability to hold our populations hostage to terror
and blackmail…. [T]he parallel revolutions of
miniaturization, information, biotechnology, robotics,
nanotechnology, and high-density energy sources are putting
unprecedented power in the hands of small countries and even
terrorist groups , foreshadowing changes beyond any ability to
forecast." (See Attachment #3)
These are the kinds of threats that we at Defense were preparing
to meet and deal with in the months before September 11 th . And
during those early months, we made significant progress in the
effort to transform for the era of surprise and unconventional
threats. They included:
- The Congressionally required Quadrennial Defense Review,
completed just days before the 9/11 attacks, laid out the
transformation objectives of the Department of Defense.
- In it, we identified as our first priority , the defense of the
territory and people of the United States against a broad range of
asymmetric threats - homeland defense .
- And we made the important decision to move the Department from
a "threat-based" to a "capabilities-based" approach to defense
planning - an approach that focuses not simply on who might
threaten us, or where, or when, but more on how we might
be threatened, and what portfolio of capabilities we will need to
deter and defend against those new threats.
- We directed the Department to accelerate work on precision
strike weapons, and various intelligence capabilities designed to
help us deny enemies sanctuary. Our guidance emphasized the synergy
to be achieved from long-range air and ground forces.
- We also developed a concept for new Defense Planning Guidance
and a new Contingency Planning Guidance. I found that many of the
U.S. war plans were more than two years old. In some cases the
assumptions on which they had been built had not been adjusted for
three or four years. In May of 2001, we began the process of
modernizing the way the Department prepares its war plans -
reducing the time to develop plans, increasing the frequency with
which they would be updated, and structuring the plans to be more
flexible and adaptable to the continuing changes in the security
environment.
- Following the incident in April where the crew of our EP-3
aircraft was taken prisoner by the Chinese, we made adjustments in
the Department's crisis management organization and process.
- We completed the Congressionally required Nuclear Posture
Review, and adopted a new approach to deterrence designed to
enhance our security, while mandating historic reductions in our
deployed offensive nuclear strategic weapons.
We did all this, I would add, with a skeletal staff. It was not
until nearly 6 weeks into the new Administration that Deputy
Secretary, Paul Wolfowitz, was confirmed. For many weeks
thereafter, he and I were the only confirmed Presidential
appointees in the Defense Department. For example:
- The Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition was not sworn in
until May 10 th - almost four months after the President took
office.
- The Department's General Counsel and the Secretary of the Navy
were not confirmed until May 24 th .
- The Secretary of the Army was not confirmed until May 31 st
.
- The Under Secretary of Defense for Policy - the senior official
responsible for many of the issues discussed here - did not take
office until July 16 th , nearly 6 months into the new
Administration.
- The DoD Comptroller, the Department's top budget official, was
not confirmed until May 3 rd .
- The Secretary of the Air Force and the Under Secretary of
Defense for Personnel and Readiness were not confirmed until June 1
st .
- The Assistant Secretary for International Security Affairs was
not confirmed until July 16th.
- The Deputy Under Secretary for Policy was not confirmed until
July 25 th .
- The Assistant Secretary for International Security Policy was
not confirmed until August 6 th .
For most of the period before 9/11 we were working in a building
where many of the most senior officials selected by the President
had not been confirmed and were not available to help. So we were
without their help for many months. The current system from
clearance to confirmation is better suited to the industrial age
and needs to be modernized to fit the 21 st century.
Notwithstanding those challenges, the few new civilian and the
military leaders of the Department did do a significant amount of
work in the early months. I held more than 250 meetings during the
period before September 11th, many on the subjects described.
- 120 meetings were devoted to strategy and policy reviews;
- More than 100 were on personnel matters to recruit and get the
Administration's team on board;
- 26 focused on updating old war plans; and
- 50 or more dealt with budget issues and new priorities for the
21 st century challenges.
Those investments in time and energy by senior leaders of the
Department paid off. We made important decisions about the
strategic direction for the Department and the Armed Forces -
decisions that were to be later validated by the decisive campaign
that was planned and executed after 9/11.
Indeed, because we were doing all these things -- here in the
Department, as well as in the NSC policy review -- the
Administration was better prepared to respond when the 9/11 attacks
came. We were able to take plans which were limited in their
objectives -- plans that had evolved from the late 1990s through
the first months of the Administration -- and rapidly modify and
enlarge them to meet our broader objectives for Afghanistan . The
rapid success in Afghanistan was made possible in part because of
work that had been done in previous years and in the preceding
seven months - changes in thinking, culture, and strategy that
fortunately were underway when new threats emerged -- and which
allowed us to move with speed and precision to shatter al-Qaeda in
Afghanistan and destroy the Taliban regime in short order.
III. The Day Of September 11 th .
On the morning of September 11, 2001 , I was hosting a meeting
for some of Members of Congress. Ironically, in the course of the
conversation, I stressed how important it was for our country to be
adequately prepared for the unexpected.
Someone handed me a note that a plane had hit one of the World
Trade Center Towers . Later, I was in my office with a CIA briefer
when I was told a second plane had hit the other tower. Shortly
thereafter, at 9:38 AM , the Pentagon shook with an explosion of a
then unknown origin.
I went outside to determine what had happened. I was not there
long, apparently, because I am told I was back in the Pentagon,
with a crisis action team, by shortly before or after 10:00 AM
.
Upon my return from the crash site and before going to the
Executive Support Center (ESC), I had one or more calls in my
office, one of which I believe was with the President.
I left the ESC and went to the National Military Command Center
where General Dick Myers, then Vice Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of
Staff, had just returned from Capitol Hill. We discussed and I
recommended to the President raising the U.S. Defense Condition
level from 5 to 3, and increasing the Force Protection level. We
later requested that the Russians be notified of the change and
suggested they stand down an exercise they were conducting, which
they did.
A summary was provided of the forces available in the Persian
Gulf/Arabian Gulf. They included: two aircraft carrier battle
groups and more than 200 TLAM cruise missiles among other vessels
in the area.
In the National Military Command Center (NMCC), I joined the air
threat telephone conference call in progress. One of my first
conversations during the conference call was with the Vice
President. He informed me of the President's authorization to shoot
down hostile aircraft coming toward Washington , D.C.
My thoughts went to the pilots of the U.S. military aircraft
that could be called upon to execute that order. I recalled an
experience in 1975, while I was serving as White House Chief of
Staff, when the ship Mayaguez was seized by pirates. During that
incident, communications had been beamed into a room where
President Ford and the rest of us could hear U.S. pilots as they
weighed intercepting a boat moving from an island to the mainland
-- very likely with the crew of the Mayaguez as captives.
I remember hearing the uncertainty in a pilot's voice -- a young
man charged with making a grave decision about firing at or
attempting to disable that boat to keep it from reaching the
mainland. I find it useful to try to put myself in the shoes of
others - whether a pilot, or a combatant commander. And I tried to
put myself into the shoes of the pilots we were asking to be
prepared to intercept civilian airliners, over American soil,
filled with our neighbors, friends, and relatives -- and possibly
having to shoot down those planes -- with row after row of their
fellow Americans.
It was clear they needed rules of engagement telling them what
they should and should not do. They needed clarity. And there were
no rules of engagement on the books for this first-time situation
where civilian aircraft were seized and were being used as
missiles. Indeed, it may well be the first time in history that
U.S. armed forces in peacetime, have been ordered to fire on fellow
Americans going about their lawful business.
General Myers and I went to work to fashion appropriate rules of
engagement. Throughout the course of the day, we returned to
further refine those rules.
I spent the remainder of the morning and into the afternoon in
the NMCC and the ESC, participating in the Air Threat Conference,
talking to the President or Vice President, or giving guidance and
thinking about the way forward. During the course of the day, the
President indicated he expected us to provide him with robust
options for military responses.
In the first month of the Administration, I had prepared a list
of guidelines to be weighed before committing U.S. forces to
combat. I had shared them with the President so he would know that,
if we were to consider engaging U.S. forces, those were the kinds
of considerations I would be weighing and discussing with him.
Let me mention a few of those guidelines:
• First, is the proposed action truly necessary? If lives
are going to be put at risk, there must be a darn good reason.
• Next, is the task achievable and at an acceptable risk?
It has to be something that the United States is truly capable of
doing. We need to understand that we have limitations.
• All instruments of national power should be engaged
before, during and after any possible use of force.
• Decisions ought not to be made by committees. If the U.S.
needs or prefers a coalition, which in my view it almost always
will, it's important to avoid trying so hard to persuade others to
join that it could compromise the goals or jeopardize the command
structure. The mission needs to determine the coalition.
• If an engagement is worth doing, then the U.S. and
coalition partners need to be willing to put lives at risk -- and
leaders have to be willing to invest the political capital
necessary to marshal support necessary to sustain the effort for
whatever period of time conceivably could be required.
• It's important not to dumb down what's needed by
promising not to do things - by saying "we won't use ground
forces," or "we won't risk lives," or "we won't permit collateral
damage," or "we won't bomb below 15,000 feet," or "we'll set an
arbitrary deadline that it will end as of this date." That
simplifies the problem for the enemy and makes our task vastly more
difficult -- and vastly more dangerous.
I prepared those and the other guidelines attached to my
testimony (Attachment #4) long before September 11 th - not as
rules or a formula to encourage or inhibit military action, but
rather as a checklist of questions to consider, so that if we did
have to engage our forces, we would do so with a full appreciation
of our responsibilities, the risks, the opportunities - and that we
would do so decisively.
A few days after 9/11, I wrote down some thoughts on terrorism,
and the new kind of war that had been visited upon us. I noted:
• "It will take a sustained effort to root [the terrorists]
out…. The world needs to have realistic expectations. This
campaign is a marathon, not a sprint. No terrorist or terrorist
network, such as al-Qaeda, is going to be conclusively dealt with
by cruise missiles or bombers."
• "The coalitions that are being fashioned will not be
fixed; rather, they will change and evolve…. [E]ach country
has a somewhat different perspective and different relationships,
views and concerns. It should not be surprising that some countries
will be supportive of some activities in which the U.S. is engaged,
while other countries will not."
• "Some will be reluctant to join an effort against
terrorism or at least some aspects of our efforts. Terrorists
terrorize people. We accept that fact."
• "This is not a war against the people of any country. The
regimes that support terrorism terrorize their own people as well.
We need to enlist all civilized people to oppose terrorism, and we
need to [help] make it safe for them to do so."
• "This is not a war against Islam…. The al-Qaeda
terrorists are extremists whose views are antithetical to those of
most Muslims. Their actions… are aimed in part at preventing
Muslim people from engaging the rest of the world. There are
millions of Muslims around the world who we expect to become allies
in this struggle."
The text of this memorandum is Attachment #5 to my
statement.
In the following days, we prepared options for the President.
The President issued an ultimatum to the Taliban. When they failed
to comply, he initiated the Global War on Terror and directed the
Department to carry out Operation Enduring Freedom against
al-Qaeda, their affiliates, and the Taliban regime in Afghanistan
that harbored and supported the terrorists.
IV. What Steps Have Been Taken Since 9/11
In the aftermath of 9/11, the Department of Defense has pursued
two tracks simultaneously:
• We have prosecuted the global war on terror in concert
with other departments and agencies of the U.S. Government; and
• We have continued and, where possible, accelerated, the
effort to transform the Department to be able to meet and defeat
the threats of the 21 st century.
We are having success on both fronts.
What the courageous men and women in uniform have accomplished
since our country was attacked 30 months ago is impressive. In the
2½ years since 9/11, with our Coalition partners, they
have:
• Overthrown two terrorist regimes, and liberated some 50
million people;
• Hunted down thousands of terrorists and regime remnants
in Iraq , Afghanistan and other countries;
• Captured or killed 46 of the 55 most wanted in Iraq --
including Saddam Hussein;
• Disrupted terrorist financing;
• Interdicted shipments of chemical and nuclear weapons
components bound for terrorist states;
• Disrupted terrorist cells on several continents; and
• Undoubtedly prevented a number of planned terrorist
attacks.
At the same time, we have continued the defense transformation
effort that began before 9/11. Our efforts have been driven by the
tough question: if another attack were to occur 6 months from
today, what would we wish we had done from today and each of the
coming days to deter, defeat, or to prepare for it? We have done a
great deal.
We have revised the Unified Command Plan twice since 9/11 and
are preparing a third revision. Among other things, we have
established:
• The Northern Command -- an entirely new command dedicated
to defending the homeland;
• A new Joint Forces Command to focus on continuing
transformation;
• A new Strategic Command responsible for early warning of
and defense against missile attack and the conduct of long-range
attacks; and
• We have changed the Special Operations Command in major
ways, expanding its capabilities and its missions, so that it can
both support missions directed by regional combatant commanders,
but also plan and execute its own missions in the global war on
terror, supported by other combatant commands;
- Working with Congress, the Department of Homeland Security was
established, and arrangements for cooperation between it and the
Defense Department were established in the event of a new terrorist
attack.
- After receiving authority from Congress, we established a new
Assistant Secretary of Defense for Homeland Defense, with
responsibility for interaction with the new Department of Homeland
Security;
- We also established an Under Secretary of Defense for
Intelligence to help ensure that the Department manages
intelligence assets in a manner that best supports the global war
on terror and the responsibilities of the Director of Central
Intelligence;
- The intelligence community has established a new Terrorist
Threat Intelligence Center (or TTIC) - a multi-agency joint venture
designed to help the intelligence, law enforcement, and defense
communities better integrate terrorist threat-related information
and analysis;
- DoD assigned additional military personnel to the CIA's Counter
Terrorism Center (CTC), to strengthen collaboration between the CTC
and the military;
- We have taken steps to strengthen U.S. non-proliferation
efforts, including the launch of the Proliferation Security
Initiative - an unprecedented international coalition to strengthen
the international community's ability to interdict shipments of
weapons of mass destruction, delivery systems, and related
materials at sea, in the air, and on the ground. The effort was
launched in the summer of 2003, with 10 like-minded countries, and
in the months since more than 40 more countries have offered
support. Already there have been important successes -- including
interdictions of both nuclear and chemical weapons components;
- And government has improved relationships between and among our
intelligence agencies and law enforcement agencies around the
world. That cooperation is delivering results, including:
• The uncovering of the A.Q. Kahn nuclear trading
network;
• The exposure and dismantling of Libya 's WMD
programs;
• The rooting out of rings that finance terrorism; and
• The prevention of planned terrorist attacks.
• We have strengthened existing defense intelligence
counter-terrorism capabilities by establishing the new Joint
Integrated Task Force--Counter-Terrorism (JITF-CT) under the
Defense Intelligence Agency -- an intelligence fusion center to
support the global war on terror focused on providing strategic and
tactical warning, exposing and exploiting terrorist
vulnerabilities, and preventing terrorists and their sponsors from
acquiring weapons of mass destruction;
• With our NATO Allies, we have created a new NATO Response
Force to give the Alliance the kind of rapid reaction capability
that, had it existed on September 11 th , could have enabled NATO
to contribute to combat operations in Afghanistan in a timely
manner;
• The demands presented by the global war on terror have
led to our establishing new strategic relationships that would have
been unimaginable just a decade ago - including the nations of
Central Asia, the Caucasus, the Horn of Africa, as well as South
Asia; and
• We have undertaken a comprehensive review of our global
force posture, with the goal of transforming U.S. global
capabilities from an arrangement driven by where the wars of the 20
th century ended, to a posture that positions us to deal with the
new threats of the 21 st century security environment.
In addition, Operation Enduring Freedom and Operation Iraqi
Freedom have sent a clear message to the world's terrorist states:
harboring terrorists and the pursuit of weapons of mass murder
carries with it unpleasant costs. By contrast, leaders who abandon
the support of terrorism and the pursuit of those weapons can find
an open path to better relations with the world's free nations.
V. Some Questions That Have Been Posed
In the period since the September 11 th attacks, the
Administration, several Committees of Congress, and now this
Commission, have taken on the task of examining what happened on
that treacherous day. And a number of questions have been
raised.
Some have asked: When the Administration came into
office, was there consideration of how to deal with the attack on
the U.S.S. Cole? Were there steps that might have been taken to
send terrorists a message that the
U.S. Government was serious
about terrorism?
That is a fair question. I do not believe that launching another
cruise missile strike 4 months after the fact would have sent a
message of strength to terrorists. Indeed, it might have sent a
signal of weakness. Instead, we went to work implementing the
recommendations of the Cole Commission and developing a more
comprehensive approach to deal with al-Qaeda -- resulting in
NSPD-9.
Meanwhile, a system managed by the Counter-Terrorism Security
group was in place to coordinate security alerts and increased
security postures at home and abroad, including force protection
measures at U.S. military bases overseas.
Some have asked: Why wasn't bin Laden taken out, and
if he had been hit, would it have prevented September 11 th
?
First, I know of no actionable intelligence since January 20,
2001 that would have allowed the U.S. to attack and capture or kill
Usama bin Laden. In the 2 ½ years since September 11 th ,
all the nations of the Coalition have focused a great deal of time,
energy and resources on the task of finding him and capturing or
killing him. Thus far none of us has succeeded. But we will. It
took ten months to capture Saddam Hussein in Iraq - and Coalition
forces had passed by the hole he was hiding in many times during
those ten months. They were able to find him only after someone
with specific knowledge told us where he was. What that suggests is
that it is exceedingly difficult to find a single individual who is
determined to not be found.
Second, even if bin Laden had been captured or killed in the
weeks before 9/11, no one I know believes it would have prevented
9/11. Killing bin Laden would not have removed the al-Qaeda's
sanctuary in Afghanistan . Moreover, the sleeper cells that flew
the aircraft into the World Trade Towers and the Pentagon were
already in the U.S. some months before the attacks. Indeed, if the
stars had aligned, actionable intelligence had appeared, which it
did not, and if it had somehow been possible to successfully attack
him, it would have been a good thing, to be sure, but, regrettably,
9/11 would likely still have happened. And, ironically,
much of the world in all likelihood would have blamed September
11th on the U.S. as an al-Qaeda retaliation for the U.S.
provocation of capturing or killing Usama bin Laden.
Some have asked whether there were there plans to go after
al-Qaeda in Afghanistan before 9/11 and, if so, why weren't they
implemented?
I have recently reviewed a briefing that I am told was presented
to me in early February, 2001. The brief outlined some approaches
for dealing with Usama bin Laden - which, as I have indicated, I
believe would not have prevented 9/11. And, I would not describe
the briefing I saw as a comprehensive plan to deal with al-Qaeda
and its sanctuary in Afghanistan .
I am told that I asked the briefer many questions and that the
team went back and worked on refining their proposed approaches.
The work they did in the ensuing months helped prepare the
Department for Operation Enduring Freedom and the successful
invasion of Afghanistan so soon after 9/11.
One thing is clear -- as of February 2001, we had not yet
developed the kind of clear new policy direction which must
properly precede the development of war plans. The NSC was at work
during the spring and summer of 2001 developing a new
counter-terrorism policy needed to inform new war plans. And we
were at the same time in the process of overhauling all U.S.
contingency plans.
Some have asked if it would have been possible to
arm the Northern Alliance
before 9/11 and might that have tied up the Taliban and
al-Qaeda in a civil war in
Afghanistan and prevented
9/11?
The answer is that: while doing so might have attrited al-Qaeda
somewhat, it is highly unlikely such a strategy could have
prevented 9/11. What was needed at the time was a new U.S. policy
for the region, including our relationship with Pakistan , India ,
and Uzbekistan , and a more comprehensive strategy to eliminate
al-Qaeda - which is what the NSC was working on.
Others have asked: Was there a spike in intelligence
and terrorist chatter in the June/July 2001 timeframe - and what
did the U.S.
government do about it?
The answer to the intelligence question is yes there was a
spike, as has been indicated by the Director of Central
Intelligence. I am reminded that most of that intelligence was
focused on overseas threats and some of it focused on potential
hijackings, and that steps were taken by the FAA to warn about
potential hijackings. However, I don't recall receiving anything in
the months prior to 9/11 that suggested terrorists might take
commercial airliners and use them as missiles to fly into buildings
like the World Trade Center Towers or the Pentagon.
Some have asked: Could the development of the armed
Predator been accelerated?
First, let me say that any suggestion that the Predator was
delayed would be inaccurate. The Air Force did a good job of
bringing in the armed Predator in near record time. Indeed, I am
told that when General John Jumper was presented with the
development plans, he was originally told it would take several
years. He said: do it in one year. In fact, it was done in less
than a year. Not only did they rapidly bring that capability
online, they overcame a number of technical challenges to do so -
from reinforcing the UAV's wings to make sure the Hellfire missile
didn't blow the wings off, to expanding the "frag pattern" of the
warhead to make it somewhat more effective against intended
targets. In short, the Armed Predator was deployed, and played a
role in the success of Operation Enduring Freedom well before it
had been officially certified as ready for deployment. The Air
Force, the CIA and others involved can be properly proud.
VI. Suggestions for the Future
The nature of the war we are fighting today, and the adversary
we face, is unlike anything our nation has faced before. Terrorist
threats have been around before, to be sure. But the threats have
changed in recent years - growing in boldness and lethality.
According to the State Department, there were 230 terrorist
incidents between January 1968 and September 11, 2001 in which a
total of almost 1,000 Americans were killed. (See Attachment #6)
There were three times that number of Americans killed in one day
on September 11 th .
Today, we face adversaries who:
• Hide in plain sight;
• Take advantage of our open borders and open societies to
attack our people;
• Use the institutions of everyday life - planes, trains,
cars and letters - as weapons to kill innocent civilians; and
• Can attack with just handfuls of people, at a cost of
just hundreds or thousands of dollars - while it requires many tens
of thousands of soldiers and billions of dollars to defend against
such attacks.
Rooting out and dealing with such enemies is tough. It will
require many years. And it will require that we think differently
than we did in the 20 th century - and that we wrestle with
difficult questions about how we go about fighting such an
enemy.
The recommendations this Commission may make could help.
For example, you might consider some of the following
questions:
How can we strengthen the Intelligence community and
get it better arranged for 21 st century challenges
?
I have heard the argument that, in the wake of 9/11, we need to
take all the various intelligence agencies, consolidate them, and
put them under the leadership of a single "intelligence czar."
While these recommendations are well intentioned, we would not be
doing the country a favor by centralizing intelligence. There are
certain areas in life, like intelligence and research and
development, where it is a mistake to rely on a single source.
Instead, fostering multiple centers of information has proven to be
better at promoting creativity and challenging conventional
thinking. This is true of intelligence. There may be ways we can
strengthen intelligence - but centralization is not one.
One possibility might be to consider reducing stovepipes. There
is a good reason for having intelligence compartmentalized. It is a
fact that the more people who know something, the more likely that
information will be compromised. So there is a risk in breaking
down stovepipes and integrating intelligence centers horizontally
so that analysts have access to all the information they need. In a
time when threats can emerge rapidly, with little or no warning, we
need to weigh that risk of expanding access and risking compromise
against the risk of not breaking down compartments and
denying access. We need to consider whether they are greater than
the risk of keeping information so tightly compartmentalized that
people who need to know it, use it, and integrate it with other
intelligence are kept in the dark.
We need to ensure that the laws and regulations that govern the
gathering of intelligence make sense in today's world, and we
should re-evaluate those that may be based on outdated technologies
and that did not contemplate today's information technology
environment.
We need to ensure that laws and regulations do not unduly
restrict the sharing of information between U.S. law enforcement
and intelligence agencies.
Whatever is recommended, it is critical that the organization
and management of the nation's intelligence capabilities are done
in a manner that preserves the unique relationship between the DCI
and the Secretary of Defense. As each year goes by, it is
increasingly difficult to distinguish between information that
contributes to national intelligence versus information that is
necessary for military intelligence and focuses on the battlefield.
And we must do all this while finding a way to ensure that foreign
intelligence of interest to domestic security efforts is collected
and made available.
If one believes it could be necessary to centralize all
intelligence under a single intelligence czar to improve national
intelligence, then one can argue it equally forcefully that it is
necessary to centralize all intelligence under the Department of
Defense to improve military intelligence. Either course would be a
major mistake and could damage our country's intelligence
capability severely.
How can we wage war not just on terrorist networks,
but also on the ideology of hate they spread ?
The global war on terror will, in fact, be a long, hard slog.
Victory will require a sustained effort, over many years, to root
out terrorist networks, deny them sanctuary, disrupt their
financing, and hold to account states that sponsor or provide
sanctuary to terrorists. But I am convinced that victory in the
global war against terrorism will require a positive effort as
well.
We need to find creative ways to stop the next generation of
terrorists from being recruited, trained, financed and deployed
against free people. For every terrorist that coalition forces
capture, kill, dissuade or deter, still others are being recruited
and trained. To win the war on terror, we must also win the war of
ideas -- the battle for the minds of those who are being recruited
by terrorist networks across the globe.
What is the proper balance between security and
privacy ?
That is a tough question that our society is working through. I
don't pretend to know the answers. But I do know that if we
analyze, discuss and decide this issue as a 20 th century problem,
we will get it wrong. We need to recalibrate our thinking to fit
the new century.
How can we transform the nomination and confirmation
process so we don't have long gaps with key positions unfilled each
time there is a new Administration?
As I have indicated, for most of the seven months leading up to
9/11, the Defense Department was working without most of the senior
officials responsible for the critical issues we were tackling. We
ought to consider whether, in the 21 st century, our nation can
afford the luxury of taking so long to clear and put in place the
senior officials responsible for the security of the American
people? And if we do not have that luxury, as I believe we do not,
what reforms to the clearance, nomination and confirmation process
might be appropriate?
Could our nation benefit from a
Goldwater-Nichols-like law for the Executive Branch of
the U.S.
Government?
The Goldwater-Nichols Act in the 1980s helped move DoD towards a
more effective "joint" approach to warfighting - where instead of
just de-conflicting, the individual services were pressed to work
together in ways that created power beyond the sum of the Services'
individual capabilities. To achieve that better joint war fighting
capability, each of the services had to give up some of their turf
and authorities and prerogatives.
Today, one could argue that the Executive Branch of Government
is stove-piped much like the four services were nearly 20 years
ago. So the question arises: could we usefully apply the concept
and principles of DoD's Goldwater-Nichols to the U.S. Government as
a whole? Should we ask whether it might be appropriate for the
various departments and agencies to do what the services did two
decades ago - give up some of their existing turf and authority in
exchange for a stronger, faster, more efficient government wide
joint effort?
And how might we work with Congress to mirror any related
changes or reforms in the Executive Branch?
VII. Conclusion
Think about what has been done since the September 11 th
attacks: two state sponsors of terrorism have been removed from
power, a 90-nation coalition has been formed which is cooperating
on a number of levels - through diplomacy, law enforcement,
military action, financial and economic measures, information and
intelligence. Some of these actions are public and seen - still
others are unseen, with operations that must remain secret, even in
success.
All of these actions are putting pressure on terrorist networks.
Taken together, they represent a collective effort that is
unprecedented -- which has undoubtedly saved lives, and made us
safer than before September 11 th .
And yet, despite that pressure and that collective effort,
terrorist attacks have continued: in Bali and Baghdad , Jakarta and
Jerusalem , Casablanca and Riyadh , Mombasa and Istanbul , and most
recently the bombings in Madrid . It is likely -- indeed almost
certain -- that, in the period ahead, somewhere, somehow, more
terrorist attacks will be attempted -- even here in the United
States. Certainly intelligence powerfully points to terrorist
efforts to do just that.
What can be done? We can remain vigilant. We can continue the
efforts underway to transform the institutions of government -
military, intelligence, law enforcement and homeland defense -- to
better focus on the threats of the 21 st century. We can continue
working with allies and partners around the world. And we can
continue rooting out terrorist networks, dealing with the
proliferation of dangerous weapons of mass murder, and denying
terrorists sanctuary.
Not long ago, we marked the 20 th anniversary of another
terrorist attack: the suicide bomb attack on the U.S. Marine
barracks in Beirut -- a blast that killed more than 240 Americans.
Soon after that attack, President Ronald Reagan and Secretary of
State George Shultz asked me to serve as Presidential Envoy for the
Middle East . That experience taught me lessons about the nature of
terrorism that are relevant today as we prosecute the global war on
terror.
After the attack, one seemingly logical response was to put
cement barricades around buildings to prevent more truck bombings.
But the terrorists quickly figured out how to get around those
barricades: they began lobbing rocket-propelled grenades over the
cement barriers. The reaction was to hunker down even more. We
started seeing buildings along the Corniche, the boardwalk that
runs along the sea in Beirut , Lebanon , draped with a metal mesh,
so that when rocket-propelled grenades hit the mesh, they would
bounce off, doing little damage. It worked, only briefly. And the
terrorists again adapted. They watched the comings and goings of
embassy personnel and began hitting soft targets - killing people
on their way to and from work. So for every defense that was put
up, first barricades, then wire mesh over buildings, the terrorists
moved to another avenue of attack.
Not long after that experience - in 1984 - I spoke to the
Association of the United States Army, the text of which I have
submitted with my testimony today as Attachment #7. I noted that
terrorists had learned important lessons. They had learned that
terrorism:
"is a great equalizer, a force multiplier. It is cheap,
deniable, yields substantial results, is low risk, and …
[often] without penalty." They had learned that "[a] single attack
… by influencing public opinion and morale, can alter the
behavior of great nations…"
Moreover, I said, free people had learned lessons as well --
that terrorists have a sizable advantage:
"Terrorist attacks can take place at any time, [in] any place,
using any technique," and "regrettably, it is not possible to
defend every potential target, in every place, at all times,
against every form of attack."
I said that:
"Terrorism is a form of warfare, and must be treated as such. As
with other forms of conflict, weakness invites aggression. Simply
standing in a defensive position, absorbing blows, is not enough.
Terrorism must be deterred."
That was 20 years ago. But the lessons apply to our circumstance
today.
When our nation was attacked on September 11 th , the President
recognized that what had happened was an act of war and must be
treated as such -- not as a law enforcement matter. He knew that
weakness would only invite aggression; and that the only way to
defeat the terrorists was to take the war to them - to go after
them where they live and plan and hide, and to make clear to states
that sponsor and harbor them that such actions will have
consequences.
As the President has made clear this wasn't about law
enforcement. He declared that henceforth:
"any person involved in committing or planning terrorist attacks
against the American people becomes an enemy of this country . . .
. Any person, organization, or government that supports, protects,
or harbors terrorists is complicit in the murder of the innocent
and equally guilty of terrorist crimes. [And] any outlaw regime
that has ties to terrorist groups and seeks or possesses weapons of
mass destruction is a grave danger to the civilized world -- and
will be confronted."
In the ensuing two years, thousands of terrorists have been
rounded up, and two terrorist regimes have learned the President
meant what he said.
That is why our country and our coalition is at war today. That
is why we have forces risking their lives, at this moment, fighting
terrorists in Afghanistan and Iraq and elsewhere across the world.
That is why the President is marshalling all elements of national
power -- military, financial, diplomatic, law enforcement,
intelligence and public diplomacy. Because to live as free people
in the 21st century, we cannot think we can hide behind concrete
barriers and wire mesh. We cannot think that acquiescence or trying
to make a separate peace with terrorists to leave us alone, but to
go after our friends, will work. Free people cannot live in fear
and remain free. The only course is to stop terrorists before they
can terrorize.
That is the task.
Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Deputy Secretary of Defense Paul
Wolfowitz and the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, General
Dick Myers and I would be happy to respond to questions.
Source: US Department of Defense, http://www.defenselink.mil.
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© 2003 The Acronym Institute.
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