Disarmament Diplomacy
Issue No. 38, June 1999
NATO at 50: Papering Over the Cracks
By Nicola Butler
Introduction
High level delegations from 43 countries met in Washington from
23 to 25 April for NATO's 50th anniversary summit, which was
dominated by the war over Kosovo. In addition to the 19 NATO
members, those present included leaders from most Eastern European
countries, the "frontline States" in the Kosovo War, many former
Soviet States, and nearly all of the Western European neutral
countries. Only Russia was noticeable by its absence, staying away
in protest over events in Yugoslavia.
The summit, the largest of its kind ever to take place in
Washington, was noticeable for the high level of commercial
sponsorship from weapons-related industries and the intense and
obsessive security, which kept much of downtown Washington closed
off. The press was largely kept away from the diplomatic event,
well fed on electronic information and spin from professional
spokespeople, but without the chance to ask awkward questions of
the political leaders.
Inevitably, given the NATO war in the Balkans, the emphasis was
on alliance unity. Differences of view over the war and NATO's
future, as enshrined in a barely-new strategic concept, were
papered over more than would have been expected under different
circumstances. Nuclear policy was kept deliberately low key, with
careful avoidance of the questions raised in late 1998 by Germany,
Canada and others about retaining first-use doctrine and tactical
nuclear weapons in Europe.
Now that the air war is over, questions about NATO's role and
its relations with neighbours, especially Russia, and with the
United Nations, are beginning to surface again. This report
considers what happened and explores some of the issues that NATO
must address in more depth in the future.
Commercial Sponsorship
The scale and timing of the NATO summit event resulted in much
of central Washington being closed to the public for security
reasons, while many federal workers were given the day off.
Extensive facilities and briefings were provided for the thousands
of journalists attending, in a massive press centre some distance
from the summit meetings themselves, with the result that key
decisions were often available faster on the Internet than at the
press information desks. However, no access - even to the press
centre - was allowed for representatives of NGOs, other than those
attending as accredited press.
The event was hosted by a committee of US and multinational
companies, which had raised nearly eight million dollars in cash
and contributions from its members for the opportunity to mingle
with the visiting delegations. Host Committee members (each of whom
had contributed $250,000 or equivalent for the privilege) included
many from the world of information technology, communications, the
motor industry, financial services, and of course defence
contractors such as Boeing, Raytheon, United Technologies and TRW.
(1) Many others advertised their wares in the proliferation of
special issue magazines and promotional materials provided free to
participants and press.
Emergency Meetings Not Celebrations
Although it had originally been intended to celebrate the
accession of the three new NATO members, the Czech Republic,
Hungary and Poland, festivities had to be toned down in view of
events in the Balkans. Instead the Summit kicked off on Friday, 23
April, with an emergency meeting of Heads of State and Government
in the North Atlantic Council (NATO's highest decision making body)
to discuss Kosovo. Meetings continued "at 19" (i.e. NATO members
only) throughout Friday and on Saturday morning.
NATO leaders then proceeded to a series of meetings with the
other Heads of State and Government present, leaving Foreign
Ministers to settle the outstanding issues on the summit
Communiqué and the new Strategic Concept. The NATO-Ukraine
Commission met on Saturday afternoon, followed on Sunday by the
European-Atlantic Partnership Council (involving members of the
Partnership for Peace scheme) and a meeting between NATO members
and the frontline States in the conflict with Yugoslavia. With
Russia absent, there was no meeting of the NATO-Russia Permanent
Joint Council at summit level. Over the course of the weekend, the
North Atlantic Council issued the following declarations and
communiqués:
- Statement on Kosovo;
- Washington Declaration;
- Washington Summit Communiqué;
- the Alliance's Strategic Concept;
- Membership Action Plan;
- and Defence Capabilities Initiative.
In addition, NATO released an impressive range of fact sheets,
statements, and summaries of its meetings with other world leaders.
Individual countries attending the meetings also organised their
own press briefings and statements throughout the weekend.
The emphasis on Kosovo during the summit had the effect of
removing most of NATO's other decisions from the limelight. Key
allies such as the United States seemed more preoccupied with
demonstrating Alliance unity over Kosovo, than with pushing for
their national positions during negotiations on some of the other
summit documents. France, however, appeared more focussed, managing
to incorporate more of its ideas than at previous NATO summits.
The Washington Declaration, originally billed as a "vision
statement" for the Alliance, was short and bland. The Allies had
reportedly been unable to find consensus on anything more
substantive, so a lowest common denominator declaration was issued
and the real debates postponed for the Strategic Concept and the
Summit Communiqué. When the Declaration finally appeared on
Friday afternoon, it was immediately eclipsed by publication of the
Kosovo Statement. Likewise, when last minute negotiations on the
Strategic Concept and the Communiqué delayed their
publication by several hours - an occurrence which would usually
have produced a frenzy of media speculation - the level of media
interest was so low that most journalists had already gone home
before the documents actually arrived.
Tensions over Kosovo
With the conclusion of the air war and the introduction of KFOR,
it is easy to forget that this outcome to the war did not always
seem assured. Although NATO leaders at the summit were keen to
emphasise their message of "unity and determination" - a phrase
that was repeated at practically every NATO press briefing - it was
apparent at the Washington summit that a wide range of views were
being promoted from within the Alliance. In particular, questions
over possible deployment of ground troops and the launch of
maritime operations in support of the EU oil embargo, were highly
controversial.
At one end of the spectrum was the United Kingdom, which
surprised many by adopting the most hawkish position throughout the
summit. Prime Minister Tony Blair set the scene in an eve-of-summit
speech in Chicago in which he outlined his "Doctrine of the
International Community", calling for a new security framework,
guided by "a more subtle blend of mutual self interest and moral
purpose in defending the values we cherish". Using Kosovo as a case
study, he indicated five criteria for determining when military
intervention was appropriate:
"First, are we sure of our case? … Second, have we
exhausted all diplomatic options? … Third, on the basis of a
practical assessment of the situation, are there military
operations we can sensibly and prudently undertake? …
Fourth, are we prepared for the long term?… And finally, do
we have national interests involved?" (2)
Tony Blair was also the first NATO leader to respond to Russian
envoy Victor Chernomyrdin's initial attempts to broker a deal with
Belgrade, appearing on US TV to rule it out. In contrast with
Blair's first appearance at a NATO Summit in 1997 in Madrid, when
the British appeared simply to follow Washington's lead on the
major issues, in 1999 the British seem to have seized the political
initiative within NATO, at least where the Balkan war was
concerned. The British delegation, unlike many of their NATO
colleagues were unconstrained either by domestic public opinion or
parliamentary opposition, and were perceived throughout the summit
to be lobbying the US Administration heavily for deployment of more
ground troops.
At the other end of the political spectrum, Greek Defence
Minister Akis Tsohatzopoulos told an NGO conference in Washington
on the day before the summit started that in Kosovo "a political
solution is necessary and a military solution is not possible". He
went on to say that diplomatic initiatives, such as the German
peace plan, had been dismissed too quickly (3) - a sentiment shared
by many German officials. Italian Foreign Minister Lamberto Dini
also criticised NATO's bombing of the Serbian television station
and said that it was not in the plans (4), while French President
Jacques Chirac opposed the use of military force to stop and search
ships suspected of breaching the oil embargo. (5) Meanwhile,
Hungary was reported to have expressed concerns about the impact of
the war on ethnic Hungarians in the Vojvadina region of Yugoslavia.
(6)
The EU and NATO: Pushing Towards a European Defence
Identity
The controversies that delayed publication of the Summit
Communiqué and the Strategic Concept centred on the
paragraphs on developing a European Security and Defence Identity
(ESDI). (7) The impetus for a stronger EU role in defence has come
from the UK's new stance in favour of greater European Defence
co-operation and the resulting Anglo-French St Malo Agreement of
1998. The UK and France are believed to have proposed the new
language for NATO on this subject with the backing of all EU
members, in particular Germany. However, by Saturday afternoon,
when Heads of State and Government were due to move on to the
NATO-Ukraine Commission, all sections of the text on ESDI remained
bracketed, with Turkey, which is not a member of the EU, objecting
vociferously. As a result, the two documents had to be delegated to
NATO Foreign Ministers to work out final agreement.
Language favoured by Turkey noted previous Alliance decisions on
ESDI and acknowledged that this would continue to be developed
within NATO. It reiterated that NATO would assist the European
Allies to act by themselves, through making its assets and
capabilities available to the WEU on a case-by-case basis and by
consensus of NATO members. This text, which is similar to previous
NATO statements on ESDI, is very much in evidence in the new
Strategic Concept. (8)
In contrast the paragraphs that were eventually adopted in the
Washington Summit Communiqué go much further, acknowledging
the resolve of the EU to have the capacity for "autonomous action"
and agreeing to further development of the concept of using
separable but not separate NATO assets for "WEU-led operations".
The Communiqué goes on to call for:
"Assured EU access to NATO planning capabilities able to
contribute to military planning for EU-led operations;
The presumption of availability to the EU of pre-identified NATO
capabilities and common assets for use in EU-led operations;
Identification of a range of European command options for EU-led
operations, further developing the role of DSACEUR [the Deputy
Supreme Allied Commander Europe] in order for him to assume fully
and effectively his European responsibilities; [and]
The further adaptation of NATO's defence planning system to
incorporate more comprehensively the availability of forces for
EU-led operations."
Since the NATO summit, the European Council has already moved
forward in this area, agreeing further development of a common
European Security and Defence policy, at its Cologne summit of 3
June 1999. The Council agreed that the EU "must have the capacity
for autonomous action, backed up by credible military forces, the
means to decide to use them, and a readiness to do so, in order to
respond to international crises without prejudice to actions by
NATO." (9) However, many of the modalities of a European security
and defence policy remain to be resolved, not least of which
include the questions of how to involve non-allied EU members and
non-EU NATO members on a satisfactory basis.
Conflict over NATO-UN Relations
The question of whether NATO requires a UN Security Council
mandate before it engages in operations beyond its own borders
emerged as an area of disagreement between the allies during talks
on the Strategic Concept at the autumn 1998 Ministerial meetings.
The US was at the forefront of efforts to allow the Alliance to
bypass the UN by deciding itself on a case-by-case basis the
legality of future NATO actions out of area, while France, Italy
and Germany strongly advocated the need for UN backing. (10) The
start of airstrikes against Yugoslavia brought this debate to a
head, provoking widespread discussion on the legality of Operation
Allied Force. These discussions concerning the role of the UN
continued during negotiations on the Strategic Concept right up to
the last minute, including direct talks at the Summit between
Presidents Clinton and Chirac.
Although Kosovo would appear to set a precedent for future
unilateral actions by NATO, paradoxically the Strategic Concept
puts more emphasis than expected on the role of the UN, stating
that: "the United Nations Security Council has the primary
responsibility for the maintenance of international peace and
security". (11) A further paragraph on conflict prevention and
crisis management reiterated language from NATO's 1994 Brussels
summit, offering Alliance support for peacekeeping and other
operations "under the authority of the UN Security Council or the
responsibility of the OSCE". (12) A loophole is provided for
Operation Allied Force as NATO "recalls its subsequent decisions
with respect to crisis response operations in the Balkans".
However, there is no sign of the type of language being used by the
US Administration in its media briefings on the Strategic
Concept.
The inclusion of numerous references to the importance of the UN
in both the Communiqué and the Strategic Concept was
announced in some detail to the media, prior to their publication,
by the French President, who described the outcome as a "victory
for French diplomacy". (13) Chirac also indicated his preference
for stronger involvement of UN Secretary-General, Kofi Annan, in
attempts to resolve the war in Kosovo. In contrast, President
Clinton did not mention the question of UN mandates in his press
briefings on the Strategic Concept, nor was he asked about it by
any of the journalists present.
Another area in which the US was perceived to have lost out in
the Strategic Concept is the related question of where the Alliance
can legitimately operate. Prior to the summit, the US was keen for
NATO to extend its role to include tackling a "wide range of
threats" to "shared values and interests", without specifying any
geographic limitations on NATO operations. In fact, the language
agreed in the Strategic Concept and the Communiqué more
strongly reflects the views of most of NATO's European members,
specifying a sphere of interest in the "Euro-Atlantic area" and
making reference to the possibility of regional crises "at the
periphery of the Alliance".
Most European members of NATO see this as restricting Alliance
operations to within Europe. It is far from the broad mandate,
originally sought by Washington, which would have preferred
language that gave it greater leverage to demand Allied support for
operations outside Europe such as those in Iraq. However, like most
of the text agreed at the Summit, these references are open to a
range of interpretations and the US position immediately after
publication of the Strategic Concept was to insist that the
question of where NATO could act outside its borders was not a
"geographical issue".
In the euphoria that has followed the conclusion of NATO's air
campaign against Yugoslavia, President Clinton has again indicated
that the US sees a role for NATO well beyond its current borders.
Asserting that the Alliance was able to repeat a Kosovo-style
operation immediately if necessary, Clinton is reported to have
said that NATO could intervene elsewhere in "Africa or Central
Europe" to fight repression. (14)
Low Key Discussions on Nuclear Policy
Although a separate document announcing a "Weapons of Mass
Destruction Initiative" had been expected prior to the Washington
summit, in the event the initiative was confined to a couple of
paragraphs in the Summit Communiqué (15), accompanied by a
fact sheet. The areas for joint action by the Allies were described
as information sharing; defence planning; non-proliferation;
civilian protection; and the establishment of a WMD Centre to
co-ordinate NATO efforts. Development of a public information
strategy "to increase awareness of proliferation issues and Allies'
efforts to support non-proliferation efforts", is also
envisaged.
Prior to the summit, US Secretary of Defense, William Cohen, had
been keen to push a more ambitious counter-proliferation agenda
within NATO. Although some allies remain opposed to
counter-proliferation, the initiative does make reference to the
need to "enhance existing Allied programmes which increase military
readiness to operate in a WMD environment and to counter WMD
threats". Although non-proliferation efforts also feature in the
WMD initiative, as a military alliance, NATO also gives a high
priority to military responses to proliferation, some of which may
prove counterproductive to its arms control approach.
Following German Foreign Minister, Joschka Fischer's attempt to
raise the question of no first use of nuclear weapons, arms control
was given a higher profile in the Summit documents. The Strategic
Concept contained a new section entitled "Arms Control, Disarmament
and Non-Proliferation" which states that the Alliance will
"actively contribute to the development of arms control,
disarmament and non-proliferation agreements as well as to
confidence and security building measures." (16) Similarly, the
Communiqué announced that:
"In the light of overall strategic developments and the reduced
salience of nuclear weapons, the Alliance will consider options for
confidence and security building measures, verification,
non-proliferation and arms control and disarmament. The Council in
Permanent Session will propose a process to Ministers in December
for considering such options…"(17)
The description of NATO nuclear strategy in the Strategic
Concept remains largely unchanged, with nuclear weapons still being
accorded the status of providing the "supreme guarantee" of the
security of the Allies. In a gesture towards German and Canadian
support for a no first use policy, the Alliance described the
circumstances in which nuclear weapons might be used as being
"extremely remote", but this change seems purely semantic, making
little or no practical change to NATO nuclear posture.
Nuclear policy attracted little attention or debate at the NATO
summit itself. However, the reiteration of nuclear posture did not
go unnoticed by countries outside the Alliance. The new Strategic
Concept, along with NATO's strategy in the Balkans drew criticism
two weeks later at the Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) PrepCom in
particular from China, Russia, Ukraine, Belarus and Iran. In
addition, the Non-Aligned Movement, Egypt, Indonesia and South
Africa all spoke out against NATO's policy of "nuclear sharing"
(18), which had been repeated in the Strategic Concept. Under
nuclear sharing arrangements non-nuclear members of the Alliance
host a small number of US tactical nuclear weapons on their
territory and undergo training and exercises to prepare for the
possible transfer of the weapons during wartime, when NATO
considers that the NPT is no longer binding. Proposals to close
this "wartime loophole" were put forward in a working paper at the
PrepCom by Egypt. The view that the NPT should be binding "at all
times and in all circumstances" was also advocated by the New
Agenda Coalition (19) and was contained in working papers put
forward by the PrepCom Chairman.
Despite the recent joint statement by Presidents Clinton and
Yeltsin on the ABM Treaty and future nuclear disarmament measures
(see Documents and Sources in this issue), the whole basis
for future progress on arms control remains extremely shaky
following the Kosovo War. Repeated NATO statements of the
importance of Russia's involvement in European security and the
development of the NATO-Russia Permanent Joint Council (PJC) (20)
seemed pretty meaningless with Russia boycotting the event. This
suspension of relations was particularly worrying, coming just at a
time when the PJC should have been tackling issues such as the
millennium bug, laying the ground work for greater transparency on
tactical nuclear weapons, and working on adaptation of the
Conventional Forces in Europe (CFE) Treaty. Although NATO welcomed
the breakthrough in March on the key outstanding issues with regard
to CFE adaptation (21), agreement remains in the balance as
Russia's Foreign Ministry has recently alleged NATO violations of
the Treaty during the Kosovo crisis (see News Review in this
issue for details of the allegation).
The other potential obstacle to further progress in arms control
and improving relations with Russia is the long-standing problem of
NATO enlargement and the Washington Summit did nothing to alleviate
Russian concerns in this area. Instead the Membership Action Plan
(MAP) spelt out the legal arrangement that new members would have
to undertake, including the key NATO-wide nuclear co-operation
agreements to which new members would be expected to accede for
"possible eventual access" to atomic information. The MAP called on
would-be NATO members to scrutinise domestic law for compatibility
with these, and all other, NATO rules and regulations. (22)
It remains to be seen how NATO's new "process" on arms control
will evolve. The question is whether NATO members will be able to
use it to introduce new thinking for the Alliance aimed at breaking
the current logjam in nuclear non-proliferation and disarmament, or
whether the "business as usual" approach to nuclear weapons which
is also evident in the Strategic Concept will prevail.
NATO Enlargement Still Pushed
NATO's actions in Kosovo may also have an impact on the future
debate on enlargement. With the problems experienced in integrating
the Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland still fresh in the mind,
many NATO members are reluctant to make the commitment of extending
the security guarantees associated with full membership to still
more countries. The Alliance's Membership Action Plan was intended
to square the circle by offering closer co-operation with aspiring
members, whilst stopping short of offering them full
membership.
NATO headed off the concerns of Yugoslavia's neighbours early on
with a security guarantee for the duration of the Kosovo crisis. In
its Statement on Kosovo, the North Atlantic Council emphasised that
it would "not tolerate threats by the Belgrade regime to the
security of its neighbours" and would "respond" to any such
challenges resulting from NATO activities on their territory. "We
reaffirm our support for the territorial integrity and sovereignty
of all countries in the region," the statement continues. (23) The
Alliance has therefore been forced to guarantee the security of
several States, which have yet to fulfil the criteria for NATO
membership and are located in an extremely volatile area of the
world.
It was also apparent at the summit that many Eastern European
States feel that more is required from NATO than just words of
gratitude in the European Atlantic Partnership Council, following
their demonstrations of loyalty during the air war. These States
are keen to emphasise their contributions such as hosting refugees,
giving political support, bearing the economic costs of the war,
and even in some cases accepting misguided missiles landing on
their territory. As a result the Alliance was forced to name many
more countries in the section of the Summit Communiqué
relating to future enlargement, in an elaborate series of sentences
"recognising" progress in some countries, whilst "noting" and
"encouraging" it in others. (24)
The war over Kosovo has also sharpened the debate on NATO for
the neutral States in Europe. In general, these States have been
least comfortable with the concept of NATO action without a
specific UN mandate. Kosovo has had a particularly strong effect in
Austria, which in recent years has engaged in a significant
domestic debate on whether to join NATO. However, Austria's
decision at the beginning of the war to close its airspace to
aircraft participating in Operation Allied Force has been widely
seen as the act of a country that will not be joining NATO any time
soon.
Nonetheless, it appears that since the Washington summit and
ending of the airstrikes, far from diffusing pressure for Alliance
membership with the Membership Action Plan, post-Kosovo Eastern
European States are pushing even harder to join.
NATO After the Balkans War
NATO's 1999 summit was intended to set out the Alliance's vision
for the next century, unveiling a Strategic Concept to act as a
guide for strategy and force structure for years to come. However,
like NATO's 1991 Strategic Concept which was almost immediately put
out of date by the collapse of the Soviet Union, the 1999 Concept
is already looking dated as a result of Kosovo. Although there are
no plans to revise the new Strategic Concept and NATO is not
expected to hold another summit meeting until 2002, both the
Alliance and many national governments are now reviewing the
outcome of the Kosovo war and assessing the implications for future
defence and procurement strategy. The assessments are mixed, but
already a number of themes are emerging.
Although the tone of statements from many NATO leaders at the
conclusion of the air war avoided triumphalism, in many NATO States
the outcome is seen as a great success and a victory for the
Alliance, affirming its post-Cold War strategy. As US Ambassador to
NATO, Alexander Vershbow commented: "NATO has literally reinvented
itself in ten short years." (25) Similarly, British Secretary of
State for Defence, George Robertson, states that despite the level
of public opposition in countries such as Greece and Italy, "the
Alliance came through united, determined, and much stronger than
anybody thought possible, and with a renewed confidence in its own
cohesion and sense of purpose". (26)
Robertson also gives an upbeat assessment of the success of
NATO's air power strategy in this war, saying that:
"Precision bombing produced considerable battle damage with
relatively little collateral damage and, however tragic, relatively
few civilian casualties and no Allied losses. There is little doubt
that the air assault on the highly resilient Serb military machine
did in the end make it impossible for Milosevic to sustain further
damage and to keep going until the winter." (27)
This kind of assessment is clearly good news for the aerospace
industry, with many companies seeing an increase in the value of
their shares in recent months. The idea that NATO can now win wars
with no losses on its own side, makes air power a much more
appealing option for the allies, especially in the United States
where memories of Viet Nam have been a constraint to the military
option for many years.
The agreement to allow KFOR troops to enter Kosovo is also seen
as a vindication for Tony Blair's strategy of "diplomacy backed by
credible force", although US Secretary of State, Madeleine Albright
has also emphasised the reverse, that: "the Alliance backed its
force with diplomacy." (28) Key NATO leaders have also constantly
reiterated the message that Operation Allied Force was conducted
legally on humanitarian grounds, despite the absence of a UN
Security Council resolution. British Defence Secretary, George
Robertson even cites the speeches of Kofi Annan as providing the
"moral imperative" from which "flowed the legal justification" for
the air war. (29) The message seems to be that NATO can work
without the UN when necessary, but bring it in to help with
refugees and to help implement a settlement once Alliance
objectives have been achieved.
However, there are issues that remain troubling for the NATO
allies. For example, all NATO members must have noted the dominance
of the US in providing the military capability to conduct the
Kosovo operation. For some this vindicated the leadership role
played by the US in NATO, but for others it has highlighted the
inability of the European States to conduct even a more limited
peacekeeping operation on their own. One of the results has been
the greater impetus for efforts to develop a common European
defence policy.
In addition, the strategy of "diplomacy backed by credible
force" implied a much quicker and more decisive deterrent effect in
forcing the Milosevic regime to back down. The Kosovo campaign took
much longer than many anticipated and it could have been difficult
for NATO to keep some Allies, especially Greece, on board for much
longer. The other effect of this protracted campaign was that
instead of quickly halting the emerging humanitarian disaster in
Kosovo, the bombing strategy was at best not effective until it was
too late and at worst had the effect of precipitating a greater
disaster for the Kosovans on the ground.
Doubts have also been raised about the effectiveness of the air
campaign, highlighted by errors such as the bombing of the Chinese
Embassy in Belgrade and bombing of Serb and Kosovar Albanian
civilians. There is also a question mark over how effective high
altitude bombing was at destroying Yugoslav tanks and to what
extent the Yugoslav withdrawal was prompted by destruction of
civilian rather than military targets.
Questions also remain for the wider international community.
NATO's decision to act unilaterally highlights the inadequacies of
the UN Security Council's ability to address problems of regional
and ethnic conflict in the Balkans and elsewhere. It brings into
question the use of vetoes in the Security Council, the inadequacy
of UN funding, and the need for UN reform. It has also highlighted
the pathetic level of resources available to the OSCE, the UN High
Commission for Refugees and other non-military players in the
crisis.
Most disturbing, however, is the fact that although the air war
is over and the issue of Kosovo has already dropped down the news
headlines, problems in the Balkans remain far from resolved. Ethnic
hatred appears higher than ever in the wake of atrocities, the KLA
remains heavily armed, efforts to deploy an international police
force are slow getting started, the economic and environmental
costs are only just emerging, and instability remains the
watchword. The long-term goal of KFOR and NATO of bringing peace
and stability to the region seems as elusive as ever.
Conclusion
The last few months have been a turning point for NATO during
which many of the hypothetical debates within the Alliance have
been transformed into real decisions that will affect European
security for years to come. Despite President Clinton's rhetoric
that the Alliance could intervene elsewhere "tomorrow" if
necessary, the scale of the Kosovo operation and the cost of
reconstruction and retaining significant forces in the region may
be enough to make many allies think twice before undertaking
anything similar in future.
As NATO States attempt to learn the lessons of Kosovo, a higher
priority must be given to conflict prevention and arms control.
NATO itself could have a role to play here given its ability to
mobilise on a large scale and to facilitate communications and
co-ordination between forces from different countries. However, a
military force alone lacks many of the skills and expertise
required for peacekeeping and rebuilding of civil society. The
international community also needs to devote more attention to
developing the tools for conflict prevention and disarmament, which
have been so inadequate in the Balkans over the last ten years.
Notes and References
1. NATO 50th Anniversary Summit, Host Committee News
Release, 19 April 1999.
2. "Doctrine of the International Community", Speech by the
British Prime Minister, Tony Blair, to the Economic Club of
Chicago, 22 April 1999.
3. Speaking at the "Securing the Peace" Conference, 22 April
1999.
4. Raised at several press briefings, including a Press
Conference by NATO Secretary General, Mr Javier Solana and General
Wesley K. Clark, SACEUR, Washington, 23 April 1999.
5. Press Conference given by President Jacques Chirac,
Washington, 24 April 1999.
6. Press Conference given by NATO Spokesman, Jamie Shea and
Colonel Konrad Freytag, SHAPE, Washington, 25 April 1999.
7. Washington Summit Communiqué, "An Alliance for the
21st Century", 24 April 1999, NAC-S(99)64, paras 8 - 10
and parts of para 41.
8. "The Alliance's Strategic Concept", 24 April 1999,
NAC-S(99)65, para 30.
9. "Declaration of the European Council on strengthening the
common European policy on security and defence", 3 June 1999.
10. See Nicola Butler, "NATO in
1999: a Concept in Search of a Strategy", Disarmament
Diplomacy, No. 35, March 1999.
11. "The Alliance's Strategic Concept", para 15.
12. ibid, para 31.
13. Press Conference given by President Jacques Chirac,
Washington, 24 April 1999.
14. Agence France Presse, "Clinton says NATO is ready to fight
repression in Europe, Africa", Skopje, 22 June 1999.
15. Washington Summit Communiqué, paras 30-31.
16. "The Alliance's Strategic Concept", para 40.
17. Washington Summit Communiqué, para 32.
18. Rebecca Johnson, "Nuclear Disarmament (1)", Third NPT PrepCom, Briefing No. 3, The
Acronym Institute, 12 May 1999.
19. The New Agenda Coalition was launched in June 1998, when
eight Foreign Ministers jointly issued a declaration setting out a
future agenda for nuclear disarmament. The "New Agenda Statement"
at the NPT PrepCom was delivered by Brazilian Ambassador Luiz Tupy
Caldas de Moura of Brazil on 12 May 1999 on behalf of 32 states
from all over the world. See Rebecca Johnson, "NPT Report", Disarmament Diplomacy,
No. 37, May 1999.
20. See Washington Summit Communiqué, paras 26-27, and
"The Alliance's Strategic Concept", para 36.
21. Washington Summit Communiqué, para 33.
22. "Membership Action Plan", NAC-S(99)66, Section V, Legal
Issues, 24 April 1999.
23. "Statement on Kosovo", S-1(99)62, 23 April 1999, paras
13-14.
24. Washington Summit Communiqué, para 7.
25. Ambassador Alexander Vershbow US Permanent Representative on
the North Atlantic Council, "NATO after the Washington Summit and
the Kosovo Crisis", 30 June 1999.
26. Secretary of State for Defence, the Rt Hon George Robertson
MP, "Kosovo - some preliminary thoughts", speech to the Royal
United Services Institute, 29 June 1999.
27. ibid.
28. Secretary of State Madeleine K. Albright, "To Win The
Peace...", Op-Ed for The Wall Street Journal, 14 June
1999.
29. op cit.
Nicola Butler is Senior Analyst at the Acronym
Institute.
© 1999 The Acronym Institute.
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