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WMD Possessors and Aspirants
Five states are defined as nuclear weapon states under the Nuclear Non-Proliferation
Treaty (NPT):
At least three more are de facto nuclear weapon possessors (the D-3):
These eight have the most advanced missile programmes and have also had, and
in some cases may continue to have, biological and/or chemical weapons or programmes.
Several further states are viewed as of proliferation concern or have programmes
which have been exposed and are now being addressed and dismantled. These include:
This section gives news, analyses or documentation relating to the possession,
proliferation or aspirations to acquire nuclear, chemical or biological weapons
by states or groups other than Britain and the United States, which are covered in separate detail. This
replaces previously separate features on Iraq, South Asia and Russia, but provides
links to past coverage of those states or regions.
Recent coverage from Disarmament Diplomacy
- Challenges for the Non-Proliferation Regime
and the Middle East
by Sameh Aboul-Enein, Disarmament Diplomacy, No.90, Spring 2009
- President Sarkozy calls for Disarmament
Debate, December 2008
- Toward a nuclear-free world: a German
view, January 2009
- Deal or No Deal: Can the North Korea Nuclear
Agreement be Salvaged?, including Press
Communiqué of the Heads of Delegation Meeting of The Sixth Round of the Six-Party
Talks, Beijing, 12 July 2008
- Concerns as US-India Nuclear Deal Goes
Through, including Statement by
US President George W. Bush on the Occasion of Signing H.R. 7081, Issue
No. 88, Summer 2008
- Presentation of Le Terrible in
Cherbourg, Nicolas Sarkozy, President of the French Republic, March 21,
2008 (excerpts)
Iran
In the first television interview since his inauguration, President Obama told
the Arabic cable TV network al-Arabiya that "if countries like Iran are willing
to unclench their fist, they will find an extended hand from us... It is very
important for us to make sure that we are using all the tools of US power, including
diplomacy, in our relationship with Iran."
Susan Rice, the new US ambassador to the United Nations has also called for
"vigorous" and "direct" nuclear diplomacy with
Iran. "We look forward to engaging in vigorous diplomacy, that includes
direct diplomacy with Iran as well as continued collaboration and partnership
with the P-5 plus one... And we will look at what is necessary and appropriate
with respect to maintaining pressure towards that goal of ending Iran's nuclear
program." she said
Since the Iranian elections relations with Iran have deteriorated with Secretary
of State Hillary Clinton calling for "crippling sanctions" against
Iran if it fails to cooperate on it nuclear programme (see Iran
Nuclear Talks Reach Critical Stage). Iran has now agreed to further talks
with the E3+3 (also known as the P5 + 1 as they are the five permanent members
of the UN Security Council, along with Germany and the EU's Foreign Policy chief
Javier Solana) in early October.
Coverage in Disarmament Diplomacy
- Iran Nuclear Talks Reach Critical
Stage, Disarmament News Review, Disarmament Diplomacy, No.91, Summer 2009
- Challenges for the Non-Proliferation Regime
and the Middle East
by Sameh Aboul-Enein
-
Challenges for the NPT: Iran and North Korea,
by Michael Spies, Disarmament Diplomacy, No.90, Spring 2009
-
Rethinking Security Interests for a Nuclear-Weapon-Free
Zone in the Middle East, by Rebecca Johnson, Disarmament Diplomacy,
No.86, Autumn 2007
-
Building Blocks for a WMD Disarmament
Regime in the Middle East, by Merav Datan, Disarmament Diplomacy, No.86,
Autumn 2007
- Iran masters Uranium Enrichment as US Intelligence
Report Says Nuclear Weapons Programme Halted in 2003, Disarmament Diplomacy,
No.86, Autumn 2007, including:
Background Documents
- G8 Communiqué on Iran, 9 July 2009
- IAEA Director-General Introductory Statement
to the IAEA Board of Governors, 15 June 2009
- IAEA Director-General Intervention on Non-Proliferation
to the IAEA Board of Governors, 15 June 2009
- IAEA Director-General Interview on Iran,
23 May 2009
- E3+3 statement on Iran, 8 April 2009
- President Obama speech on Nuclear Disarmament,
Prague, 5 April 2009
- US Secretary of State Clinton on Iran,
31 March 2009
- President Obama on US-Iran relations,
9 February 2009
- IAEA Director General ElBaradei introductory
statement to the Board of Governors, 2 March 2009
- US statement on Iran satellite launch,
3 February 2009
- US Secretary of State Clinton on Iran,
3 February 2009
- Susan Rice, US Ambassador to the United
Nations, Confirmation Hearing, 19 January 2009
- Hillary Rodham Clinton Nomination Hearings
To Be Secretary of State, 13 January 2009
Iran Proposals and Responses
- Proposal to Iran by China, France, Germany,
the Russian Federation, the United Kingdom, the United States of America and
the European Union, 14 June 2008
- EU High Representative for the CFSP Javier
Solana, Remarks at Press Conference in Tehran, 14 June 2008
- Iranian Foreign Minister Manouchehr Mottaki
on a Middle East free of WMD, February 4, 2008
- E3+3 Political Directors Statement on Iran,
November 2, 2007
- P5 Foreign Ministers Statement on Iran,
October 28, 2007
- Understandings between the Islamic Republic
of Iran and the IAEA on the Modalities of Resolution of the Outstanding Issues,
IAEA Information Circular 711, August 27, 2007
- Iran's Response to the Package Presented
on June 6, 2006
- Elements of a Revised Proposal to Iran,
June 9, 2006
UN Security Council Resolutions
- UNSCR on Nonproliferation, Statements by
Permanent Members of the Security Council, 3 March 2008
- UN Security Council Resolution 1803 on
Nonproliferation (Iran), 29 February 2008
- UN Security Council Resolution 1747 on
Non-Proliferation (Iran), March 24, 2007
- UN Security Council Resolution 1737 (2006),
Non-proliferation, December 23, 2006
- UN Security Council Resolution 1696 on
Non-proliferation [Iran], July 31, 2006
See the Acronym Institute's Iran archive for further
documents and analysis.
Back to the Top of the Page
North Korea
North Korea's Nuclear Test and the CTBT
North Korea is undermining international security with its high risk nuclear
brinkmanship. In conducting its nuclear test, North Korea is playing a high
risk game of nuclear brinkmanship that underscores the global urgency of bringing
the CTBT into force (see Second North
Korean Nuclear Test underscores urgency of CTBT and Disarmament).
North Korea probably hopes to put pressure on the Obama administration and
the Six Party Talks, and increase the price of its denuclearisation as required
by the UN Security Council. This test demonstrates the need to make the global
prohibition on nuclear testing fully binding in international law. Condemnation
is not enough: the US and China have particular responsibility and must accelerate
their own efforts to ratify the CTBT.
For more on the CTBT go to Acronym's CTBT page.
Background
In October 2008 a deal on verification was
reached following North Korea's declaration on its nuclear programme (as
agreed in the October 2007 agreement on 'Second
Phase Actions' for implementing the 2005
Joint Statement on North Korea's nuclear programme). In return the US removed
North Korea from the State Department's list of states sponsors of terrorism.
In recent months, however, North Korea has resisted implementation of the verification
protocol and increased tensions, announcing that it intends to "scrap"
all political and military agreements with the South and adopt an "all-out
confrontational posture". Media reports suggest that North Korea may have
"weaponised" approximately 30 kg of plutonium - enough to make 4 or
5 nuclear warheads.
On 5 April 2009, North Korea launched a rocket, which it claimed was a successful
satellite launch, but which the US and others view as a cover for further ballistic
missile development. Although North Korea claims that the launch was a success,
reports in the US indicate that the rocket failed to launch anything into orbit
and fell into the ocean. Whilst the US pushed for a strong statement from the
UN Security Council, it was blocked by Russia and China, which urged restraint,
referring to the right of nations to peaceful use of space. Japan has responded
by unilaterally extending its sanctions against North Korea.
North Korea, however, has reacted angrily to condemnation of its launch and
on 14 April, once again asked IAEA inspectors to leave its Yongbyon plant.
North Korea: Coverage in Disarmament Diplomacy
- Second North Korean Nuclear Test
underscores urgency of CTBT and Disarmament, Disarmament News Review,
Disarmament Diplomacy, No.91, Summer 2009
- Challenges for the NPT: Iran and North Korea,
by Michael Spies, Disarmament Diplomacy, No.90, Spring 2009
- Deal or No Deal: Can the North Korea Nuclear
Agreement be Salvaged?, including Press
Communiqué of the Heads of Delegation Meeting of The Sixth Round of the Six-Party
Talks, Beijing, 12 July 2008, Disarmament Diplomacy, Issue No.
88, Summer 2008.
- North Korea: Good Progress, but Obstacles
Remain, including:
- North Korea Nuclear Agreement: Can it
Work? Disarmament Diplomacy, No.84, Spring 2007
- North Korea's Nuclear Test: Assessing the
Fallout, Disarmament Diplomacy, No.83, Winter 2006
Government Documents and Statements
- US Background briefing on North Korea,
15 July 2009
- US Special Representative Stephen W. Bosworth
testimony on North Korea, 11 June 2009
- US Special Representative Stephen W. Bosworth
comments on North Korea, 12 May 2009
- US Special Representative Stephen W. Bosworth
comments on North Korea, 8 May 2009
- Russian Statement on Adoption of the UN
Security Council Presidential Statement over the Recent Rocket Launch by the
DPRK, 14 April 2009
- US Permanent Representative Rice on UN
Presidential Statement on North Korea, 13 April 2009
- US Permanent Representative Rice on UN
Presidential Statement on North Korea, 11 April 2009
- US Ambassador Rice on UN Security Council
meeting on the DPRK rocket launch, 5 April 2009
- US Ambassador Bosworth briefing on North
Korea, 3 April 2009
- US Ambassador Bosworth briefing on North
Korea, 9 March 2009
- North Korea 'scraps' political and military
agreements with the South, 30 January 2009
- North Korea grants IAEA access to Yongbyon,
IAEA Press Release, 13 October 2008
- US-North Korea Understandings on Verification,
11 October 2008
- State Department briefing on North Korea,
11 October 2008
- North Korea bars IAEA access to Yongbyon,
IAEA Press Release, 9 October 2008
- IAEA removed seals at Yongbyon, IAEA
Press Release, 24 September 2008
- US Assistant Secretary for East Asian and
Pacific Affairs Christopher R. Hill on North Korean activities at Yongbyon,
6 September 2008
- US proposal to North Korea on verification,
September 2008
- US Assistant Secretary for East Asian and
Pacific Affairs Christopher R. Hill testimony on North Korea, 31 July
2008
- North Korea Foreign Ministry Statement
on the disablement of Yongbyon, 4 July 2008
- President Bush press conference on North
Korea, 26 June 2008
- US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice
on the North Korea Declaration, 26 June 2008
- US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice
Op-Ed on North Korea, 26 June 2008
- North Korea: Presidential Action on State
Sponsor of Terrorism (SST) and the Trading with the Enemy Act (TWEA),
26 June 2008
- State Department Briefing on Six Party
Talks, 13 May 2008
- State Department Fact Sheet on North Korea
Six Party Talks, 10 May 2008
- US Assistant Secretary for East Asian and
Pacific Affairs Christopher Hill on the 6 party talks, 8 April 2008
- US Assistant Secretary for East Asian and
Pacific Affairs Christopher Hill on his meeting with DPRK Vice Foreign Minister
Kim Kye-gway, 8 April 2008
- US - DPRK bilateral meeting in Geneva,
13 March 2008
Key Documents
- UN Security Council Resolution 1874 on
Non-proliferation/Democratic People’s Republic of Korea, 12 June 2009
- Statement by the President of the Security
Council on North Korea, 13 April 2009
- US-North Korea Understandings on Verification,
11 October 2008
- Second Phase Actions to implement the North
Korea nuclear agreement, October 3, 2007
- North Korea - Denuclearization Action Plan,
Six Party Talks on North Korea's nuclear programme, February 13, 2007
- Joint Statement on North Korea's nuclear
programme, September 19, 2005
See Acronym's North Korea archive for previous coverage of the North
Korea nuclear crisis including previous rounds of the six party talks.
Back to the Top of the Page
Iraq
Iraq: Coverage in Disarmament Diplomacy
- Two Terrifying Reports: The US Senate and
the 9/11 Commission on Intelligence Failures Before September 11 and the Iraq
War
by Joseph Cirincione, Disarmament Diplomacy, No.78, July/August 2004
- Lord Butler's Report on UK Intelligence
by Stephen Pullinger, Disarmament Diplomacy, No.78, July/August 2004
- Iraq's illusive WMD, Disarmament Diplomacy
No.77, May/June 2004
- WMD in Iraq: Evidence and Implications,
by Alexis Orton and Joseph Cirincione, Disarmament Diplomacy, No.75, January/February
2004
- Lord Hutton Reports on the Death of Dr
David Kelly, Disarmament Diplomacy, No.75, January/February 2004
- UK Debates Iraq War, WMD and Defence Policy,
Disarmament Diplomacy, No.74, December 2003
Iraq: Documents & Statements
- Comprehensive Report, Special Advisor to
the Director of Central Intelligence on Iraq's WMD, September 23, 2004
- US Secretary of State Colin Powell on Iraq
and Iran, September 29, 2004
- The 'new conflict' in Iraq, UK Prime Minister
Tony Blair, September 19, 2004
- '[T]he weight of legal advice here is that
a fresh mandate may well be required,' UK Foreign Secretary Jack Straw's letter
to Tony Blair before the Iraq war, leaked and published in the Telegraph,
September 18, 2004
- 'It was illegal,' UN Secretary-General
Kofi Annan on the Iraq war, September 16, 2004
- 'Collective' Misjudgements, the Butler
Report finds 'Serious Flaws' in the UK's Iraq intelligence, July 14, 2004
- Senate Intelligence Committee Report on
Pre-War Intelligence on Iraq, July 9, 2004
- UN Security Council Resolution 1546 on
Iraq, June 8
- Full text of the 'Article 15-6 Investigation
of the 800th Military Police Brigade', also known as the Taguba report, after
the general who led this investigation, Major General Antonio M. Taguba
- 'You have placed US diplomats, civilians
and military doing their jobs overseas in an untenable and even dangerous
position', US former diplomats' letter to President Bush, May 4
- US and British Inquiries into WMD Intelligence,
February 6
- '[W]e may have overestimated the progress
Saddam was making', CIA Director George Tenet on Iraq and WMD, February 5
- '[W]e were almost all wrong', David Kay
on Iraq and WMD, January 28
- 'I believe the intelligence was correct',
UK Prime Minister Tony Blair on Iraq and WMD, January 2004
Acronym Institute coverage of Iraq from 1998 - 2003 is available at: http://www.acronym.org.uk/iraq.
Back to the Top of the Page
Israel
- Challenges for the Non-Proliferation Regime
and the Middle East
by Sameh Aboul-Enein, Disarmament Diplomacy, No.90, Spring 2009
-
Engaging India, Israel and Pakistan in the
Nuclear Non-Proliferation Regime, by Jenny Nielsen, Disarmament Diplomacy,
No.86, Autumn 2007
-
Rethinking Security Interests for a Nuclear-Weapon-Free
Zone in the Middle East, by Rebecca Johnson, Disarmament Diplomacy,
No.86, Autumn 2007
-
Building Blocks for a WMD Disarmament
Regime in the Middle East, by Merav Datan, Disarmament Diplomacy, No.86,
Autumn 2007
Back to the Top of the Page
South Asia
On July 18, 2005, US President Bush and Indian President Manmohan Singh issued
a joint statement, setting out their intention to cooperate a range of issues
including high technology and space and "civilian" nuclear power.
President Bush stated that "as a responsible state with advanced nuclear
technology, India should acquire the same benefits and advantages as other such
states." Bush announced that he would seek Congressional support to "adjust
U.S. laws and policies", and that the United States would "work with
friends and allies to adjust international regimes to enable full civil nuclear
energy cooperation and trade with India." This is despite the fact that
India has not signed the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty.
In 2009, Pakistan has played a particularly prominent role (along with China)
in blocking consensus on an implementation framework for the CD's programme
of work. Pakistan continues to seek military parity with India and continues
to keep open the option of building up its supply of fissile materials.
South Asia: Documents & Statements
- The Conference on Disarmament in 2009: Could
do Better, by Ray Acheson, Disarmament Diplomacy, No.91, Summer 2009
- Indian ballistic missile submarine
begins sea trials, Disarmament News Review, Disarmament Diplomacy, No.91,
Summer 2009
- US Under Secretary for Political Affairs
R. Nicholas Burns on the US - India nuclear cooperation agreement, 29
February 2008
- Joint statement by France and India,
New Dehli, January 25, 2008
- UK Prime Minister Gordon Brown visit to
India, January 21, 2008
- 'A Future Unbound': US-India Relations,
Under Secretary for Political Affairs R. Nicholas Burns speech to the Heritage
Foundation, May 23, 2007
- President Bush signs US-India Nuclear Cooperation
Act into law, December 18, 2006
- President Bush and Prime Minister Singh
on the US-India nuclear co-operation deal, March 2, 2006
- U.S. Under Secretary of State for Political
Affairs R. Nicholas Burns on Nuclear co-operation with India, January
19, 2006
- US House Committee on International Relations,
Hearing on U.S.-India Nuclear Partnership, October 26, 2005
- US-India Civilian Nuclear Cooperation Agreement,
Joint Statement by President Bush and Prime Minister Manmohan Singh, July
18, 2005
South Asia: Coverage in Disarmament Diplomacy
- Concerns as US-India Nuclear Deal Goes
Through, including Statement by
US President George W. Bush on the Occasion of Signing H.R. 7081, Disarmament
Diplomacy, Issue No.88, Summer 2008
- Engaging India, Israel and Pakistan in the
Nuclear Non-Proliferation Regime, by Jenny Nielsen, Disarmament Diplomacy,
Autumn 2007
- The misbegotten US-India nuclear deal,
Disarmament Diplomacy, Issue No.82, Spring 2006
- Dr. Khan's Nuclear WalMart, by Christopher
Clary, Disarmament Diplomacy, No.76, March/April 2004
- Iran, Libya, and Pakistan's Nuclear Supermarket,
Disarmament Diplomacy, No.75, January/February 2004
Acronym Institute coverage of South Asia from 1998 - 2003 is available at:
http://www.acronym.org.uk/sasia/index.htm.
Libya: Documents & Analysis
- Libya: Gadafy's Gamble appears to pay off,
Disarmament Diplomacy, No.77, May/June 2004
- Libya: the first real case of deproliferation
in the Middle East? Disarmament Diplomacy, No.77, May/June 2004
- Iran, Libya, and Pakistan's Nuclear Supermarket,
Disarmament Diplomacy, No.75, January/February 2004
- Libya declares its intention to dismantle
its Weapons of Mass Destruction, December 19
Back to the Top of the Page
Russia: Documents & Statements
Following many years of disagreements between the US and Russia over missile
defence, Russian President Dmitry Medvedev chose the day after Obama's election
as President to announce new missile deployments
aimed at countering US missile defence.
Subsequent statements from Russia, have however, been more conciliatory in
tone. The US and Russia have agreed a framework for a follow-on to the START
treaty, which is due to expire at the end of December 2009. Tensions continue,
however, over US plans to deploy missile defence interceptors in Poland and
the Czech republic.
- Obama and Medvedev agree Framework
for Strategic Arms Talks, including:
- Russian Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev
interview on foreign policy, 5 July 2009
- Presidents Obama and Medvedev Press Conference,
6 July 2009
- Russian Deputy Minister of Foreign Affairs
Alexander Grushko interview on NATO, 2 July 2009
- Clinton / Lavrov press conference,
7 May 2009
- Russian Minister of Foreign Affairs Lavrov
speech to the Carnegie Endowment, 7 May 2009
- Russian Statement on Adoption of the UN
Security Council Presidential Statement over the Recent Rocket Launch by the
DPRK, 14 April 2009
- Joint Statement by Presidents Medvedev
and Obama on strategic reductions, 1 April 2009
- Joint Statement by Presidents Medvedev
and Obama, 1 April 2009
- US background briefings on Presidents Obama
and Medvedev meeting, 1 April 2009
- Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov interview
with the Financial Times, 25 March 2009
- Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Ryabkov
press conference, 20 March 2009
- Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov speech
to the CD, Geneva, 7 March 2009
- Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov press conference
at the CD, Geneva, 7 March 2009
- US Secretary of State Clinton and Russian
Foreign Minister Lavrov meeting, 6 March 2009
- Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov press conference,
Geneva, 6 March 2009
- Russian First Deputy Prime Minister Sergey
Ivanov, Munich Security Conference, 6 February 2009
- 'Shake loose the Cold War', Guardian
Oped by Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov, 30 January 2009
- Russian initiative for a European Security
Treaty, 10 December 2008
- Russian Foreign Minister Spokesperson on
NATO and Missile Defence, 8 December 2008
- Russian Foreign Minister Spokesperson on
NATO and the CFE Treaty, 8 December 2008
- Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov
on relations with NATO, 5 December 2008
- Russian President Dmitry Medvedev on new
deployments to counter US missile defence, 5 November 2008
- US Russia 123 Agreement announcement,
8 September 2008
- US and Russian Public Opinion on Arms Control
and Space Security, Nancy Gallagher, Disarmament Diplomacy, No.87, Spring
2008
- US-Russia Strategic Framework Declaration,
April 6, 2008
- Draft Text on eliminating intermediate
and shorter range missiles, proposed by Russia, 13 February 2008
- Draft Text on the Placement of Weapons
in Outer Space submitted by Russia and China, 13 February 2008
- Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov
speech to the CD, 12 February 2008
- Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov,
press conference, Geneva, 12 February 2008
- Russian Foreign Ministry statement on initiatives
in the CD, 12 February 2008
Previous Acronym Institute coverage of Russia is available at: www.acronym.org.uk/wmd/russia.htm.
Back to the Top of the Page
France: Documents & Statements
- French Defence Minister Herve Morin interview
on NATO, 26 March 2009
- President Sarkozy confirms France will
rejoin NATO's International Military Structure, 19 March 2009
- President Sarkozy speech on France, European
Defence and NATO, 11 March 2009
- French President Nicholas Sarkozy,
Munich Security Conference, 7 February 2009
- Debate on Disarmament, Letter from M. Nicola
Sarkozy, President of the Republic to Mr Ban Ki-moon, United Nations Secretary-General,
5 December 2008
- Presentation of Le Terrible in
Cherbourg, Nicolas Sarkozy, President of the French Republic, March 21,
2008 (excerpts)
- French Defense White Paper, 17 June
2008
- French President Nicolas Sarkozy Nuclear
Policy speech, 21 March 2008
- Joint statement by France and India,
New Dehli, January 25, 2008
- French President Nicholas Sarkozy on Nuclear
Weapons and Missile Defence, June 7 - 8, 2007
- Chirac reasserts French nuclear weapons
policy, Disarmament Diplomacy, Issue No.82, Spring 2006
- '[O]ur concept for the use of nuclear weapons
remains unchanged', President Jacques Chirac speech on French nuclear
doctrine, January 19, 2006
- 'I have extremely strong reservations about
this initiative', French President Jacques Chirac on proposals by Presidents
Bush and Blair for greater NATO involvement in Iraq, June 9
- France on NATO, Afghanistan and Iraq, February
2 & 6
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